Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$147
Hit rate
33.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
972
lifetime
Volume
$25.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$724
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 20% +$15
Tech
41%
Sports
5%
Crypto
5%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +400 $216 76¢ $302 +$86 07-09 05:19
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +98 $75 88¢ $86 +$11 07-16 08:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +116 $63 62¢ $71 +$8 07-16 00:37
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $54 58¢ $58 +$4 06-26 14:29
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -105 $-71 55¢ $-57 +$14 07-16 12:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -80 $-37 68¢ $-54 $-16 07-07 19:30
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +100 $68 40¢ $40 $-28 06-29 04:04
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +44 $27 64¢ $28 +$2 07-07 19:29
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +20 $9 42¢ $8 $-1 06-25 18:57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 06-23 21:49
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +5 $4 73¢ $4 +$0 06-27 03:57
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 07-15 13:19
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $6 23¢ $3 $-2 06-23 22:20
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +4 $-65 80¢ $3 +$68 07-15 11:11