(anonymous) 0xe6e53d…cb8e81
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
46.5%
Resolved
10
Trades
892
lifetime
Volume
$2.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$62
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 07-22 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
55% 0% $-17
Other
27% — —
Sports
12% 43% +$2
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +45 $8 23¢ $10 +$2 07-16 22:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -15 $-12 70¢ $-10 +$2 07-20 14:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $9 20¢ $8 $-1 07-03 09:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 14¢ $5 $-1 06-11 19:24
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 05-31 15:03
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 06-28 21:01
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 06-26 05:01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 07-21 18:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 07-11 18:49
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +6 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-15 00:25
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +36 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-17 23:33
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:18
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +17 $2 4¢ $1 $-1 06-04 06:20
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-29 02:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-21 19:07
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 17¢ $0 $-1 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54