Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$51

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$37.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

$2.83K

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-23 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

57% 97% +$1,847

Sports

27% 6% +$892

Crypto

10% 100% +$169

Politics

7% 75% -$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No		+2,200	$2,024	92¢	$2.0K	+$11	10-05 18:13
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No		+800	$754	99¢	$794	+$40	10-21 15:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	5	$3.7K	3,772	0	+3,772	No	+$100	09-17 16:07
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2.2K	11,062	0	+11,062	No	-$2,168	06-23 14:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$2.0K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	10-05 18:13
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	2	$1.9K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$276	09-06 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$106	08-28 01:33
Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	12	$1.7K	1,495	600	+895	Yes	+$97	09-16 05:18
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.6K	11,062	0	+11,062	No	-$1,615	06-23 19:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.5K	11,062	0	+11,062	Yes	+$9,535	06-24 02:19
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	12	$1.5K	766	766	+0	No	+$32	10-13 20:45
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$1.4K	11,062	0	+11,062	No	-$1,372	06-23 21:33
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	1	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	Manchester City FC	+$132	10-11 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	2	$962	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$38	09-21 08:24
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$896	11,062	0	+11,062	No	-$896	06-24 11:23
Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	7	$825	500	500	+0	No	+$55	09-20 19:03
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	4	$793	813	0	+813	Yes	+$20	09-20 21:18
Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?	2	$783	850	0	+850	No	+$67	09-16 05:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	2	$754	800	0	+800	open	—	10-21 15:10
Spread: Germany (-2.5)	1	$736	800	0	+800	Netherlands	+$64	09-24 10:55
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	5	$716	749	749	+0	open	—	10-06 13:21
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	8	$663	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$647	09-20 17:44
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$629	1,000	500	+500	No	+$101	09-20 17:00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$619	11,062	0	+11,062	No	-$619	06-23 16:57
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$567	11,092	30	+11,062	No	-$564	06-25 18:58
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$553	11,062	0	+11,062	No	-$553	06-23 14:08
Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?	3	$536	570	0	+570	No	+$34	08-31 12:27
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$510	574	0	+574	Yes	+$64	09-20 17:30
Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	4	$480	500	0	+500	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	+$19	10-23 13:08
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$478	500	0	+500	No	+$22	09-29 15:07
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	1	$476	500	0	+500	Yes	+$24	09-06 19:28
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	3	$475	500	0	+500	Greece	+$25	10-04 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 13:08:56	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x6103e3…
10-23 13:08:56	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	420	96¢	$404	0x2e4aef…
10-23 13:08:54	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe754da…
10-23 13:08:54	Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x67ae92…
10-21 15:10:33	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	155	94¢	$146	0x7d712f…
10-21 15:10:32	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	BUY	645	94¢	$608	0x25d566…
10-17 17:32:09	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xb8f981…
10-15 09:00:38	will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	118	79¢	$94	0xc910bd…
10-15 08:25:53	will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4a57bd…
10-13 20:52:15	Will Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xee938b…
10-13 20:45:57	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$156	0x0cc553…
10-13 20:45:55	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe067cb…
10-13 20:45:55	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	360	99¢	$357	0x9d6a4c…
10-13 20:45:55	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	243	99¢	$241	0x5c97dc…
10-13 20:27:03	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x95726c…
10-13 20:27:03	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	178	94¢	$168	0x6bb95b…
10-13 20:27:01	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$96	0xec7204…
10-13 20:25:57	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xd72ca7…
10-13 20:25:57	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	182	95¢	$173	0x304b00…
10-13 20:25:57	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x2fda27…
10-13 20:25:57	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	126	95¢	$119	0x0cf332…
10-13 20:23:54	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0xfbabd2…
10-11 15:09:55	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	1,200	89¢	$1,068	0x40fbd3…
10-06 13:21:16	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	552	24¢	$133	0x2f4402…
10-06 13:03:24	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x0e9768…
10-06 12:53:00	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	97	22¢	$21	0x3cca8d…
10-05 18:13:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	2,200	92¢	$2,024	0x3ea0b0…
10-04 18:09:50	Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Greece	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa7490d…
10-04 18:09:35	Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Greece	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xf5748b…
