Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$102

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-31 01:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$7

Politics

32% 100% +$3

Sports

23% 83% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No		+53	$51	97¢	$52	+$1	10-25 00:42
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+50	$49	100¢	$50	+$0	08-04 17:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-19 08:08
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	10-01 08:51
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-11 19:58
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	10-09 13:21
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-13 09:24
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-15 19:01
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 17:56
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-07 13:40
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	4	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-31 01:01
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$1	05-25 20:41
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-14 17:16
EU dissolves before 2027?	5	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 15:01
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	07-03 11:03
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	3	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 19:50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	07-23 16:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 14:07
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-23 13:52
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-20 15:52
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	3	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	10-25 00:42
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	1	$51	54	0	+54	Yes	+$3	10-31 01:17
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	10-02 15:28
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	08-04 17:54
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	2	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	08-21 07:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	05-26 12:22
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$47	50	0	+50	No	+$3	05-18 14:17
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$47	50	0	+50	No	+$3	05-12 00:53
Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	-$25	07-22 13:35
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-13 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:17:42	Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xc731d2…
10-25 00:42:08	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xffd0a9…
10-25 00:42:06	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x17c18c…
10-25 00:39:24	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x84ebfd…
10-09 13:21:15	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa7ad81…
10-02 15:28:54	Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x5caadd…
10-01 08:51:39	Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xc360d7…
09-13 05:13:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x508ba4…
09-12 11:01:45	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfc22d7…
09-12 07:58:39	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x59f6bb…
08-21 07:46:10	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x2d32bb…
08-20 20:22:43	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x348dcd…
08-04 17:54:23	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x14625c…
07-23 16:57:31	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x9f4ef9…
07-23 15:42:13	Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4bd7e3…
07-22 13:35:55	Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3e26c9…
07-12 03:41:37	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xf2c608…
07-03 11:03:59	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0e1409…
06-21 14:23:23	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x625680…
06-19 08:08:40	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x49d187…
06-14 15:01:40	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xf67ae7…
06-13 22:00:51	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x752883…
06-11 19:58:31	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xf99aa3…
06-10 15:38:51	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x76a446…
06-09 04:29:33	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xcace32…
06-09 04:27:48	Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9671d0…
05-31 01:01:27	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x39a287…
05-30 14:07:34	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x9d3e66…
05-27 17:18:05	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8078a4…
05-26 12:22:04	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x68ab42…
05-25 20:41:23	Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd089af…
05-24 17:56:44	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xc6d497…
05-24 14:18:46	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x5995d3…
05-24 13:50:04	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x83d870…
05-24 02:00:19	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x19c513…
05-23 13:52:37	Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xfaf10d…
05-22 19:50:20	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x85b1c2…
05-22 19:49:59	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b3477…
05-22 08:24:07	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xf6b852…
05-22 08:23:53	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x624443…
05-22 08:23:53	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5bf1ba…
05-20 15:52:53	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7ed940…
05-20 02:30:34	Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xfcac54…
05-18 15:49:28	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x081efc…
05-18 14:17:16	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xef3920…
05-18 10:50:23	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5b3678…
05-18 08:52:58	Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x713a10…
05-15 19:01:00	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe2bcb7…
05-14 17:16:43	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x9ed762…
05-13 09:24:30	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xff0636…
05-13 08:50:13	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$41	0xea5813…
05-12 00:53:50	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x21fd6d…
05-09 08:05:41	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x515ab2…
05-08 08:47:32	Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0c2742…
05-08 08:43:56	Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x1e5eb1…
05-07 16:52:00	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x4424ba…
05-07 13:40:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xbd27c6…
05-04 12:56:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x5fb0d7…
04-13 09:14:01	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9294b…