Realized P&L (90d)
-$401
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
33.2%
Resolved (90d)
14
Trades (90d)
53
688 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.39K
$81.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$1.28K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Politics
85% 37% +$5,166
Other
14% 32% -$1,190
Crypto
0% 43% -$184
Tech
0% 100% +$144
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,000 -$570 16¢ $-495 +$75 05-25 14:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +578 $271 50¢ $292 +$21 10-08 13:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,000 $260 10¢ $190 -$70 09-30 08:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +600 $198 28¢ $165 -$33 10-23 22:35
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,297 $18 6¢ $78 +$60 10-27 12:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -754 -$45 4¢ $-34 +$11 09-18 00:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +500 $45 6¢ $28 -$18 10-24 08:44