Educated-Bolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$588

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-08 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 43% +$26

Other

5% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$78	179	54	+125	Up	+$18	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$74	96	96	+0	Down	+$14	05-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$69	96	48	+48	Down	+$15	05-06 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$67	49	49	+0	Up	+$17	05-06 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$58	54	54	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$55	62	62	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$18	25	8	+16	Up	$-2	05-05 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$17	13	12	+1	open	—	04-27 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$16	26	9	+17	Down	$-4	05-07 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$15	175	0	+175	Down	$-15	05-05 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-28 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	65	0	+65	Down	$-10	05-05 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-07 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-06 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 11:18
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-21 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Down	$-5	05-08 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-06 11:26
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-20 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	1	$5	74	0	+74	open	—	04-27 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-27 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-27 11:15
highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 18corhigher	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-20 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb58fce…
05-07 12:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xadb1bd…
05-07 12:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x5e24d1…
05-07 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x105b82…
05-07 12:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x21847a…
05-06 11:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	49	85¢	$42	0xda140f…
05-06 11:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5eee3f…
05-06 11:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xf3f19b…
05-06 11:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x96c9d6…
05-06 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x217c82…
05-06 11:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x4971b9…
05-06 11:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa826d8…
05-06 11:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	54	60¢	$33	0x93a472…
05-06 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x2eebff…
05-06 11:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf2e21d…
05-06 11:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xeb5acc…
05-05 14:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	96	46¢	$44	0x29676d…
05-05 14:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf41a4f…
05-05 14:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xe12240…
05-05 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x56d36b…
05-05 14:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	54	89¢	$48	0x9381b1…
05-05 14:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xddd9b5…
05-05 14:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x31fb9e…
05-05 14:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x18281b…
05-05 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa26f3e…
05-05 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x962b05…
05-05 14:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4bb179…
05-05 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe7a49f…
05-05 14:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf1aeb2…
05-05 14:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb3cc7f…
04-29 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x66f923…
04-29 12:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2be143…
04-29 11:55:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x27147e…
04-28 13:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc6beb7…
04-28 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x593622…
04-28 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x23bbd9…
04-28 09:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2fafd7…
04-27 12:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeaab4a…
04-27 12:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x76aa42…
04-27 12:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe2d377…
04-27 12:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x494bda…
04-27 12:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x75d390…
04-27 11:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd3348…
04-27 11:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x90212b…
04-27 11:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x19d86b…
04-27 11:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x665cee…
04-27 11:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xfa0f8e…
04-27 11:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x998da8…
04-27 11:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x0c7b81…
04-21 09:11:54	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x619f4d…
04-20 10:55:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb6ddcd…
04-20 09:21:46	highest temperature in wuhan on april 21 2026 18corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7221ba…
04-20 09:19:38	highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x512c7e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	25	$57.9K	987	06-01 04:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$69.1K	2,021	05-08 10:08
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	23	$22.1K	4,770	05-08 10:08
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	23	$21.9K	2,640	05-08 10:08
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	23	$8.22K	272	05-08 10:07
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	23	$7.47K	1,143	05-08 10:08
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	23	$7.32K	1,034	05-08 10:06
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	23	$7.17K	2,034	05-08 10:08