10-04 18:09:35	Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Greece	BUY	468	95¢	$444	0x823eb1…
10-04 18:07:14	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Greece	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x6d46b5…
09-29 15:07:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$478	0xaec96f…
09-27 20:37:14	Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	152	83¢	$126	0x4d584c…
09-27 20:32:54	Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xc3b0e9…
09-26 04:41:44	Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x1fb1d6…
09-24 10:55:11	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Netherlands	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0x2ae931…
09-22 13:36:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $840 in September?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x5b8158…
09-21 08:24:27	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	900	96¢	$866	0x53c211…
09-21 08:15:30	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x17c8b2…
09-20 21:47:05	Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	395	97¢	$382	0x9d688d…
09-20 21:18:41	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x88c33c…
09-20 20:02:26	Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x89cdeb…
09-20 20:01:58	Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x45d84a…
09-20 20:01:46	Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb96cf8…
09-20 20:01:46	Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x47d9c4…
09-20 19:58:47	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x63d894…
09-20 19:58:34	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xceecb0…
09-20 19:58:34	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	220	97¢	$213	0xb90889…
09-20 19:53:01	Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x49790f…
09-20 19:31:49	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xbaf036…
09-20 19:31:37	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x3ee51b…
09-20 19:03:50	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	120	88¢	$106	0xeae8bf…
09-20 19:03:50	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	342	88¢	$301	0x8ace12…
09-20 19:02:55	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x985974…
09-20 19:02:05	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x634387…
09-20 19:02:05	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x625dfd…
09-20 19:02:05	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x0ba7f3…
09-20 18:12:01	Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb1c865…
09-20 17:44:10	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	410	11¢	$44	0x303e8f…
09-20 17:42:16	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x7fb482…
09-20 17:40:12	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1,091	40¢	$438	0xc4d357…
09-20 17:38:33	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	792	14¢	$111	0x63c910…
09-20 17:38:19	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	225	16¢	$37	0xdb9ebe…
09-20 17:30:55	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x5fabdf…
09-20 17:30:27	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	127	97¢	$123	0x7c06e8…
09-20 17:00:33	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xc4465a…
09-20 16:57:09	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xba3dc1…
09-20 16:53:33	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0xe101fb…
09-20 16:14:48	Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 0-2%?	No	BUY	170	94¢	$159	0x0ce28e…
09-17 20:54:39	Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x821812…
09-17 20:54:27	Will CDU win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x89eaee…
09-17 20:47:58	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xbf1a88…
09-17 20:10:39	Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0x0628a1…
09-17 18:46:37	Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 5-10%?	No	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0x980923…
09-17 16:07:03	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,922	0x9d1479…
09-16 22:50:55	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x5802cc…
09-16 16:19:56	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	856	1¢	$9	0xd53dc8…
09-16 16:19:15	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	576	1¢	$6	0xfe6dbb…
09-16 05:20:19	Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	250	92¢	$231	0x5e1921…
09-16 05:20:10	Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	600	92¢	$553	0xc338f9…
09-16 05:18:57	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x86721e…
09-16 05:18:57	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x46972a…
09-16 05:18:55	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x0e634c…
09-16 05:18:40	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x89fab7…
09-16 05:18:03	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	495	88¢	$435	0x7b4b10…
09-16 05:17:18	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xe92d0f…
09-13 00:24:16	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	BUY	212	97¢	$206	0x532d9e…
09-13 00:16:57	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	BUY	203	97¢	$197	0xbc6c43…
09-12 10:04:51	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0x9430a8…
09-12 09:53:42	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0x91a1af…
09-10 16:54:42	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	130	72¢	$93	0x148a07…
09-10 16:54:40	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	280	72¢	$202	0xfce935…
09-10 16:54:39	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	190	72¢	$137	0x54d361…
09-10 15:52:04	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0x4a70e3…
09-10 15:45:25	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	219	73¢	$160	0xcc1a61…
09-10 15:45:16	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	264	73¢	$193	0x8bca00…
09-10 15:45:15	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	99	73¢	$73	0xf3c71f…
09-10 15:10:18	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x46d904…
09-10 13:00:30	Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xd4d7c3…
09-06 19:28:16	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x4c553a…