Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

688 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$462

$81.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$1.35K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

85% 38% +$5,516

Other

14% 32% -$1,190

Crypto

0% 43% -$184

Tech

0% 100% +$144

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-3,000	-$570	18¢	$-555	+$15	05-25 14:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+578	$271	52¢	$303	+$33	10-08 13:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+2,000	$260	10¢	$190	-$70	09-30 08:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+600	$198	32¢	$189	-$9	10-23 22:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-754	-$45	6¢	$-49	-$4	09-18 00:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+500	$45	6¢	$32	-$12	10-24 08:44
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,297	$18	2¢	$32	+$14	10-27 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	16	$8.9K	5,593	5,593	+0	Yes	+$2,239	03-23 18:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$4.8K	3,478	3,478	+0	Yes	+$607	04-05 07:09
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	19	$4.4K	2,725	2,725	+0	Yes	+$1,086	04-14 21:32
will iran strike uae again in march	30	$3.9K	2,612	2,612	+0	Yes	+$611	04-05 17:13
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	12	$3.7K	2,386	2,386	+0	Yes	+$1,040	05-12 11:54
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	16	$2.9K	5,427	5,427	+0	No	-$928	06-08 16:26
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.5K	1,483	1,483	+0	Yes	+$441	04-12 07:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$2.3K	3,200	3,200	+0	Yes	+$1,887	04-08 04:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$1.9K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$1,054	02-28 06:53
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	9	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$1,390	02-28 07:30
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	17	$1.8K	1,321	1,321	+0	No	-$62	04-10 15:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$1.6K	3,900	3,900	+0	No	-$1,200	05-29 16:52
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	6	$1.6K	1,501	1,201	+300	No	+$319	04-13 06:14
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	15	$1.4K	1,615	810	+805	Yes	+$315	04-08 20:42
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	6	$1.4K	990	990	+0	Yes	+$569	03-26 05:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$1.3K	3,600	3,600	+0	No	-$255	03-05 12:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$1.2K	5,241	5,241	+0	No	-$313	03-17 18:59
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$1.2K	900	900	+0	No	+$227	04-21 08:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$1.1K	1,192	1,192	+0	No	+$334	06-08 02:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	7	$1.0K	16,299	18,299	-2,000	No	-$973	06-30 04:13
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	5	$923	3,288	3,288	+0	open	—	10-17 21:42
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$918	500	500	+0	Yes	+$80	03-05 02:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$880	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$220	04-08 23:43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$860	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$140	02-28 19:27
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	10	$819	994	0	+994	Yes	+$176	04-09 06:16
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$796	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$80	04-16 15:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$760	500	500	+0	Yes	+$210	03-07 20:30
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	21	$757	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$301	03-08 11:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$750	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$350	05-20 20:32
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	10	$721	5,620	5,620	+0	No	-$242	04-13 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:56:35	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	187	0¢	$1	0xd617aa…
10-27 20:07:57	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0x88a416…
10-27 12:11:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,297	1¢	$18	0x81add7…
10-27 11:58:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	600	3¢	$20	0x72337b…
10-27 09:27:24	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x8d4558…
10-27 09:14:12	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7aa109…
10-27 07:56:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xe64061…
10-27 07:43:51	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x6eb814…
10-27 07:33:15	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0xf550de…
10-26 13:39:26	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0xc9bfd3…
10-26 13:39:26	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xc71186…
10-25 11:54:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x797d3e…
10-24 19:43:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	600	12¢	$71	0xe0081f…
10-24 18:11:42	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x65ffae…
10-24 18:11:08	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc53170…
10-24 17:05:20	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xb81310…
10-24 08:44:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x594861…
10-23 22:35:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	600	33¢	$198	0x20463f…
10-21 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xc3b9ae…
10-21 22:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0x4ddcba…
10-21 21:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbe9900…
10-21 21:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x278405…
10-21 21:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x99fedb…
10-21 21:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xdc9ffd…
10-21 21:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x3e49b2…
10-21 21:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xeb6616…
10-21 21:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x497342…
