Pretty-Saxophone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,004

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-09 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

46% 20% +$15

Tech

41% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	29	$1.6K	2,196	1,762	+433	open	—	07-16 06:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	31	$1.6K	1,363	1,443	-80	open	—	07-07 19:30
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	28	$1.4K	1,329	1,161	+168	open	—	06-29 15:10
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	11	$741	542	542	+0	open	—	06-26 22:30
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	10	$676	621	601	+20	open	—	07-23 09:19
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	8	$567	566	566	+0	open	—	06-19 17:42
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260623205144681 518 212	3	$558	300	300	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	11	$552	1,882	382	+1,500	open	—	06-09 23:52
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July?	9	$537	348	366	-18	open	—	06-19 00:34
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	10	$532	848	290	+558	open	—	07-25 10:17
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	14	$489	358	358	+0	open	—	07-08 08:39
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	10	$486	453	449	+4	open	—	07-15 11:11
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	5	$481	300	300	+0	open	—	06-13 23:23
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	22	$463	988	995	-7	open	—	06-08 16:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	21	$425	1,884	942	+942	open	—	06-30 23:19
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	18	$416	2,251	1,762	+490	open	—	05-28 16:43
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?	12	$405	636	237	+398	open	—	06-17 13:01
will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	3	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 09:05
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$352	400	256	+144	open	—	07-24 04:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	5	$323	269	245	+24	open	—	07-29 22:49
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$294	400	128	+272	open	—	08-02 11:05
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$287	300	205	+95	open	—	07-16 12:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178	4	$284	300	300	+0	open	—	06-14 04:49
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	14	$281	476	476	+0	open	—	06-30 13:40
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	11	$278	244	244	+0	open	—	07-17 18:25
grok 4pt4 released by july 17 148	4	$273	150	150	+0	open	—	07-08 17:54
nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	2	$270	160	160	+0	open	—	06-04 09:39
cs2 faze big5 2026 04 05	5	$263	250	247	+3	open	—	04-05 20:48
will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	9	$263	481	0	+481	open	—	07-16 08:50
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	6	$259	152	152	+0	open	—	07-08 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 17:01:43	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd3b68e…
08-02 11:05:56	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	61¢	$78	0x8d15d5…
07-30 09:14:21	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	159	38¢	$61	0x1dbb0f…
07-29 22:49:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	161	69¢	$111	0xb6a077…
07-28 09:52:07	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xcb0703…
07-26 11:50:15	f1 hungarian grand prix h2h leclerc vs norris 2026 07 26	Norris	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x14a46d…
07-26 11:34:30	f1 hungarian grand prix h2h verstappen vs hamilton 2026 07 26	Hamilton	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa9a237…
07-25 10:17:52	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x769f7d…
07-24 14:16:54	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	90	35¢	$31	0x5d0103…
07-24 11:43:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd268e7…
07-24 04:30:30	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x6f3156…
07-24 00:44:46	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x996871…
07-23 23:45:36	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0xec4051…
07-23 23:20:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xa6b07e…
07-23 20:39:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x8508a3…
07-23 18:05:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x173ee8…
07-23 11:42:04	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xd192a6…
07-23 11:41:40	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x284a0a…
07-23 11:23:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xe487be…
07-23 09:19:31	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	201	67¢	$135	0xa4c788…
07-23 09:00:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x3136e7…
07-23 07:33:31	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0x33ea9b…
07-23 06:06:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x7794ec…
07-23 04:16:42	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x687070…
07-22 23:56:01	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	SELL	270	27¢	$73	0xe13405…
07-22 23:48:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	300	15¢	$46	0x11bb9d…
07-22 19:05:42	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	69	39¢	$27	0x6a0cc1…
07-22 07:23:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$30	0xee0045…
07-22 06:04:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xf78d11…
07-22 03:14:13	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	32	64¢	$21	0x5b40ca…
07-22 03:02:04	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xf8654b…
07-22 01:16:28	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd56cc5…
07-21 22:12:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	49	23¢	$11	0x9c3e17…
07-21 21:13:10	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xfd7eba…
07-21 20:44:04	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	No	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0xec2c92…
