(anonymous) 0xe6e53d…cb8e81
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$108
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
56.7%
Resolved
362
Trades
1,687
lifetime
Volume
$3.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$48
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
56% 57% +$45
Other
32% 56% -$209
Sports
8% 35% +$18
Crypto
3% 100% +$37
Tech
0% 86% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $14 18¢ $10 -$4 07-26 08:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +9 $5 80¢ $8 +$2 07-20 14:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$1 05-06 16:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$1 05-28 04:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 04-29 13:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +8 $3 39¢ $3 +$0 06-10 01:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 8¢ $3 -$3 06-11 19:24
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 12¢ $2 -$4 05-26 05:36
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +11 $7 15¢ $2 -$5 05-14 18:55
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +4 $2 19¢ $1 -$1 07-11 18:49
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-02 23:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +32 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-18 00:27