(anonymous) 0xe83d6a…c9238e Create alert
14L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$831
Unrealized P&L
+$343
Hit rate
0.5%
Resolved (90d)
249
Trades (90d)
2,376
2,376 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$82.8K
$82.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$18.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-04
last 11-02 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
62% 4% -$598
Politics
23% 4% -$143
Tech
7% 0% -$47
Crypto
5% 0% -$11
Pop-Culture
2% 12% -$29
Sports
1% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +1,100 $1,037 100¢ $1.1K +$62 10-26 09:07
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +1,070 $1,041 98¢ $1.1K +$12 10-23 16:55
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +922 $876 96¢ $888 +$13 10-24 06:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +900 $839 98¢ $878 +$40 10-15 21:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +909 $834 93¢ $847 +$13 10-25 23:25
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +848 $804 97¢ $823 +$19 10-25 23:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +971 $903 84¢ $815 -$88 10-25 14:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +800 $777 94¢ $752 -$26 10-25 01:18
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +766 $730 94¢ $724 -$6 10-21 04:41
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +691 $644 99¢ $682 +$38 10-19 10:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +679 $648 98¢ $667 +$19 10-15 22:19
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? No +700 $655 94¢ $660 +$5 10-10 22:44
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +650 $604 99¢ $643 +$39 10-16 01:07
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +711 $650 89¢ $633 -$17 10-23 23:50
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +631 $589 99¢ $624 +$35 10-13 20:09
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +600 $570 97¢ $581 +$11 10-15 05:10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +581 $533 98¢ $569 +$36 09-19 07:54
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No — +564 $547 96¢ $542 -$5 10-24 10:56
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +503 $478 100¢ $503 +$24 10-25 01:08
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +500 $481 99¢ $495 +$14 10-22 22:05
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +482 $447 95¢ $457 +$10 10-25 14:19
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +450 $424 99¢ $445 +$20 10-25 09:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +450 $432 99¢ $444 +$12 10-25 07:55
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +450 $418 97¢ $437 +$18 10-02 06:41
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? No +419 $409 99¢ $417 +$8 09-29 01:40
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +429 $401 97¢ $417 +$15 10-06 13:04
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +406 $395 98¢ $399 +$4 10-23 14:33
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +400 $387 97¢ $389 +$2 09-20 21:37
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +350 $326 95¢ $334 +$7 10-24 02:00
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94? Yes +351 $326 94¢ $332 +$6 10-21 23:54