Realized P&L
-$305
Unrealized P&L
+$297
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
203
Trades
616
lifetime
Volume
$82.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$1.32K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-21 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Politics
47% 59% -$420
Other
42% 70% +$332
Crypto
5% 90% +$255
Tech
5% 60% +$171
Sports
1% 29% -$643
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +593 $546 94¢ $554 +$9 10-21 00:33
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23,038 -$299 1¢ $-265 +$35 05-20 03:26
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +575 $80 46¢ $264 +$184 08-13 09:55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -83 -$78 98¢ $-81 -$3 06-15 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +173 $71 42¢ $72 +$1 09-23 13:32
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,103 $83 3¢ $61 -$22 08-19 16:10
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +261 $18 4¢ $12 -$6 07-20 16:08
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +25 $7 30¢ $7 +$0 07-13 14:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -0 -$100 68¢ $-0 +$100 07-14 18:40