Mysterious-Board — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

937

Trades

1,324

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-21 04:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 95% $-0

Other

16% 94% $-11

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	9	$733	1,032	378	+654	open	—	07-11 10:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	13	$680	676	676	+0	open	—	07-02 15:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$458	708	88	+620	open	—	07-08 22:09
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$325	637	5	+633	open	—	07-12 15:28
btc updown 5m 1775761200	1	$216	218	0	+218	open	—	04-09 19:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	2	$208	400	0	+400	open	—	07-21 04:07
btc updown 5m 1775755200	1	$157	242	0	+242	open	—	04-09 17:23
eth updown 5m 1775847600	3	$152	169	0	+169	open	—	04-10 19:05
btc updown 5m 1775916600	2	$143	158	0	+158	open	—	04-11 14:14
btc updown 5m 1775828100	2	$140	80	79	+1	open	—	04-10 13:39
eth updown 5m 1775770500	2	$137	142	0	+142	open	—	04-09 21:39
btc updown 5m 1775922900	3	$135	145	0	+145	open	—	04-11 15:59
btc updown 5m 1775768700	1	$132	159	0	+159	open	—	04-09 21:09
btc updown 5m 1775749800	4	$130	148	0	+148	open	—	04-09 15:54
eth updown 5m 1775771700	1	$130	134	0	+134	open	—	04-09 21:59
eth updown 5m 1775848500	1	$127	132	0	+132	open	—	04-10 19:19
btc updown 5m 1775951700	4	$124	134	0	+134	open	—	04-11 23:59
btc updown 5m 1775933700	2	$124	134	0	+134	open	—	04-11 18:59
btc updown 5m 1775846700	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	04-10 18:49
btc updown 5m 1775951400	3	$117	125	0	+125	open	—	04-11 23:54
eth updown 5m 1775844900	2	$116	119	0	+119	open	—	04-10 18:19
eth updown 5m 1775847300	4	$115	140	0	+140	open	—	04-10 18:59
btc updown 5m 1775949000	2	$115	133	0	+133	open	—	04-11 23:14
btc updown 5m 1775952900	2	$109	114	0	+114	open	—	04-12 00:19
btc updown 5m 1775693700	2	$101	106	0	+106	open	—	04-09 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775771100	1	$100	143	0	+143	open	—	04-09 21:46
btc updown 5m 1775934000	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	04-11 19:04
eth updown 5m 1775844300	4	$97	114	0	+114	open	—	04-10 18:09
btc updown 5m 1775750700	5	$87	99	0	+99	open	—	04-09 16:08
btc updown 5m 1775810400	2	$86	90	0	+90	open	—	04-10 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 04:07:25	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x5f730b…
07-21 04:06:24	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xa39029…
07-12 15:28:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xfc79bc…
07-12 04:06:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x7a590d…
07-12 02:56:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x5478d2…
07-12 02:56:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	98	42¢	$41	0x5a0220…
07-12 02:56:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x35ef32…
07-12 02:56:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	148	42¢	$62	0x2b02c2…
07-12 02:55:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	321	59¢	$189	0x8e8842…
07-11 10:06:25	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xe9ea26…
07-10 22:25:47	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	227	55¢	$125	0x1ac160…
07-10 22:24:59	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xb5ef47…
07-10 22:23:04	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	327	48¢	$157	0xa47059…
07-10 22:05:29	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xe6c1cd…
07-10 22:05:23	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x96b888…
07-10 22:05:14	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	363	48¢	$175	0x152aee…
07-10 22:04:53	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x195525…
07-10 22:02:38	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	378	57¢	$215	0xfb9e7b…
07-08 22:09:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	88	83¢	$73	0x624d58…
07-08 21:58:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	310	19¢	$59	0x0e1546…
07-08 21:57:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	398	82¢	$326	0xf023cf…
07-02 15:12:35	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	216	82¢	$177	0x9c8593…
07-02 15:12:26	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	208	17¢	$35	0xd4b5b7…
07-02 02:52:05	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xca7db6…
07-02 02:52:04	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xbd29fc…
07-02 02:52:02	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x69a5ab…
07-02 02:52:02	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2b5ee1…
07-02 02:51:59	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0x52fe9c…
07-02 02:51:52	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x7548d9…
07-02 02:51:47	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	69	17¢	$12	0x4e84be…
07-02 02:51:04	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	BUY	270	82¢	$222	0x9fd8ea…
07-02 02:50:43	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x50c985…
07-02 02:50:10	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x8875e8…
07-02 02:50:08	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	324	23¢	$75	0xb215c8…
06-29 19:49:25	xrp updown 5m 1782762300	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xef7418…
