Educated-Bolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$828

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-13 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 54% +$31

Other

26% 19% -$108

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$78	179	54	+125	Up	+$18	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$74	96	96	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$69	96	48	+48	Down	+$15	05-06 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$67	49	49	+0	Up	+$17	05-06 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$58	54	54	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$56	48	48	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$55	62	62	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	05-13 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$18	25	8	+16	Up	-$2	05-05 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$17	13	12	+1	Up	+$8	04-27 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$16	26	9	+17	Down	-$4	05-07 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	Down	-$15	04-29 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$15	175	0	+175	Down	-$15	05-05 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	11	11	+0	No	+$3	04-29 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	04-28 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	65	0	+65	Down	-$10	05-05 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?	1	$7	395	0	+395	No	-$7	05-13 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	04-27 12:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	2	$6	38	38	+0	No	-$2	05-13 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	1	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	05-11 11:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 13?	1	$5	107	0	+107	No	-$5	05-12 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 14?	1	$5	643	0	+643	No	-$5	05-13 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	05-06 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 8?	1	$5	53	0	+53	No	-$5	05-07 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 13?	1	$5	51	0	+51	No	-$5	05-12 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	1	$5	245	0	+245	No	-$5	05-08 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 8?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	05-07 12:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 13?	1	$5	97	0	+97	No	-$5	05-12 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 12:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,950	0¢	$4	0xb8167a…
05-13 12:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	395	2¢	$7	0x17b963…
05-13 12:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	643	1¢	$5	0x066fae…
05-13 12:00:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x774409…
05-13 12:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9b9796…
05-12 09:41:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x74d755…
05-12 09:40:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xfc31be…
05-12 09:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x99bbf7…
05-12 09:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3c9091…
05-12 09:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x3ae68e…
05-12 09:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xd63c9e…
05-12 09:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xed6a97…
05-12 09:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xae42ec…
05-11 11:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf5ef26…
05-11 11:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd1ea87…
05-11 11:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x293d4a…
05-11 11:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9b22c3…
05-11 11:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5e9b65…
05-11 11:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x35edc8…
05-08 10:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xcc412d…
05-08 10:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb58fce…
05-08 10:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xe0dbda…
05-08 10:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xaf61a5…
05-08 10:01:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x26f945…
05-08 10:01:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xda97eb…
05-08 09:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x19e520…
05-08 09:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbb81d7…
05-08 09:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	245	2¢	$5	0xa39143…
05-08 09:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6e8cd0…
05-07 12:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd5f17b…
05-07 12:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x97fee9…
05-07 12:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x649a0a…
05-07 12:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe5ae4b…
05-07 12:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1095dc…
05-07 12:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xded4c0…
05-07 12:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbf7299…
05-07 12:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfe0064…
05-07 12:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	48	64¢	$31	0x323971…
05-07 12:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x552190…
05-07 12:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xadb1bd…
05-07 12:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x5e24d1…
05-07 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x105b82…
05-07 12:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x21847a…
05-06 11:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	49	85¢	$42	0xda140f…
05-06 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5eee3f…
05-06 11:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xf3f19b…
05-06 11:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x96c9d6…
05-06 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x217c82…
05-06 11:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x4971b9…
05-06 11:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa826d8…
05-06 11:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	54	60¢	$33	0x93a472…
05-06 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x2eebff…
05-06 11:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf2e21d…
05-06 11:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xeb5acc…
05-05 14:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	96	46¢	$44	0x29676d…
05-05 14:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf41a4f…
05-05 14:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xe12240…
05-05 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x56d36b…
05-05 14:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	89¢	$48	0x9381b1…
05-05 14:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xddd9b5…
05-05 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x31fb9e…
05-05 14:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x18281b…
05-05 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa26f3e…
05-05 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x962b05…
05-05 14:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4bb179…
05-05 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe7a49f…
05-05 14:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf1aeb2…
05-05 14:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb3cc7f…
04-29 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x66f923…
04-29 12:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2be143…
04-29 11:55:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x27147e…
04-29 11:55:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x58fe0e…
04-29 11:54:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 30?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0x59dea3…
04-28 13:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc6beb7…
04-28 13:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x1c15f5…
04-28 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x593622…
04-28 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x23bbd9…
04-28 09:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2fafd7…
04-27 12:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeaab4a…
04-27 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x76aa42…
04-27 12:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe2d377…
04-27 12:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x494bda…
04-27 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x75d390…
04-27 11:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd3348…
04-27 11:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x90212b…
04-27 11:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x19d86b…
04-27 11:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x665cee…
04-27 11:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xfa0f8e…
04-27 11:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x998da8…
04-27 11:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x0c7b81…
04-21 09:11:54	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x619f4d…
04-20 10:55:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb6ddcd…
04-20 09:21:46	highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 18corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7221ba…
04-20 09:19:38	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x512c7e…