Realized P&L (7d)
-$311
Unrealized P&L
+$155
Hit rate
0.3%
Resolved (7d)
92
Trades (7d)
1
3,285 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$106.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$18.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-02 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
62% 4% -$578
Politics
23% 4% -$143
Tech
7% 0% -$47
Crypto
5% 0% -$11
Pop-Culture
2% 12% -$29
Sports
1% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +1,100 $1,037 96¢ $1.1K +$25 10-26 09:07
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,070 $1,041 98¢ $1.1K +$9 10-23 16:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +900 $839 97¢ $872 +$33 10-15 21:01
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +922 $876 93¢ $862 -$14 10-24 06:42
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +909 $834 92¢ $832 -$2 10-25 23:25
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +848 $804 97¢ $823 +$19 10-25 23:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +971 $903 79¢ $767 -$136 10-25 14:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +800 $777 94¢ $755 -$22 10-25 01:18
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +748 $697 100¢ $747 +$51 10-25 00:00
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +766 $730 95¢ $725 -$6 10-21 04:41
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +691 $644 99¢ $681 +$37 10-19 10:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +679 $648 98¢ $663 +$15 10-15 22:19
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? No +700 $655 93¢ $650 -$5 10-10 22:44
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +650 $604 98¢ $640 +$37 10-16 01:07
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +711 $650 90¢ $636 -$13 10-23 23:50
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +631 $589 96¢ $608 +$19 10-13 20:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +581 $533 97¢ $563 +$30 09-19 07:54
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +500 $481 99¢ $493 +$12 10-22 22:05
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +503 $478 93¢ $466 -$12 10-25 01:08
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +482 $447 94¢ $454 +$8 10-25 14:19
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +450 $432 98¢ $442 +$10 10-25 07:55
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +450 $418 97¢ $436 +$18 10-02 06:41
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +450 $424 96¢ $432 +$8 10-25 09:11
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? No +419 $409 99¢ $414 +$5 09-29 01:40
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +429 $401 96¢ $411 +$10 10-06 13:04
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +406 $395 99¢ $401 +$5 10-23 14:33
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +400 $387 97¢ $386 -$1 09-20 21:37
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +350 $326 94¢ $330 +$3 10-24 02:00
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +350 $321 90¢ $317 -$4 10-13 15:23
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +300 $278 98¢ $294 +$17 10-02 15:36