Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
115
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$460
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$9
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 09-09 15:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
57% 49% -$25
Politics
26% 73% +$22
Sports
11% 40% -$14
Tech
7% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +16 $5 18¢ $3 -$2 07-20 01:20
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +29 $10 9¢ $3 -$7 04-29 23:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 16¢ $2 -$3 05-18 00:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +33 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-30 00:49
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +6 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 08-02 12:49
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 07-27 15:58