10-21 21:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x14d965…
10-21 21:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x7b15c8…
10-21 21:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb32568…
10-21 21:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f2c2a…
10-21 21:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xc22244…
10-21 21:12:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	18¢	$182	0xd024f2…
10-17 21:42:21	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	444	5¢	$22	0x98bb88…
10-08 13:47:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xebc54d…
10-08 13:41:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x19890e…
10-08 13:41:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0x791088…
10-04 06:21:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	317	18¢	$57	0x414205…
10-04 04:35:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	620	18¢	$112	0x9bd375…
10-04 01:41:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5c93f8…
10-04 01:08:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x708d95…
10-03 21:34:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x274440…
10-03 18:59:59	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	444	12¢	$53	0xe45890…
10-03 18:59:42	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	2,400	12¢	$288	0xce888d…
10-02 13:30:17	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	490	17¢	$83	0x403153…
10-02 13:29:03	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	2,798	17¢	$476	0xa5be7a…
09-30 18:39:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	1,200	1¢	$7	0x5f5385…
09-30 08:21:09	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0x55e9aa…
09-20 08:10:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,200	8¢	$96	0x979e86…
09-18 00:01:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	754	6¢	$45	0x53bce8…
09-07 10:55:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb9a01f…
09-07 10:55:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	6¢	$120	0x33a3d4…
09-07 10:55:01	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	734	79¢	$580	0xdc3e8e…
07-29 20:15:59	Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	1¢	$2	0x566484…
07-29 20:15:23	Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	672	9¢	$61	0xd34417…
07-26 14:00:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	10,000	1¢	$70	0x81c799…
06-30 04:13:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18,299	0¢	$18	0x1d1019…
06-28 23:17:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0x1930c8…
06-19 10:56:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$250	0x9055de…
06-14 18:05:36	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	292	44¢	$129	0x815144…
06-11 06:56:19	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	469	15¢	$70	0xefecb0…
06-10 21:16:21	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	700	47¢	$329	0x2eeeed…
06-10 19:46:45	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	700	19¢	$133	0xb4f57b…
06-10 16:29:06	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	700	18¢	$124	0x7dabea…
06-10 11:41:09	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	292	44¢	$129	0x5cc354…
06-09 23:01:46	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xfd845c…
06-08 16:26:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1,260	12¢	$151	0xa25956…
06-08 12:24:06	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	746	16¢	$119	0x58c264…
06-08 12:20:57	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	254	16¢	$41	0x789da0…
06-08 03:24:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	263	49¢	$129	0xfd1205…
06-08 02:55:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	128	60¢	$76	0x32d897…
06-08 02:40:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,192	60¢	$716	0xeeee94…
06-08 02:09:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6572fa…
06-08 02:09:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x5674c7…
06-08 02:09:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	230	53¢	$122	0x1411af…
06-08 01:45:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	600	57¢	$342	0x65b8f2…
06-07 23:29:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,100	32¢	$352	0x4bc503…
06-07 23:28:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	32¢	$30	0x1723ba…
06-07 23:23:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,000	8¢	$160	0xd92630…
06-07 23:23:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1,619	27¢	$437	0x724e37…
06-07 22:26:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0xac39d1…
06-07 21:50:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	700	31¢	$217	0x74bdfc…
06-07 20:26:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	919	25¢	$230	0x18d3f3…
06-07 20:19:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	948	25¢	$240	0xdd5a9c…
06-07 19:10:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x8a94a4…
06-07 19:08:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x9b7b93…
06-07 19:08:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	324	38¢	$123	0x1528db…
06-02 22:46:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$60	0xc7f80d…
06-02 09:16:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$70	0x20024c…
06-01 14:42:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,001	4¢	$80	0xb0dcb7…
05-31 19:03:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,756	3¢	$61	0x95db4d…
05-31 14:51:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,942	5¢	$179	0x2a6bd9…
05-31 14:50:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	1,600	9¢	$148	0xe15650…
05-29 16:52:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,950	5¢	$90	0xf2c180…
05-29 16:49:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,100	5¢	$205	0x0b1d1c…
05-29 16:47:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,950	6¢	$117	0x2e8902…
05-29 14:23:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10,689	1¢	$68	0x5ce2bc…
05-28 02:34:47	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,600	22¢	$352	0x5d89d4…
05-27 22:42:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	240	1¢	$3	0x353ab6…
05-26 20:11:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	240	6¢	$14	0x0d734f…