Soggy-Windshield — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-18 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% — —

Other

17% 0% $-11

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+36	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	06-18 15:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$931	904	904	+0	open	—	04-08 01:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$260	6,187	4,336	+1,851	open	—	04-09 01:33
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	6	$252	6,518	2,000	+4,518	open	—	04-12 17:54
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$109	286	286	+0	open	—	04-10 10:53
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	3	$65	249	119	+130	open	—	04-11 15:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$62	417	417	+0	open	—	04-13 13:50
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$61	3,412	0	+3,412	open	—	04-08 02:40
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	1	$50	188	0	+188	open	—	04-08 16:04
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	2	$50	278	0	+278	open	—	04-11 05:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$30	909	0	+909	open	—	04-07 13:11
boxing conor benn vs regis prograis	1	$30	231	0	+231	open	—	04-11 07:50
btc updown 5m 1777056300	5	$18	19	18	+1	open	—	04-24 18:49
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$17	1,654	0	+1,654	open	—	04-17 16:15
Military action against Iran ends by April 27, 2026?	5	$15	820	104	+716	open	—	04-12 17:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$15	94	0	+94	open	—	04-12 12:42
Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?	2	$15	1,208	0	+1,208	open	—	04-12 15:10
btc updown 5m 1777053300	3	$14	15	10	+5	open	—	04-24 17:57
btc updown 5m 1777054800	3	$14	18	9	+9	open	—	04-24 18:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	04-14 19:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$10	200	0	+200	No	$-10	04-17 16:13
btc updown 5m 1775697600	1	$10	232	0	+232	open	—	04-09 01:23
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	04-09 15:20
btc updown 5m 1775697900	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	04-09 01:27
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	2	$10	285	0	+285	open	—	04-10 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 09:49
btc updown 5m 1777056000	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 18:44
btc updown 5m 1775907000	2	$8	10	9	+0	open	—	04-11 11:33
btc updown 5m 1777055100	5	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 08:14
btc updown 5m 1777053600	4	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 15:30:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf1d9cf…
06-15 08:33:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x2bc449…
05-17 07:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf342a3…
05-17 07:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x879470…
05-17 07:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd6bbac…
05-17 07:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xaf1bb5…
05-17 07:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x343010…
05-17 07:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x415dc6…
05-17 07:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe126ba…
05-17 07:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x351d77…
05-17 07:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6f4fd7…
05-17 07:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe11b3e…
05-16 10:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7ff5d8…
05-16 10:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xdeac07…
05-16 10:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf856d0…
05-16 10:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc058ec…
05-16 10:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x52fe73…
05-16 09:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4daaec…
05-16 09:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xc1c66d…
05-16 09:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xae69bc…
05-16 09:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xdf1760…
05-16 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe1a66c…
05-16 09:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xf9ac4b…
05-16 09:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfdd05a…
05-16 09:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x97c411…
05-16 09:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x54446d…
05-16 09:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x45a483…
05-16 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x79fd9a…
05-16 09:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3c42ff…
05-16 08:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xde585a…
05-16 08:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8f1aa9…
05-16 08:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x73d270…
05-16 08:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x66c91b…
05-16 08:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x908162…
05-16 08:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x59c3ad…
05-16 08:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe74f93…
05-16 08:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6750b8…
05-16 08:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x7bd447…
05-16 08:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99ca54…
05-16 08:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x64f30a…
05-16 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb2de70…
05-16 07:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1f2783…
05-16 07:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9afcc2…
05-16 07:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbcb581…
05-16 07:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x607b01…
05-16 07:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5ffe32…
05-16 07:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x047cee…
05-16 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa5a956…
05-15 02:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4c3073…
05-15 02:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x29a36a…
05-15 02:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x580a89…
05-15 02:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdbed12…
05-15 02:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc3ba54…
05-15 02:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x175605…
05-15 01:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfd3ab9…
05-15 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6c2799…
05-15 01:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7ea11e…
05-15 01:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29d922…
05-15 01:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x87263f…
05-15 01:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb3cc22…
05-15 01:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd6f74a…
05-15 01:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x64e505…
05-15 01:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf39032…
05-15 01:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd75b98…
05-15 01:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x387e95…
05-15 00:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1333cf…
05-15 00:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xef5e88…
05-15 00:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x627b46…
05-15 00:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x50feec…
05-07 01:25:12	Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf5ddc6…
04-24 21:30:24	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbb5d42…
04-24 21:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd000a4…
04-24 21:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf3ae2c…
04-24 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6eb5e2…
04-24 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x95484d…
04-24 20:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x84093e…
04-24 20:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3ac84e…
04-24 20:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd5a5f4…
04-24 20:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x953b6e…
04-24 20:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x655990…
04-24 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xab75ba…
04-24 20:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd55b23…
04-24 20:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa4a9c2…
04-24 20:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf4bd76…
04-24 18:50:50	btc updown 5m 1777056600	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x68b2de…
04-24 18:49:52	btc updown 5m 1777056300	Down	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xeade6a…
04-24 18:49:08	btc updown 5m 1777056300	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2552c1…
04-24 18:47:04	btc updown 5m 1777056300	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x036582…
04-24 18:46:34	btc updown 5m 1777056300	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x261c4b…
04-24 18:45:58	btc updown 5m 1777056300	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x116538…
04-24 18:44:22	btc updown 5m 1777056000	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x9fe233…
04-24 18:42:00	btc updown 5m 1777056000	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcefcbf…
04-24 18:41:44	btc updown 5m 1777056000	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xb15846…
04-24 18:40:44	btc updown 5m 1777056000	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x6be80a…
04-24 18:40:00	btc updown 5m 1777055700	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0c219b…
04-24 18:35:30	btc updown 5m 1777055700	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8240e9…
04-24 18:32:10	btc updown 5m 1777055400	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb00b3d…
04-24 18:30:04	btc updown 5m 1777055100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6f99f1…
04-24 18:29:36	btc updown 5m 1777055100	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xa5aa85…
04-24 18:29:04	btc updown 5m 1777055100	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xca8c4c…