Taut-Samovar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

922 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$23.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-22 08:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

45% 17% -$1,120

Politics

29% 27% +$16

Tech

15% 40% -$4

Sports

7% 14% -$24

Crypto

3% 60% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+710	$71	1¢	$5	-$66	07-21 08:45
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes		+100	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	04-30 14:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	23	$2.3K	1,224	1,224	-0	Yes	+$1	04-30 06:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$1.5K	760	760	+0	No	$0	04-10 05:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$3	04-06 06:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$1.1K	774	774	+0	No	+$0	04-22 02:14
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	$0	04-18 01:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	11	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	$0	05-08 09:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$998	510	510	+0	No	+$0	04-29 18:43
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$988	500	500	+0	No	+$1	04-29 16:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	10	$987	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-30 08:32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$692	1,823	1,823	+0	No	+$19	07-14 20:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$577	300	300	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 07:17
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	2	$433	850	0	+850	No	-$433	06-18 17:57
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$398	436	436	+0	open	—	05-31 14:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$391	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-08 09:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$389	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-08 11:42
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1	$384	650	0	+650	Yes	+$266	06-28 07:01
will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1	6	$359	225	225	+0	Yes	$0	10-21 05:10
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$352	250	250	+0	Yes	-$18	07-15 21:13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	1	$333	650	0	+650	No	-$333	06-25 15:21
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$313	580	0	+580	Yes	+$267	07-04 08:21
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$307	465	0	+465	Yes	+$158	06-23 13:01
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$285	620	0	+620	No	-$285	07-01 05:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$223	411	411	+0	No	$0	05-31 17:22
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-19 15:00
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 18:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$194	98	98	+0	No	+$0	03-30 06:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	8	$193	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 18:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-19 13:55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$191	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-08 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 08:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xfb5aaa…
10-22 08:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x0b020c…
10-22 08:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	No	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x8990be…
10-22 08:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x035f39…
10-22 08:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x24a02a…
10-22 07:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x677ea6…
10-22 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7a68c7…
10-22 07:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x59b45b…
10-22 07:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x1bddb4…
10-22 07:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	No	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x7ff251…
10-22 07:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2c8abb…
10-22 07:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xe5f8aa…
10-22 07:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb930b0…
10-22 07:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x5d3b1b…
10-22 07:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 22?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xca455b…
10-22 07:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x25fab8…
10-22 07:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	No	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xf59888…
10-22 07:07:20	Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x23313c…
10-22 06:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x30670d…
10-22 06:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x640c0f…
10-22 06:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xeaed73…
10-22 06:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x005c19…
10-22 06:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xac5237…
10-22 06:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1ba4f0…
10-22 06:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4fefa1…
10-22 06:25:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x6e040a…
10-22 06:06:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x491fb1…
10-22 06:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x2f0ac5…
10-22 06:03:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x203b2d…
10-22 05:54:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf165a0…
10-22 05:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	No	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xba90e7…
10-22 05:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x9ce0c6…
10-22 05:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x6505ce…
10-22 05:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x20781b…
10-22 05:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x85e8f3…
10-22 05:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcf029d…
10-22 05:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xce931c…
10-22 05:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x384fe8…
10-22 05:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x3b89f9…
10-22 05:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x04df8e…
10-22 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xbb4173…
10-22 05:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x27cadd…
10-22 05:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x131e6b…
10-22 05:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x30b20a…
10-22 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf66935…
10-22 05:00:21	Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa98986…
10-21 05:27:05	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8e76d6…
10-21 05:26:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xe460e0…
10-21 05:18:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x98fdc2…
10-21 05:16:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x224ae5…
10-21 05:10:36	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	200	89¢	$177	0x2e203f…
10-21 05:08:53	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$177	0x60a995…
10-21 05:02:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x36ed7a…
10-21 05:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x794ac1…
10-21 04:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x6d25ff…
10-21 04:58:47	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x803ddc…
10-21 04:58:20	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd13fb0…
10-21 04:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8f30a7…
10-21 04:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x591a64…
10-21 04:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x20a089…
10-21 04:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x338baa…
10-21 04:45:44	Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x83f8da…
10-20 05:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xe7554f…
10-20 05:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	No	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x358c98…
10-20 05:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd19ae7…
10-20 05:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x25c8ad…
10-20 05:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x8acdb0…
10-20 05:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x035b6a…
10-20 05:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x0117a0…
10-20 05:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x365e19…
10-20 05:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x271070…
10-20 05:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x9ab52b…
10-20 05:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x711407…
10-20 05:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xfa9e56…
10-20 05:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcfa249…
10-20 05:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x521720…
10-20 04:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3303f4…
10-20 04:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3c0f79…
10-20 04:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3a38d2…
10-20 04:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x8e577c…
10-20 04:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x241769…
10-20 04:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x8651f6…
10-20 04:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x75d075…
10-20 04:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x662143…
10-19 07:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x150885…
10-19 07:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	No	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xbf5ff7…
10-19 07:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x974356…
10-19 07:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xee8255…
10-19 07:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x64bec2…
10-19 07:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x86c8ba…
10-19 07:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa9c3b6…
10-19 06:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf2c332…
10-19 06:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4c2a8c…
10-19 06:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe67a23…
10-19 06:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xc10cc1…
10-19 06:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xbf11b4…
10-19 06:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x3fa406…
10-19 06:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xee5e5a…
10-19 05:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x470969…
10-19 05:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x834e34…