Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$218
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$124
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-12 23:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55%
Sports
32%
Other
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -19 $-16 96¢ $-18 $-2 05-09 04:01
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Under +19 $10 58¢ $11 +$1 05-12 23:10
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Spurs +19 $10 52¢ $10 $-0 05-12 17:37
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Over +21 $10 48¢ $10 $-0 05-12 23:07
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs +13 $10 78¢ $10 $-0 05-12 21:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +12 $8 76¢ $9 +$1 05-10 22:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +38 $8 22¢ $9 +$1 05-12 17:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +12 $8 72¢ $9 +$1 05-10 20:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +15 $8 55¢ $8 +$0 05-11 21:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 76¢ $-7 $-1 05-09 04:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-11 16¢ $-7 +$4 05-09 04:01
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles +50 $20 12¢ $6 $-13 05-12 22:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +29 $9 18¢ $5 $-4 05-07 00:12
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -6 $-5 83¢ $-5 $-0 05-09 04:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 05-06 04:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -26 $-4 $-0 +$4 05-09 04:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-10 14:07