Compassionate-Fame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$440

Unrealized P&L

-$143

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

799

Trades

5,744

lifetime

Volume

$141.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$277

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Sports

55% 52% +$2,124

Other

29% 54% -$1,555

Politics

9% 81% +$317

Crypto

6% 34% -$1,421

Tech

1% 67% +$37

Pop-Culture

0% 71% +$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-150	-$141	98¢	$-148	-$7	10-11 21:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-500	-$54	10¢	$-48	+$6	10-16 08:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+50	$34	91¢	$45	+$11	09-10 01:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$140	2¢	$21	-$118	08-04 13:08
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+3,364	$42	0¢	$12	-$30	09-01 10:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+38	-$7	4¢	$2	+$9	06-26 14:08
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	Yes	-50	-$1	1¢	$-1	+$0	10-11 22:02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	+110	$16	0¢	$1	-$15	11-04 07:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	198	$11.8K	11,615	17,868	-6,253	Yes	-$601	06-14 03:09
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	74	$3.6K	3,457	233	+3,225	No	+$50	06-30 01:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	35	$2.0K	1,531	505	+1,025	Yes	+$5	03-04 16:51
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	35	$1.8K	2,008	0	+2,008	No	+$222	02-09 04:36
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	29	$1.7K	1,889	1,770	+119	No	+$419	06-07 22:13
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	14	$1.7K	1,080	1,000	+80	England	+$212	07-18 22:46
nba 2025 26 bpg leader victor wembanyama	29	$1.5K	1,592	0	+1,592	Yes	+$121	04-10 09:42
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	27	$1.4K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	-$1,450	07-24 09:33
will robbie williams perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	22	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$9	02-04 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?	16	$1.4K	900	467	+433	Yes	+$5	05-26 14:54
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	27	$1.3K	28,500	23,000	+5,500	No	+$58	07-07 22:37
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	313	$1.3K	14,235	12,935	+1,300	No	+$1,172	06-14 03:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:30 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,265	0	+1,265	Down	+$1	01-05 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:45 UTC	11	$1.3K	1,252	0	+1,252	Up	+$2	01-05 06:00
nba cle ind 2026 01 06	4	$1.2K	1,152	152	+1,000	Cavaliers	+$70	01-07 04:54
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	26	$1.2K	910	810	+100	Yes	+$91	02-09 02:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,203	0	+1,203	Down	+$1	01-05 05:55
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	14	$1.2K	825	750	+75	Seahawks	+$312	01-26 02:39
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	37	$1.1K	33,000	29,000	+4,000	No	-$94	07-07 12:58
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.0K	688	688	+0	Yes	+$144	07-02 18:00
will wagner moura be nominated for best actor at the 98th academy awards	12	$1.0K	700	400	+300	Yes	+$48	01-22 09:42
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-01 23:31
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	7	$990	664	332	+332	Yes	+$2	07-01 22:02
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	56	$988	27,216	25,091	+2,125	No	+$112	07-06 01:52
tsla up or down on january 5 2026	19	$979	1,067	0	+1,067	Up	+$88	01-05 20:33
will post malone perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 334	16	$976	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$74	02-07 18:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	5	$940	942	0	+942	No	+$3	03-30 17:04
NBA Playoffs: 76ers vs. Celtics Total Games O/U 4.5	12	$924	483	483	+1	Over 4.5	+$41	04-27 05:21
nba nyk phx 2026 01 09	32	$918	1,865	1,067	+798	Suns	-$246	01-10 04:29
will doordash report 900 million or more total orders in q4 2025	8	$902	910	0	+910	Yes	+$8	02-19 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 03:42:09	Commanders vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xce0358…
11-10 03:44:06	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x550322…
11-10 03:43:58	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7c7cac…
11-10 02:17:22	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Nuggets	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x848884…
11-10 02:01:00	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0efa48…
11-10 02:00:42	Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8c08bd…
11-10 01:59:54	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x3e87f1…
11-09 00:54:18	Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x9db629…
11-09 00:50:13	Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7b860b…
11-09 00:49:43	Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x682c90…
11-09 00:49:28	Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x74d70a…
11-05 05:07:36	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcf15cb…
11-05 05:07:27	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xedec7f…
11-05 05:06:48	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd801eb…
11-05 04:51:10	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0x8c4b81…
11-05 04:50:58	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x8677fe…
11-05 04:44:39	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xae0b43…
11-05 03:26:25	Mavericks vs. Spurs	Mavericks	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0xfe3b85…
11-05 03:24:22	Jazz vs. Pelicans	Jazz	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8c9b02…
11-05 03:24:04	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Timberwolves	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xc07da6…
11-05 03:23:46	Jazz vs. Pelicans	Jazz	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8bf5d8…
11-05 02:55:40	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3cbf57…