07-21 20:26:45	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	150	65¢	$97	0x59de65…
07-21 07:59:58	will avax dip to 3 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1c7555…
07-21 07:59:57	will avax dip to 3 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xad47d2…
07-19 14:52:40	cs2 pol1 kos 2026 07 19	Kosovo	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0x50658a…
07-18 20:18:52	will google googl q2 cloud revenue be above 22pt5b 20260703214914067	Yes	SELL	172	69¢	$119	0x4b220b…
07-18 20:15:07	will google googl q2 cloud revenue be above 22pt5b 20260703214914067	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x69f57e…
07-18 15:31:15	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x2ad7da…
07-18 10:08:31	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 19 2026 20260713185755111	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x1daac1…
07-18 07:38:13	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xa52bc0…
07-18 05:26:42	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0x362559…
07-17 18:25:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xe5bc02…
07-17 17:49:28	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xc6a73a…
07-17 15:54:40	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	55	69¢	$38	0x6b1ea5…
07-17 14:35:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x799240…
07-17 13:51:39	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	159	69¢	$109	0x6294ef…
07-17 01:53:43	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x273f3b…
07-16 23:38:46	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0xacd75c…
07-16 15:26:19	will the next claude haiku model be released by december 31 2026 20260701205353329	No	SELL	202	25¢	$50	0x029ab5…
07-16 12:34:28	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0xf55f68…
07-16 12:15:41	will moonshot ais kimi k3 model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0x84dac4…
07-16 08:55:52	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	75¢	$51	0x7433ab…
07-16 08:50:17	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x941856…
07-16 08:49:08	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	61¢	$64	0x89d0f7…
07-16 06:32:19	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x00d995…
07-16 03:31:29	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x495b11…
07-16 00:37:16	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	84	65¢	$55	0x061319…
07-16 00:33:17	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xd9e1e2…
07-16 00:17:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	150	21¢	$32	0x248e58…
07-15 16:37:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xd4fa37…
07-15 15:36:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x3acc7f…
07-15 15:35:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x314213…
07-15 15:33:49	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f1c78…
07-15 13:19:11	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9ddb2f…
07-15 13:03:38	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 19 2026 20260713185755111	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x8edc61…
07-15 12:46:49	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	89	62¢	$55	0xf0d928…
07-15 12:01:55	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xb8faf7…
07-15 11:11:19	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	92	80¢	$74	0xc2e497…
07-15 09:08:23	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xf4cae1…
07-15 07:19:35	will matt boehnke advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014632	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd59261…
07-14 18:30:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xcbc275…
07-14 16:25:02	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	85	38¢	$32	0x3844b5…
07-14 14:31:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3f967b…
07-14 13:25:17	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5e8071…
07-14 08:46:56	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	104	80¢	$83	0xc53ebe…
07-13 21:23:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x74ed36…
07-13 19:01:17	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xcc2540…
07-13 12:47:08	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x25dda8…
07-13 01:20:29	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	No	SELL	526	5¢	$26	0xb4ca1a…
07-12 23:11:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x39e66f…
07-12 16:24:16	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	334	13¢	$44	0xede819…
07-11 21:16:44	will grok 5 be released by august 31 2026 20260710195520921	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xbc4bf0…
07-11 19:07:10	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	Yes	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0xbd2ad0…
07-11 13:43:17	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x97cf09…
07-11 02:34:34	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xb73613…
07-11 01:51:05	will grok 5 be released by december 31 2026 20260710195520922	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x83c0ac…
07-10 21:46:56	will the mongolz make a roster change before september 20260623162853420	No	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xc331f3…
07-10 19:58:28	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xc5c74d…
07-10 11:32:04	will the mongolz make a roster change before september 20260623162853420	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd8f9f7…
07-10 10:37:13	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xf705dd…
07-10 10:07:08	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x9939f5…
07-10 05:25:01	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xbec507…
07-09 22:45:19	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xfd0ce9…
07-09 19:45:52	col nom lin1 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd9d036…
07-09 19:45:44	col lie dec1 2026 07 09 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xce7f4f…
07-09 17:06:20	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	66	62¢	$41	0x5b6907…