Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
+$320
Hit rate
33.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
744
lifetime
Volume
$19.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$877
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
49% 20% +$15
Tech
38%
Sports
6%
Crypto
5%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +200 $92 74¢ $149 +$57 06-24 19:38
Will Aurora make a roster change before July? No +168 $-20 88¢ $148 +$168 06-29 15:10
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 $-0 06-24 17:38
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +100 $68 68¢ $68 +$0 06-29 04:04
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +92 $64 72¢ $66 +$3 06-25 11:56
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +100 $54 62¢ $62 +$8 06-24 03:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $54 56¢ $56 +$2 06-26 14:29
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +190 $74 28¢ $52 $-22 06-27 18:16
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes -52 $-46 98¢ $-51 $-4 05-31 04:58
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $54 50¢ $50 $-4 06-25 13:44
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +40 $34 86¢ $34 +$0 06-24 15:01
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +125 $21 18¢ $22 +$1 06-30 08:02
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? No -18 $-136 70¢ $-13 +$124 06-19 00:34
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 06-25 18:57
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $6 34¢ $5 $-1 06-23 22:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 06-23 21:49
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 +$0 06-27 03:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -3 $12 59¢ $-2 $-13 06-28 20:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-16 12:14