(anonymous) 0xe6d02e…015b15
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$870
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
127
Trades
903
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.10K
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-28 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
54% 73% -$1,505
Politics
37% 73% +$239
Crypto
3% 47% -$84
Tech
3% 100% +$3
Sports
3% 100% +$476
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +590 $505 82¢ $481 -$25 10-26 06:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +231 $188 97¢ $224 +$36 10-26 23:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +289 $185 68¢ $195 +$10 10-11 10:21
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +234 $197 82¢ $193 -$4 10-28 02:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +217 $153 78¢ $171 +$17 10-06 19:10
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 No +128 $121 97¢ $125 +$4 10-24 11:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +124 $99 96¢ $118 +$19 10-26 23:01
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +124 $121 95¢ $118 -$3 10-06 11:20
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +144 $115 80¢ $114 -$1 10-28 02:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +122 $85 66¢ $80 -$6 10-26 16:51
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +50 $16 99¢ $49 +$33 10-27 14:47
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +43 $35 81¢ $35 +$0 10-08 13:03
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +60 $76 56¢ $34 -$42 10-27 00:05
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +426 $32 8¢ $32 +$0 10-16 02:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $55 35¢ $30 -$25 10-07 15:42
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +28 $22 80¢ $22 $0 10-19 05:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +30 $23 64¢ $19 -$4 10-26 17:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +38 $26 46¢ $18 -$8 10-25 11:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +13 $13 94¢ $12 -$1 10-28 02:47
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +31 $18 32¢ $10 -$8 10-26 16:06
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +20 $11 44¢ $9 -$2 10-04 16:14
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$1 09-30 10:40
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +3 $3 83¢ $3 $0 10-28 02:12
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$0 10-18 04:11
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-11 19:18