Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-01 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 67% +$12

Other

21% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+103	$15	0¢	$0	$-14	06-24 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	53	$449	326	326	+0	open	—	03-12 21:20
xrp up or down march 14 6am et	29	$204	491	488	+3	open	—	03-14 10:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$169	232	186	+46	open	—	04-09 00:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	26	$137	223	183	+40	open	—	05-29 19:04
btc updown 5m 1773484800	9	$94	55	55	+1	open	—	03-14 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773441900	9	$84	66	45	+21	open	—	03-13 22:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$84	99	72	+27	open	—	05-22 01:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$81	91	91	+0	open	—	05-27 20:42
btc updown 5m 1773485100	9	$75	64	63	+1	open	—	03-14 10:46
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	20	$70	295	293	+1	open	—	06-11 12:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-20 18:27
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-20 18:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$57	250	244	+6	open	—	03-28 22:15
bitcoin up or down march 14 6am et	9	$57	159	158	+1	open	—	03-14 10:53
btc updown 15m 1773485100	9	$57	79	77	+1	open	—	03-14 10:53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$56	47	47	+0	open	—	05-06 11:04
highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 15c	12	$55	679	0	+679	open	—	03-21 07:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	13	$54	66	55	+10	open	—	04-19 20:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	134	$53	553	414	+139	open	—	04-01 15:30
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	10	$53	67	55	+12	open	—	04-21 22:33
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$48	40	9	+31	open	—	05-18 13:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$46	93	53	+40	open	—	04-07 22:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$46	48	38	+10	open	—	04-28 18:54
Trump kiss by May 31?	3	$45	42	16	+25	open	—	05-20 15:56
btc updown 15m 1773441900	5	$44	31	30	+0	open	—	03-13 22:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	06-01 05:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$43	344	270	+74	open	—	06-13 00:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$42	83	83	+0	open	—	06-11 18:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$40	60	60	+0	open	—	04-06 09:15
cs2 faze tyloo 2026 07 01	3	$38	35	19	+17	open	—	07-01 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:46:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc0beb6…
07-01 12:11:25	cs2 3dmax nip 2026 07 01	3DMAX	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x789dc6…
07-01 11:53:02	atp navone cobolli 2026 06 29	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8a2a88…
07-01 11:51:08	atp hurkacz ofner 2026 07 01	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbb6571…
07-01 10:51:49	atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	Learner Tien	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x18249a…
07-01 10:51:31	wta tjen kasatki 2026 07 01	Janice Tjen	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x78acc0…
07-01 10:41:13	wta tjen kasatki 2026 07 01	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc25a79…
07-01 10:07:26	cs2 3dmax nip 2026 07 01	3DMAX	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xcc37a0…
07-01 10:04:01	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game3	T1	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7020e2…
07-01 09:54:28	atp giustin topo 2026 07 01	Lorenzo Giustino	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xd34b58…
07-01 09:53:56	cs2 faze tyloo 2026 07 01	TYLOO	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2cc004…
07-01 08:47:55	cs2 faze tyloo 2026 07 01	TYLOO	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe51a25…
07-01 08:47:14	cs2 faze tyloo 2026 07 01	FaZe	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x519672…
07-01 08:22:58	atp nedic roncade 2026 07 01	Andrej Nedic	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa5cd79…
07-01 08:22:53	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x21b536…
07-01 08:18:20	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game1	T1	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xad8086…
07-01 08:18:02	atp heide barrena 2026 07 01	Gustavo Heide	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1e6623…
07-01 08:17:32	atp giustin topo 2026 07 01	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa4f453…
07-01 07:44:25	atp nedic roncade 2026 07 01	Franco Roncadelli	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xaaaa03…
07-01 07:25:17	itf koay duckhee 2026 07 01	Hao Sheng Koay	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb40067…
07-01 03:03:10	atp su shick 2026 06 29	Fajing Sun	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0x67660e…
07-01 01:42:44	mlb lad oak 2026 06 30	Athletics	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x063dc7…
07-01 01:25:56	mlb min hou 2026 06 30	Houston Astros	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x8c262c…
07-01 01:17:10	mlb mia col 2026 06 30	Miami Marlins	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x39ef28…
06-30 23:23:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	39	37¢	$15	0x949e7a…
06-30 23:21:04	cs2 pdaf ge3 2026 06 30 game2	Patins da Ferrari	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xccd487…
06-30 23:15:07	mlb det nyy 2026 06 30	Detroit Tigers	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xadd6f5…
06-30 23:15:07	mlb det nyy 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Detroit Tigers	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x113bf8…
