Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
759
lifetime
Volume
$1.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$51
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 07-02 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
55% 0% $-17
Other
25%
Sports
13% 43% +$2
Crypto
6%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +11 $8 99¢ $11 +$3 07-01 01:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -11 $-10 86¢ $-9 +$0 06-17 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +9 $3 100¢ $9 +$7 06-28 03:42
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 14¢ $5 $-1 06-11 19:24
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-28 21:01
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 07-02 23:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-31 15:03
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-26 03:16
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +6 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-15 00:25
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:24
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +17 $2 $0 $-2 06-04 06:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +11 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 18:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -34 $4 $-0 $-4 06-21 15:11
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 06:26
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 04:20