Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

192

Trades

668

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-29 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

62% 47% -$41

Politics

19% 64% -$1

Sports

12% 47% -$6

Tech

5% 100% +$13

Crypto

1% 50% +$18

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	+7	$2	97¢	$7	+$5	10-25 10:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+5	$8	31¢	$2	-$6	10-29 19:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	+14	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-29 09:43
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	+0	$0	13¢	$0	$0	10-19 11:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$73	70	70	+0	No	+$4	10-25 22:25
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	22	$61	60	50	+10	No	+$13	10-23 04:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 26 2026?	18	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	10-28 10:26
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	16	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-29 00:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$38	60	60	+0	Yes	-$9	10-25 23:10
Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election?	5	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$3	10-25 11:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	22	$30	55	50	+5	open	—	10-29 19:06
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	4	$28	18	16	+2	open	—	10-27 18:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	6	$20	20	10	+10	open	—	10-28 08:01
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?	6	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	10-29 04:52
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	10-27 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	3	$18	20	10	+10	Yes	-$7	10-26 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	3	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-27 22:30
Will the match end in a draw?	5	$17	25	0	+25	No	+$8	10-22 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	5	$16	16	5	+11	No	+$4	10-25 07:18
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-26 05:00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	8	$15	35	5	+30	Yes	+$18	10-26 01:05
Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	4	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	10-29 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	6	$15	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	10-24 10:33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	2	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	10-25 23:26
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	6	$14	20	12	+8	Yes	-$2	10-27 15:27
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	9	$13	40	5	+35	open	—	10-29 14:06
Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?	4	$13	20	0	+20	No	+$7	10-24 18:25
1Q Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)	6	$13	30	0	+30	Kings	-$13	10-24 01:55
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026?	4	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 21:19
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	4	$12	15	5	+10	open	—	10-25 13:41
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of October 26 2026?	8	$12	40	0	+40	open	—	10-27 06:39
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	4	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	10-29 04:08
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 25?	2	$11	20	0	+20	Yes	-$11	10-24 22:49
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	3	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	10-24 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:59:55	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa16699…
10-29 19:36:13	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x59e4be…
10-29 19:19:25	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xccca02…
10-29 19:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb14dbe…
10-29 19:00:24	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf821f9…
10-29 16:40:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xd0d6e3…
10-29 16:14:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa910fc…
10-29 16:14:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1bf04a…
10-29 14:49:34	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf098f1…
10-29 14:49:34	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x04824d…
10-29 14:06:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x6e52cd…
10-29 13:22:32	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x4d3b0d…
10-29 13:22:22	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd29071…
10-29 13:10:22	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xbbc75e…
10-29 13:10:17	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0e6ee2…
10-29 13:04:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x97d83e…
10-29 13:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x47149f…
10-29 12:16:53	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3267b5…
10-29 12:13:53	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3800d5…
10-29 12:11:38	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x145e74…
10-29 12:11:37	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb6cd1f…
10-29 12:11:35	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xa8d3ec…
10-29 09:48:20	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x396f2b…
10-29 09:45:43	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0271ad…
10-29 09:43:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x370ab0…
10-29 09:41:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xccfac8…
10-29 09:35:26	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2df94f…
10-29 09:35:22	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc36b9b…
10-29 09:15:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc5f6eb…
10-29 09:13:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x80a842…
10-29 09:13:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0239fa…
10-29 09:10:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1b71b9…
10-29 08:56:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x56415c…
10-29 08:56:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x90d859…
10-29 08:04:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa6d7e3…
10-29 05:56:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xe96dac…
10-29 05:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc2f6cf…
10-29 04:52:26	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x121386…
10-29 04:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb1403d…
10-29 04:46:22	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x592bd3…
10-29 04:45:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x55e9e1…
10-29 04:43:17	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x064e3c…
10-29 04:08:52	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8cfad9…
10-29 04:08:47	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5e2693…
10-29 04:08:46	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7ed3e2…
10-29 04:08:43	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5def1f…
10-29 02:09:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xe3f64a…
10-29 01:14:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5f4ba4…
10-29 00:48:19	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x278c02…
10-29 00:35:35	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc4c9c5…
10-29 00:35:34	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x86ca78…
10-29 00:35:29	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x163dd0…
10-28 21:19:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x39431a…
10-28 21:12:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x715854…
10-28 20:11:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x8730f2…
10-28 18:34:11	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x3d1ca3…
10-28 16:37:02	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7db44e…
10-28 16:37:01	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf596ae…
10-28 16:37:01	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcd4e28…
10-28 16:36:59	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc99a64…
10-28 16:19:23	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd602b9…
10-28 16:19:20	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6155bc…
10-28 16:19:17	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x95a710…
10-28 16:19:14	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x498fe9…
10-28 13:56:44	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25b894…
10-28 13:56:43	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x10370c…
10-28 13:56:40	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x86cb7d…
10-28 13:56:40	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5e89be…
10-28 13:52:55	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc3642e…
10-28 13:52:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd33519…
10-28 11:49:40	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6cdbac…
10-28 10:59:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3997af…
10-28 10:54:35	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaf4e39…
10-28 10:54:34	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x88c383…
10-28 10:54:32	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf0d6dd…
10-28 10:27:46	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe12071…
10-28 10:26:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x96b12e…
10-28 08:01:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x8d4207…
10-28 08:01:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x81cef0…
10-28 08:00:34	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd3c58d…
10-28 07:14:59	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe95106…
10-28 07:07:13	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x113616…
10-28 07:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x5d6789…
10-28 06:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x8b96fc…
10-28 06:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x583b92…
10-28 06:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe5c43f…
10-28 06:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4967a1…
10-28 04:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3b707d…
10-28 04:49:32	Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.05B?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x74e809…
10-28 04:37:02	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $170 in October?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe4f09b…
10-28 03:53:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb24d81…
10-28 03:53:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8ff44d…
10-28 03:53:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7a01ea…
10-28 03:53:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x4451c1…
10-28 02:57:32	Will Linde (LIN) Q3 sales be above $9.05B?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xce4014…
10-28 02:22:38	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd0697d…
10-28 02:22:38	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x36831a…
10-28 02:20:23	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0de25a…
10-28 02:20:23	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x078600…
10-28 02:16:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xfce0d9…