Nutty-Jungle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$155

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

792

Trades

1,940

lifetime

Volume

$6.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-17 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 92% +$62

Other

19% 81% +$124

Politics

7% 62% -$31

Sports

1% 43% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	05-14 16:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	05-02 00:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	34	$252	23,891	3,146	+20,745	Yes	+$124	05-01 00:05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	13	$89	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 23:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	15	$78	59	53	+6	No	-$4	05-04 01:38
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	16	$76	163	163	+0	Yes	+$16	05-16 02:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	6	$74	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 00:39
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$73	241	0	+241	No	+$1	05-16 23:34
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	8	$57	1,045	35	+1,010	Yes	+$1	05-16 22:52
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$55	29	29	+0	No	+$1	05-08 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	26	$55	49	22	+27	Up	-$8	05-06 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$52	36	19	+17	Down	+$1	05-03 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8PM ET	3	$51	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	05-03 00:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 5?	4	$49	41	25	+15	Yes	+$4	05-05 11:53
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	7	$47	6,190	117	+6,073	No	-$13	05-13 03:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 6?	7	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-06 15:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6?	5	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	05-06 14:09
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	10	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	05-17 10:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?	8	$40	28	21	+7	Yes	-$1	04-30 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	5	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-06 14:09
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	6	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 11:16
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	05-16 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	9	$38	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 21:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 1?	4	$38	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-01 13:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	4	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 15:21
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 16:15
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	05-12 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$37	19	19	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$36	19	19	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:55 UTC	2	$36	33	31	+2	Up	+$28	04-23 12:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?	3	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:18
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	4	$36	23	23	+0	No	-$2	05-16 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:42:52	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x23714c…
05-17 10:42:47	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x6afa28…
05-17 10:42:42	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x41e703…
05-17 10:42:38	Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than or equal to -0.4%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf2d97b…
05-17 10:42:31	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x35fae2…
05-17 10:42:28	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x593182…
05-17 10:42:21	Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3bd241…
05-17 10:42:12	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x24ee28…
05-17 10:42:09	New Half-Life game by June 30?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x18a5af…
05-17 10:41:44	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xaa9471…
05-17 10:41:39	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x714ec4…
05-17 10:41:30	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xac4ebc…
05-17 10:41:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xa3eb65…
05-17 10:40:22	DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by May 31?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe341a1…
05-17 10:00:02	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6ea834…
05-17 09:57:54	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb33de5…
05-17 09:54:26	Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe711b2…
05-17 09:52:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xa861de…
05-17 09:42:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1e1302…
05-17 09:41:57	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf96b8c…
05-17 00:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x83f6c6…
05-17 00:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x35f926…
05-16 23:37:35	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x453f06…
05-16 23:34:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xde61b3…
05-16 23:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe8a938…
05-16 23:31:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x629bd7…
05-16 23:31:13	Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6778fc…
05-16 23:30:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xf75a01…
05-16 23:26:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x7c47a7…
05-16 23:24:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb80d8e…
05-16 23:13:33	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb50732…
05-16 23:10:22	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2955c2…
05-16 23:09:38	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x0af6bc…
05-16 23:02:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xaa6251…
05-16 22:52:07	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x21b029…
05-16 22:48:26	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ddde5…
05-16 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x01a266…
05-16 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2ee7b6…
05-16 19:53:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f9e99…
05-16 19:52:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8da4dd…
05-16 19:43:12	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9df4dc…
05-16 19:35:35	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd696d4…
05-16 19:35:02	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x9b57b7…
05-16 19:33:36	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x86e08d…
05-16 15:49:52	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0f983a…
05-16 14:46:06	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7a43bb…
05-16 13:28:23	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfc1ca8…
05-16 13:18:24	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa67027…
05-16 12:54:06	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5f026f…
05-16 12:52:51	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x405c64…
05-16 12:50:36	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x7fe2fd…
05-16 11:26:21	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x15628c…
05-16 11:16:08	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcbd2d2…
05-16 10:46:53	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xa09034…
05-16 10:41:57	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcf70fb…
05-16 10:36:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x96f77d…
05-16 10:36:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1db193…
05-16 10:36:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x185e28…
05-16 10:34:36	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x91f4c5…
05-16 09:23:54	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xf9b45a…
05-16 09:09:03	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x88ae7e…
05-16 09:08:30	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4540c7…
05-16 02:51:23	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x65e9cb…
05-16 02:49:29	Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc94349…
05-16 02:06:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8ba78c…
05-16 02:06:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd3eac6…
05-16 02:05:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7e772b…
05-16 00:22:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd5e7b8…
05-16 00:17:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa257bd…
05-16 00:13:33	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3b79ef…
05-16 00:12:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xcdc150…
05-16 00:09:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x482793…
05-15 22:34:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x604b66…
05-15 22:27:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbd35d0…
05-15 22:14:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdcefa2…
05-15 18:45:40	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xc9d8e7…
05-15 18:25:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xeb17b1…
05-15 15:17:28	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x517c63…
05-15 15:17:16	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x10ab4d…
05-15 15:05:13	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x9bf7c7…
05-15 14:27:10	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xec7ea2…
05-15 14:21:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x536808…
05-15 14:04:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2b1b10…
05-15 13:51:19	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4777ff…
05-15 11:37:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9b9ea6…
05-15 11:34:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcb2945…
05-15 11:32:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x011ad4…
05-15 11:31:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb04e20…
05-15 11:29:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb8839…
05-15 11:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x58a08e…
05-15 11:11:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x192614…
05-15 10:53:08	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf92996…
05-15 10:51:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbfe475…
05-15 10:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xda5fe8…
05-15 10:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x77e8ed…
05-15 10:29:25	Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xf84315…
05-15 10:24:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x3b8b2b…
05-15 08:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9fe944…
05-15 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf8e58b…
05-15 08:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5d2654…