Twin-Manufacturer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

61 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$96 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-06 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

80% 51% -$5

Crypto

8% 25% -$4

Sports

7% 14% -$1

Politics

5% 50% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	95¢	$2	+$1	05-20 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	06-22 07:12
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	+$1	03-19 13:09
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	06-23 20:34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	06-12 08:24
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	06-12 08:22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	06-12 08:21
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	06-12 08:23
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	06-12 08:22
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	-$3	03-19 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	3	$3	8	0	+8	Up	-$3	03-20 14:24
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	06-23 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:20 UTC	2	$2	2	1	+0	Up	+$1	03-20 07:26
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	06-24 12:45
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	06-12 08:25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-12 08:24
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	06-24 12:45
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	03-19 13:11
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	06-18 05:21
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	06-12 08:23
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	06-12 08:21
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	03-19 13:48
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	03-24 17:32
will agent be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-19 18:10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	06-22 07:18
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	03-24 17:32
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	03-19 13:01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	+$5	06-14 10:04
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	03-19 13:40
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	03-19 12:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-19 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 11:19:28	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7e28b6…
07-06 11:18:59	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb7367c…
07-02 07:38:49	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbd8a87…
06-29 09:02:20	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x822e30…
06-24 12:45:11	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7e7f08…
06-24 12:45:10	Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x00fde9…
06-23 20:52:11	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xefd536…
06-23 20:52:02	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4114a3…
06-23 20:34:37	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2f736a…
06-23 20:33:56	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x969311…
06-22 07:18:23	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9b36c1…
06-22 07:12:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x62de5c…
06-22 07:12:23	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeecaa4…
06-21 06:18:41	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6d1c19…
06-18 05:25:04	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5bb290…
06-18 05:21:37	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xaa193b…
06-14 10:04:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcdf840…
06-14 10:04:27	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc3519f…
06-14 10:04:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdf4456…
06-14 10:04:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x85fbd8…
06-12 08:25:27	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x06ec9b…
06-12 08:24:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x922c17…
06-12 08:24:15	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1105d0…
06-12 08:23:33	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x11f211…
06-12 08:23:15	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x37e8d7…
06-12 08:22:42	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0ba234…
06-12 08:22:15	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2efa02…
06-12 08:21:51	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xabc6b7…
06-12 08:21:27	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5a4401…
05-20 08:54:46	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x64706c…
05-16 07:31:28	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xe43373…
05-05 14:30:40	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x12c874…
03-24 17:32:21	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd3a771…
03-24 17:32:19	Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x08c3ad…
03-24 17:29:05	will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 389	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x97fdcb…
03-20 14:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3bdd38…
03-20 14:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5271e8…
03-20 14:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x74dbba…
03-20 07:39:45	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdaff47…
03-20 07:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcfa836…
03-20 07:26:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc188bb…
03-20 07:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9254c9…
03-19 21:59:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1fd807…
03-19 19:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbfaee0…
03-19 19:41:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x83c890…
03-19 18:12:09	will google be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 773	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x12f7b9…
03-19 18:10:57	will china be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 259	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa73dd5…
03-19 18:10:49	will agent be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe7a28e…
03-19 13:50:07	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8af5e6…
03-19 13:49:37	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x12e525…
03-19 13:48:03	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x474a59…
03-19 13:41:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 169	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x324a84…
03-19 13:40:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x370bdc…
03-19 13:11:35	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4675f6…
03-19 13:11:15	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xecd9a8…
03-19 13:09:57	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x40e389…
03-19 13:09:21	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x89226d…
03-19 13:03:21	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x168984…
03-19 13:01:11	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x72e406…
03-19 13:00:57	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0f4d7b…
03-19 12:53:43	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa69a99…