Acrobatic-Hare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$6.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$211

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-08 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

76% — —

Other

22% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+214	$199	96¢	$206	+$7	06-22 03:32
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+11	$7	42¢	$5	$-3	07-08 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.4K	832	832	+0	open	—	06-01 01:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$579	583	0	+583	open	—	06-07 08:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$454	326	346	-20	open	—	06-14 10:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	9	$438	396	181	+214	open	—	05-25 08:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$401	321	107	+214	open	—	06-22 03:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	15	$399	239	235	+4	open	—	06-19 13:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$393	287	223	+63	open	—	06-15 00:43
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	9	$268	261	261	+0	open	—	06-17 14:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$227	403	400	+3	open	—	06-08 01:38
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	14	$173	304	182	+122	open	—	04-19 03:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	10	$147	127	154	-28	open	—	06-14 10:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	1	$122	0	183	-183	open	—	05-28 02:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	9	$115	181	181	+0	open	—	06-16 07:55
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	4	$97	88	88	+0	open	—	06-15 00:51
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	5	$86	99	99	+0	open	—	04-10 07:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$85	90	0	+90	open	—	06-19 05:33
Fed rate hike in 2026?	14	$84	83	72	+11	open	—	07-08 15:11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 01:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$82	167	167	+0	open	—	04-10 07:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	05-01 02:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	4	$56	65	65	+0	open	—	06-12 11:42
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	02-24 05:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-12 11:48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$47	24	124	-101	open	—	05-29 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$39	0	40	-40	open	—	05-15 01:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	4	$37	91	91	+0	open	—	04-11 00:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-28 13:31
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	2	$32	71	36	+36	open	—	07-08 15:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$32	353	0	+353	open	—	02-28 07:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	06-12 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 15:11:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x8aea2c…
07-08 15:11:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x188005…
07-08 15:09:01	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	36	62¢	$22	0x4d5d2f…
07-08 15:08:53	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x450aba…
07-08 15:08:44	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xe2defe…
07-07 08:37:32	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xc58808…
07-03 01:25:07	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xec8482…
07-03 01:24:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xcfcd87…
07-03 01:24:43	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8edea3…
06-22 03:32:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x5aef56…
06-19 13:19:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	90	67¢	$60	0x61266c…
06-19 05:33:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0xbf9c5e…
06-17 14:58:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xaca8b2…
06-17 14:55:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2085bd…
06-17 14:55:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe2ab12…
06-17 14:55:11	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	63	32¢	$20	0xd18c53…
06-16 13:00:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	63	28¢	$18	0xc351c0…
06-16 09:04:12	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xeeb325…
06-16 08:44:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	27	81¢	$22	0x793c28…
06-16 08:43:49	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x974a1a…
06-16 07:55:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x6de8f1…
06-15 13:45:00	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc5a40c…
06-15 11:52:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0x8905d5…
06-15 11:01:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	107	94¢	$101	0x854bda…
06-15 03:48:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa6a49f…
06-15 00:53:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	68	50¢	$34	0xe93926…
06-15 00:51:16	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0xa92eb0…
06-15 00:43:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x786057…
06-14 21:37:24	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	56¢	$30	0xd1660c…
06-14 18:17:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x8ab995…
06-14 10:19:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xbbf002…
06-14 10:18:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0xa2ef26…
06-14 10:17:22	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xe99627…
06-12 18:04:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x99334f…
06-12 16:02:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	36	50¢	$18	0x3f04d8…
06-12 15:35:00	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	46	71¢	$32	0x26373a…
06-12 15:29:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcb26ab…
06-12 15:29:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x4e0fa9…
06-12 15:28:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x518800…
06-12 14:59:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	31	60¢	$18	0x8d99e6…
06-12 12:05:03	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x1e9116…
06-12 11:51:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x59d9cf…
06-12 11:51:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xf7790f…
06-12 11:48:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf5df07…
06-12 11:46:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xa54724…
06-12 11:46:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x20d40f…
06-12 11:45:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x22920b…
06-12 11:43:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	147	83¢	$122	0x507bd0…
06-12 11:43:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	104	59¢	$61	0x79bd7a…
06-12 11:43:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	75	52¢	$39	0x78da1b…
06-12 11:42:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x613644…
06-12 11:39:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	52	40¢	$21	0x2ea986…
06-12 11:39:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xd4a37e…
06-12 09:02:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0xff3e71…
06-12 08:58:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8a4a1f…
06-12 08:58:39	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0bedc5…
06-12 08:56:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x98670a…
06-12 08:56:07	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x739e60…
06-12 08:55:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xb9ee11…
06-12 02:07:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xbe93c4…
06-12 02:07:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xf01851…
06-12 02:06:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0x43c13c…
06-12 02:03:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4f24de…
06-12 02:03:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x9941c4…
06-12 02:03:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0xf9a57b…
06-12 01:59:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xac6beb…
06-12 01:58:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf11899…
06-10 11:57:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x21663c…
06-09 00:49:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0x64c167…
06-08 15:36:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x230a48…
06-08 15:36:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xac5dcf…
06-08 15:35:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xe9d75c…
06-08 08:36:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2336ec…
06-08 05:45:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x9ab6e7…
06-08 01:38:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe0ad92…
06-07 08:02:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	563	99¢	$560	0x6938fa…
06-06 05:45:21	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x791c2b…
06-06 00:09:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x893fcf…
06-05 03:55:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x25ddfb…
06-05 03:55:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x43a369…
06-05 02:31:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x51b090…
06-05 02:31:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x5a56ee…
06-05 02:30:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe153dd…
06-05 02:28:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x9a9c4d…
06-04 01:16:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x16bfce…
06-04 01:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x881dae…
06-04 01:07:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	43	85¢	$36	0x579c0e…
06-04 01:07:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	171	74¢	$127	0xf8a979…
06-04 01:06:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x141333…
06-03 15:58:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc97b5a…
06-03 15:56:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9150e3…
06-03 15:56:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xfa09d8…
06-03 15:32:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb4c9d7…
06-02 16:22:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0xb7b59f…
06-01 20:05:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$22	0x1c2ff1…
06-01 19:06:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xa17df0…
06-01 18:26:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xbce21d…
06-01 14:50:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xd4a4f2…
06-01 14:49:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x889856…
06-01 14:43:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x1a90dc…