06-30 23:14:22	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xafecb7…
06-30 23:14:22	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x8b0bfc…
06-30 23:14:20	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xa71483…
06-30 23:14:20	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30	Texas Rangers	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x76e8f5…
06-30 22:52:10	mlb tex cle 2026 06 30 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc17e0b…
06-30 22:38:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x07d737…
06-30 22:24:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeb5790…
06-30 21:39:34	atp fernand pacheco 2026 06 29	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd33d9b…
06-30 21:14:08	atp sakamo magadan 2026 06 29	Alan Magadan	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x62647d…
06-30 20:59:41	atp tomasma ribeiro 2026 06 30	Tomas Martinez	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x2b2c29…
06-30 20:43:35	wta willia joint 2026 06 29	Maya Joint	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x564316…
06-30 20:42:14	atp wawrink berrett 2026 06 29	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeef6c0…
06-24 17:05:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x152ddf…
06-24 17:03:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xf74299…
06-24 08:12:52	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x06ac68…
06-24 07:03:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x67635d…
06-22 08:10:35	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	274	2¢	$5	0x7f96cc…
06-20 20:37:46	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	274	3¢	$10	0x1c5f6c…
06-18 20:01:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x80c6cf…
06-18 15:53:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	58	15¢	$9	0x02efbc…
06-17 22:02:32	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xefffff…
06-17 21:48:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0xc747f2…
06-17 21:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x68c86d…
06-17 21:28:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xb8a72f…
06-17 21:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x5b43f1…
06-17 21:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x54e287…
06-17 20:57:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x2ffc53…
06-17 18:30:07	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x9310d9…
06-15 15:38:30	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xbd5724…
06-15 15:38:01	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x6dd813…
06-13 00:27:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x2ee9cb…
06-11 20:20:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$1	0xf58ef1…
06-11 20:20:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x87a059…
06-11 20:20:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x77fa82…
06-11 20:20:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x872d30…
06-11 18:45:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	83	33¢	$27	0x26718f…
06-11 17:53:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xb4eabc…
06-11 17:50:15	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xc1280c…
06-11 17:42:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x6df4f2…
06-11 17:40:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	77	17¢	$13	0xa57b4b…
06-11 12:32:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xdabc82…
06-11 12:25:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0x1401a8…
06-11 12:24:27	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	107	18¢	$19	0x3e3d78…
06-10 23:22:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x60e1be…
06-10 22:31:46	israel closes its airspace by june 11	Yes	BUY	96	16¢	$15	0xffafde…
06-10 22:12:24	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x72ae1a…
06-10 22:11:13	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xfdc693…
06-10 19:14:18	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6fc487…
06-10 15:51:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x2c57cd…
06-10 00:18:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	49	13¢	$6	0xf739c4…
06-10 00:18:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$4	0xee25d2…
06-09 22:07:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x7cfbf0…
06-09 22:00:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x18d0bb…
06-09 21:37:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x648e32…
06-09 18:00:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x1f5659…
06-09 17:53:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xa488af…
06-09 17:51:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xab5f29…
06-09 17:18:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xcc1d83…
06-09 17:16:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xd5a83c…
06-09 16:45:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x217b0a…
06-09 16:44:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x6ee1b9…
06-09 16:43:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x8874d6…
06-09 16:43:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x48f403…
06-09 16:42:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x87ce10…
06-09 16:42:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xe0601a…
06-09 16:42:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x573aab…
06-09 16:42:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xd6793e…
06-09 16:41:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xa1cbfc…
06-09 15:29:28	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x318c1d…
06-09 14:21:21	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x60053e…
06-09 14:16:21	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xab7c98…
06-09 14:09:07	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3643c7…