Mysterious-Board — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$363

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

2,791

Trades

3,351

lifetime

Volume

$30.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$837

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-26 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 81% -$238

Politics

17% 33% -$29

Other

10% 93% -$91

Sports

2% 0% -$5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+310	$253	82¢	$253	-$1	07-08 22:09
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+327	$190	69¢	$226	+$36	07-11 10:06
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+200	$134	90¢	$179	+$45	07-21 04:07
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+327	$178	31¢	$101	-$76	07-10 22:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+310	$59	18¢	$57	-$2	07-08 21:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+200	$74	11¢	$21	-$53	07-21 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	51	$3.6K	4,040	2,830	+1,210	No	-$23	07-01 01:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$776	783	783	+0	open	—	07-07 15:29
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	9	$733	1,032	378	+654	open	—	07-11 10:06
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	13	$680	676	676	+0	open	—	07-02 15:12
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$479	859	246	+612	Yes	-$5	07-06 08:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$458	708	88	+620	open	—	07-08 22:09
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	5	$394	400	400	+0	open	—	07-16 17:56
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	4	$386	350	350	+0	No	-$90	07-15 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:20 UTC	2	$348	250	250	+0	Up	+$148	10-05 10:25
Fed rate hike in 2026?	7	$325	637	5	+633	Yes	-$3	07-12 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC	1	$216	218	0	+218	Up	+$2	04-09 19:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	2	$208	400	0	+400	open	—	07-21 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$207	108	108	+0	Down	+$7	10-05 14:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$206	200	200	+0	open	—	07-17 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$159	321	0	+321	Down	-$159	10-21 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$159	455	0	+455	Down	-$159	10-23 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 17:20 UTC	1	$157	242	0	+242	Down	+$85	04-09 17:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:00 UTC	3	$152	169	0	+169	Down	-$14	04-10 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$144	95	95	+0	Down	+$44	10-18 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 14:10 UTC	2	$143	158	0	+158	Down	-$8	04-11 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:35 UTC	2	$140	80	79	+1	Down	+$12	04-10 13:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:35 UTC	2	$137	142	0	+142	Down	+$6	04-09 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:55 UTC	3	$135	145	0	+145	Up	+$10	04-11 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:05 UTC	1	$132	159	0	+159	Down	+$27	04-09 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 15:50 UTC	4	$130	148	0	+148	Up	+$18	04-09 15:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:55 UTC	1	$130	134	0	+134	Down	+$4	04-09 21:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	1	$127	132	0	+132	Down	+$5	04-10 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:55 UTC	4	$124	134	0	+134	Up	+$10	04-11 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:55 UTC	2	$124	134	0	+134	Up	-$9	04-11 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC	1	$124	125	0	+125	Up	+$1	04-10 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x2c2475…
10-26 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xab2032…
10-26 02:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xe0c93e…
10-26 02:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x99df5f…
10-26 02:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x7d784a…
10-26 02:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xcdcc4e…
10-26 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa30fb9…
10-26 01:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x979812…
10-26 01:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xd7743f…
10-26 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xbabf12…
10-26 00:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa71355…
10-26 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xeccef7…
10-26 00:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa15968…
10-26 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xc07e46…
10-25 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x0c2603…
10-25 23:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xa60f2a…
10-25 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x381142…
10-25 23:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcf28a2…
10-25 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x43e698…
10-25 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd8f6a7…
10-25 22:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x214beb…
10-25 22:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xcee576…
10-25 22:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa6d669…
10-25 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xcae768…
10-25 21:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xf3c161…
10-25 21:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x453a3c…
10-25 21:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x67fd33…
10-25 20:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x708047…
10-25 20:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xbb1a21…
10-25 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x1076ae…
10-25 20:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2ed348…
10-25 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd53651…
10-25 19:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x1ebfb7…
10-25 19:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa18e14…
10-25 19:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe8fda0…
10-25 19:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbe0e1a…
10-25 19:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd79b84…
10-25 18:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xffaa1d…
10-25 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x24e390…
10-25 15:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4bbf99…
10-25 14:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8d4c43…
10-25 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x51a1e8…
10-25 14:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x2ef150…
10-25 14:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x61fabb…
10-25 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe7c09b…
10-25 13:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x981831…
10-25 13:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0cfc1c…
10-25 13:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x56d0d4…
10-25 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xd909f8…
10-25 12:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xacd425…
10-25 12:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x2061cd…
10-25 12:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0e2aa6…
10-25 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x108267…
10-25 11:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfc88d5…
10-25 10:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x885b0c…
10-25 10:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7f3fd5…
10-25 10:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9f4583…
10-25 10:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x4788cb…
10-25 09:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x32e702…
10-25 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x27161a…
10-25 09:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x8b3439…
10-25 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x943467…
10-25 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x3ece6a…
10-25 08:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb8bc67…
10-25 08:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xd092e3…
10-25 08:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xec0343…
10-25 07:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4cb8a2…
10-25 07:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xee7501…
10-25 07:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x2768c4…
10-25 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xe16c86…
10-25 07:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x43ff1b…
10-25 06:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc45fb4…
10-25 06:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xd3871a…
10-25 06:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd416b…
10-25 06:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x4e3624…
10-25 06:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb3eed7…
10-25 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xe8f69c…
10-25 05:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x5bc4ac…
10-25 05:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3bd109…
10-25 05:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0a5ad8…
10-25 05:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf4e59b…
10-25 04:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xac70f6…
10-25 04:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x51fe78…
10-25 04:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x94b94f…
10-25 04:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1e765c…
10-25 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x65ac93…
10-25 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x6e13ca…
10-25 03:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x795ccd…
10-25 03:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x9d0dba…
10-25 03:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb689fa…
10-25 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x89d4a0…
10-25 02:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x817919…
10-25 02:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x33a95f…
10-25 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc9128d…
10-25 01:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6072f6…
10-25 01:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xa5b170…
10-25 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xdf5a8f…
10-25 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$9	0x97f9a4…
10-25 01:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x1e5c84…
10-25 01:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x7af910…