11-05 02:47:40	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x17e270…
11-05 02:47:03	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xf210ea…
11-05 02:27:21	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xe9fe44…
11-04 08:22:18	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x14b979…
11-04 08:16:03	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf8afb3…
11-04 08:16:03	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xaadedf…
11-04 07:30:04	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x220f39…
11-04 07:27:22	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0x2e83c1…
11-04 07:26:40	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x43db11…
11-04 07:23:34	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6b3faf…
11-04 07:22:01	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x7a8c68…
11-04 07:20:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0xdd6e18…
11-04 07:20:06	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf9cba2…
11-04 07:19:01	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xa840e1…
11-04 07:17:12	Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xe22bba…
11-04 06:09:24	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xcd649a…
11-04 06:06:52	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x189dab…
11-04 06:05:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8e16a3…
11-04 06:05:21	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8e6a96…
11-04 06:05:21	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x4eafeb…
11-04 06:04:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x10eafc…
11-03 21:42:16	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf02e5b…
11-03 21:42:00	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa15775…
11-03 03:53:24	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe3deec…
11-03 03:51:10	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x622e50…
11-03 03:51:09	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8633c7…
11-03 03:12:03	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe43b80…
11-03 03:11:42	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x9fca08…
10-31 02:11:52	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4d440c…
10-31 01:48:06	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe8395e…
10-31 01:43:57	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdfcb2b…
10-31 01:43:57	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9763ea…
10-31 01:43:57	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x421c82…
10-31 01:43:57	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x2eac2a…
10-31 01:38:40	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd69e56…
10-31 01:38:01	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6e0ef0…
10-31 01:37:55	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xf81e7d…
10-31 01:37:55	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbac5ff…
10-31 01:31:45	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x20bbdb…
10-31 01:17:19	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	49	26¢	$13	0xe4d34b…
10-31 01:16:55	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x215a6d…
10-31 01:16:54	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xf9c6da…
10-31 01:16:54	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0xea7a58…
10-31 01:13:18	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xef3d6f…
10-31 01:12:25	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x15ccf6…
10-31 01:12:18	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xbe242d…
10-29 01:53:25	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xedd22c…
10-29 01:45:16	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd58f66…
10-29 01:44:58	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xb40daa…
10-29 00:57:23	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb8ed10…
10-25 02:37:45	Houston vs. Utah	Houston	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x65f7cc…
10-21 01:24:54	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdf597b…
10-21 01:18:57	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x636a51…
10-21 01:03:41	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x83c707…
10-21 00:51:15	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x63cdb5…
10-16 08:50:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xaa3280…
10-16 08:49:09	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2b9218…
10-16 08:49:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0xa4be04…
10-16 08:47:00	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xbb4a80…
10-16 08:46:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xea52a8…
10-16 08:46:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xd6c30b…
10-16 08:46:51	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x04ad43…
10-16 08:46:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x27f72a…
10-16 08:46:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xddf84c…
10-16 08:46:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x0354e8…
10-16 08:12:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x87faac…
10-16 04:51:34	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	65	15¢	$10	0x12f166…
10-16 03:30:57	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8c41c5…
10-16 03:30:48	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x525caa…
10-16 03:24:12	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2876a9…
10-16 03:22:09	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x60a8c0…
10-16 03:06:31	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x576604…
10-16 03:04:39	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xbbc002…
10-16 03:04:34	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x666fe6…
10-16 03:04:33	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac3076…
10-16 03:03:58	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Seahawks	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x81769a…
10-15 19:49:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x63fd08…
10-15 17:13:44	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x1cb60c…