Traumatic-Textual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-20 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

60% 78% -$71

Other

40% 56% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No		+11	$10	92¢	$10	+$0	10-20 07:03
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-03 13:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	21	$388	212	212	+0	No	+$2	03-18 05:36
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	14	$247	125	125	+0	No	$0	03-16 04:36
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$141	72	72	+0	No	+$1	02-28 02:07
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$140	72	72	+0	No	+$0	02-27 05:40
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	4	$81	47	47	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 04:33
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	5	$74	44	34	+11	No	+$0	01-30 02:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$70	83	0	+83	Yes	-$70	02-28 05:16
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	4	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$1	01-26 11:05
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:32
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$43	28	28	+0	Yes	-$1	03-29 03:33
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	3	$42	21	26	-6	Yes	-$3	03-31 02:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$41	187	187	+0	Yes	-$1	03-01 07:11
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-27 04:03
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	4	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	01-22 05:07
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	5	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$0	01-22 09:42
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	01-27 05:20
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	$0	01-28 03:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	10-20 07:00
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	5	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	01-18 07:01
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	01-26 03:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$20	10	10	-0	open	—	10-20 07:00
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	07-09 14:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	02-27 04:04
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-27 04:03
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-25 01:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 02:35
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	01-19 01:43
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	3	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	01-17 04:53
zhang youxia seen in public by february 28	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-01 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 07:03:02	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe304ce…
10-20 07:00:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4511e2…
10-20 07:00:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x5b4249…
10-03 13:20:21	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0bb851…
10-03 12:40:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x685514…
10-03 12:37:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x632c12…
08-10 01:46:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe199fc…
08-03 06:03:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x53f6ab…
07-09 14:30:40	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa190f1…
05-08 04:33:17	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xb114f5…
04-09 02:16:07	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x27c5d4…
04-04 03:10:51	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x3a0be4…
03-31 05:02:39	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x713131…
03-31 02:01:07	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x0c2ca0…
03-30 04:46:06	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc9f543…
03-29 03:33:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0xa39e23…
03-29 03:32:58	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8839b2…
03-27 02:16:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3bfa40…
03-26 08:21:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x8f1112…
03-26 08:17:47	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x55ff60…
03-25 09:37:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x8f3899…
03-25 01:14:37	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5e945c…
03-25 01:14:17	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b9ee4…
03-23 01:09:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x1bcfba…
03-18 05:36:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xfea647…
03-16 12:16:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf347fb…
03-16 12:14:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9f913c…
03-16 04:36:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x9d0097…
03-13 10:12:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x519e28…
03-13 10:11:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x576bd1…
03-12 11:48:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x17ef5c…
03-12 11:47:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xd3e378…
03-11 09:15:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x1f3d80…
03-11 09:14:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x440567…
03-11 09:14:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7fb064…
03-11 09:14:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x3d139c…
03-11 02:04:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf0abcb…
03-11 02:02:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x36cb44…
03-11 02:01:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x863216…
03-11 02:00:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x8a2949…
03-09 02:10:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xb5ff1f…
03-09 02:09:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x932aec…
03-06 09:19:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1e1be2…
03-06 09:18:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x0cc0c3…
03-06 02:36:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3bf95a…
03-06 02:36:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x57c284…
03-06 02:35:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xcef5c9…
03-06 02:35:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x69ce0a…
03-05 12:02:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7c47ce…
03-05 11:58:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x686c70…
03-05 11:57:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa20fb2…
03-05 11:57:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x6a7ea4…
03-04 10:27:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa58602…
03-04 10:27:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x75cc35…
03-04 10:26:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xa67fd0…
03-03 10:53:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf8fbe5…
03-03 08:44:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfa23c2…
03-03 08:44:07	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd19a3b…
03-03 08:43:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc6b69a…
03-03 08:43:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x441acc…
03-01 07:16:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x99d88d…
03-01 07:14:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc7bb3c…
03-01 07:11:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe84a7d…
03-01 07:11:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbf1be0…
03-01 02:45:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf59000…
03-01 02:43:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x46fa54…
03-01 02:33:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0xab2f73…
03-01 01:45:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xc16d6b…
02-28 05:16:23	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0x7c26a7…
02-28 02:07:37	deepseek v4 released by february 28	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ea6e0…
02-28 02:07:23	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xbb4aeb…
02-27 05:43:28	deepseek v4 released by february 28	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a17a4…
02-27 05:41:46	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x6b3bd2…
02-27 05:40:50	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0x93b80a…
02-27 04:05:18	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x6818f6…
02-27 04:04:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0e9fcc…
02-27 04:03:58	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xba4757…
02-27 04:03:54	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x847957…
02-27 04:03:54	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0e8c2c…
02-27 04:03:46	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21c351…
02-26 12:33:04	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x77b8cc…
02-26 11:55:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xcfbc80…
02-26 11:55:18	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x353268…
02-26 05:57:56	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc2b7f7…
02-26 05:45:10	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1b20c…
02-25 01:32:52	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x00a9c0…
02-25 01:32:42	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbc5662…
02-25 01:32:20	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x03bdca…
02-24 07:42:46	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xd0d803…
02-24 07:36:48	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xef7806…
02-24 02:30:04	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5f46dc…
02-11 06:38:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x7efb8a…
02-10 06:26:59	will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x361e53…
02-10 06:24:53	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x92d16a…
02-07 08:13:35	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x904e13…
02-07 08:07:05	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa388e6…
02-06 05:51:49	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf9f4a9…
02-03 01:32:26	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xc7ce26…
02-02 07:09:12	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x282fac…
02-02 07:08:48	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x296c26…