06-29 19:44:16	btc updown 5m 1782762000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe07ca5…
06-15 19:38:49	btc updown 5m 1781552100	Down	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0xec5b41…
06-15 19:09:09	btc updown 5m 1781550300	Up	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xc99d09…
06-15 18:43:39	btc updown 5m 1781548800	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe9391e…
06-15 18:09:07	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa6b341…
06-15 18:08:57	btc updown 5m 1781546700	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6338ed…
06-15 16:59:36	btc updown 5m 1781542500	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x580ce0…
06-15 16:58:42	btc updown 5m 1781542500	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x54a051…
06-15 11:33:45	btc updown 5m 1781523000	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe6dbb3…
06-15 11:24:01	btc updown 5m 1781522400	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x87e5ea…
06-15 10:28:46	btc updown 5m 1781519100	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb4e34a…
06-15 06:04:00	btc updown 5m 1781503200	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe0dd7c…
06-14 21:58:37	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0dd6cd…
06-14 21:43:37	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ee2c0…
06-14 21:34:10	btc updown 5m 1781472600	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x00ee2b…
06-14 21:29:16	btc updown 5m 1781472300	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x329e2e…
06-14 21:13:46	btc updown 5m 1781471400	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x38b21e…
06-14 20:59:04	btc updown 5m 1781470500	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb6511e…
06-14 20:54:16	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1edfbe…
06-14 20:53:46	btc updown 5m 1781470200	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5ad95d…
06-14 20:38:37	btc updown 5m 1781469300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7c937f…
06-14 19:59:10	btc updown 5m 1781466900	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xad61d0…
06-14 19:43:37	btc updown 5m 1781466000	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5cae3e…
06-14 19:33:54	btc updown 5m 1781465400	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5eaa18…
05-16 23:07:52	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8a77ad…
05-16 23:06:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcb8864…
05-16 23:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2d3cda…
05-16 21:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x507c96…
05-16 21:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf8615a…
05-16 21:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd01f07…
05-16 21:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x45e929…
05-16 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a3cbb…
05-16 21:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x298d86…
05-16 21:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xec0388…
05-16 21:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xfd3ccb…
05-16 20:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe3a3ca…
05-14 10:24:57	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf538f2…
05-14 10:24:46	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa25a9f…
05-14 10:24:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51ce0a…
05-14 10:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbe5ea2…
05-14 10:24:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7f087e…
05-14 10:20:29	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x59ed30…
05-14 10:20:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f776d…
05-14 10:19:42	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15940d…
05-14 10:19:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb39295…
05-14 10:19:17	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9fbae…
05-14 10:19:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68a7fe…
05-14 10:09:24	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4bb133…
05-14 09:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe6b2da…
05-14 09:49:57	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd04ec…
05-14 09:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbfbd83…
05-14 09:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8633de…
05-14 09:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x90429d…
05-14 09:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x61d041…
05-14 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x220497…
05-14 08:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x51c205…
05-14 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa18e59…
05-14 06:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x43ee72…
05-14 06:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b427a…
05-14 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9a3783…
05-13 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x81ed25…
05-13 21:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9dfe0c…
05-13 19:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9768eb…
05-13 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c58ca…
05-13 18:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2b0b0f…