Perky-Vol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$818

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$3.27K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-26 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

73% 54% -$573

Politics

15% 73% +$1,243

Tech

6% 67% +$181

Sports

6% 100% +$192

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+4,243	$2,235	74¢	$3.2K	+$926	10-26 05:23
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes		+863	$219	13¢	$111	-$108	07-25 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	101	$9.3K	19,570	6,828	+12,743	No	-$5,278	06-22 14:27
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	26	$4.4K	5,300	0	+5,300	Yes	+$925	07-18 16:07
will tisza win at least 130 seats	4	$3.2K	7,482	0	+7,482	Yes	+$4,331	04-12 18:04
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	24	$3.1K	4,857	614	+4,243	open	—	10-26 05:23
will tisza win at least 110 seats	3	$2.9K	2,315	1,651	+664	Yes	+$19	04-12 18:02
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	13	$2.6K	1,842	1,842	+1	Petr Yan	+$106	10-24 20:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$2.2K	2,463	320	+2,143	Yes	+$505	04-12 15:16
will tisza win at least 120 seats	2	$2.2K	1,703	1,703	+0	Yes	-$201	04-12 18:03
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$2.1K	2,410	265	+2,144	No	+$512	04-12 15:17
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	17	$1.8K	3,020	3,020	+0	No	-$482	09-06 18:09
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$1.4K	850	850	+0	Yes	-$146	03-08 21:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$1.1K	693	693	+0	Yes	+$30	05-12 06:54
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$1.0K	647	647	+0	Yes	+$283	09-20 18:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$913	474	474	+0	No	+$3	01-29 10:05
will orbn flip magyar for next hungary pm by jan 31	3	$799	893	0	+893	No	+$94	01-26 12:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$757	408	408	+0	Yes	+$57	02-28 18:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$734	611	611	+0	Yes	+$24	03-08 21:49
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	4	$659	868	0	+868	Yes	+$209	09-20 18:28
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$634	404	404	+0	No	-$118	03-08 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$596	514	514	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:01
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$593	467	467	+0	Yes	+$79	03-05 21:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$559	592	0	+592	Yes	+$33	04-27 12:10
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	3	$484	373	373	+0	Yes	-$29	03-08 21:49
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	8	$443	535	0	+535	Yes	+$92	09-20 17:45
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$429	445	0	+445	No	+$16	01-21 19:05
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?	4	$411	423	0	+423	Yes	+$12	07-22 14:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	2	$399	203	203	+0	No	-$1	01-26 12:56
odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january	2	$397	222	222	+0	No	-$3	01-21 19:02
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	3	$387	223	223	+0	Yes	+$10	01-29 10:05
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	2	$346	476	476	+0	No	-$254	09-20 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:23:53	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xb319f7…
10-26 05:23:11	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x604c1a…
10-26 05:22:39	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x7faa75…
10-26 05:22:26	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x6377d5…
10-26 05:22:02	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x855f62…
10-25 18:07:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	142	44¢	$63	0xc558b4…
10-25 18:07:06	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x417da6…
10-25 17:48:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	159	45¢	$72	0x291c1c…
10-25 17:46:29	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	92	79¢	$72	0x918106…
10-24 21:07:20	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0x60585f…
10-24 21:03:41	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x527eee…
10-24 20:31:02	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	1,210	99¢	$1,198	0xb125f9…
10-24 20:23:23	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	485	74¢	$359	0x678c1b…
10-24 20:22:56	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	725	70¢	$508	0x991ba3…
10-24 20:22:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xf2fbe4…
10-24 20:22:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	237	26¢	$62	0xdd6ebc…
10-24 20:22:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0x97ff24…
10-24 20:22:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x4dcdb3…
10-24 20:22:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	96	26¢	$25	0x3d738e…
10-24 20:22:39	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	192	26¢	$50	0xd24bf9…
10-24 20:17:26	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xdca25c…
10-24 20:11:06	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	101	76¢	$77	0xb51347…
10-24 20:09:17	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0x035d0b…
10-24 20:07:20	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	203	69¢	$140	0x7ef6e2…
10-24 19:34:36	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x07e9f2…
10-24 19:05:48	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	142	78¢	$111	0x5721e3…
10-24 19:05:24	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x3fe08f…
10-24 18:59:05	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	111	86¢	$96	0xa01f8a…
10-24 18:58:11	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	120	77¢	$92	0x7b8834…
09-28 11:21:29	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x9a329a…
09-28 11:21:06	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	1,200	64¢	$768	0x0590a6…
09-26 15:54:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xcd3299…
09-26 15:51:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x6e2a33…
09-26 15:51:20	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x0d0253…
09-26 15:43:45	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xc202f2…
09-26 15:41:48	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	142	68¢	$97	0x705b4f…
09-26 14:28:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	809	59¢	$477	0x8c60e3…
09-24 20:10:44	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	240	48¢	$115	0x2e0575…
09-24 20:10:26	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	493	47¢	$232	0x643222…
09-23 05:23:02	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xcbfcc2…
09-23 05:22:44	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	199	40¢	$80	0x433b78…
09-21 13:12:33	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x850c93…
09-21 12:48:24	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0c19da…
09-21 12:37:18	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0xd773f0…
09-21 12:35:57	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	706	44¢	$310	0x455c37…
09-21 10:36:09	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x634631…
09-21 10:35:23	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	614	41¢	$252	0x3eecc8…
09-20 18:28:03	Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xa83fb8…
09-20 18:27:03	Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	590	77¢	$454	0xc22eeb…
09-20 18:26:43	Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	177	74¢	$130	0x2cce0b…
09-20 18:25:39	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	647	99¢	$643	0x26c91f…
09-20 18:25:28	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x2391ab…
09-20 18:07:55	Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	85	74¢	$63	0x8b9467…
09-20 18:07:36	Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	476	10¢	$46	0x2a86a9…
09-20 17:49:39	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x386cd7…
09-20 17:49:28	Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xfc4e1c…
09-20 17:45:13	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x801708…
09-20 17:43:48	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	40	64¢	$25	0x9e4483…
09-20 17:03:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0xd94bf2…
09-20 17:02:48	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	270	46¢	$123	0xf96692…
09-20 17:01:00	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0x5addbd…
09-20 17:00:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	768	19¢	$146	0x00205b…
09-20 16:03:58	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xa79a91…
09-20 16:00:04	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xdf13a9…
09-20 16:00:04	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x8f3788…
09-20 15:59:43	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x778141…
09-20 15:57:00	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xb97874…
09-20 15:56:42	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x47763c…
09-20 15:52:43	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	BUY	827	19¢	$157	0x6463e5…
09-20 15:50:42	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0x893411…
09-20 15:46:12	Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xdd1c5e…
09-20 15:45:07	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x92f7a0…
09-20 15:44:51	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x37fb19…
09-20 15:44:01	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	23	54¢	$13	0x17f480…
09-20 15:43:39	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	611	54¢	$330	0x16f832…
09-20 15:42:34	Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?	AfD	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb2d145…
09-20 15:41:57	Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xf9869e…
09-20 15:40:31	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x054b79…
09-20 15:40:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x9a8538…
09-20 15:40:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x96e473…
09-20 15:40:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	62¢	$91	0x7da271…
09-20 15:40:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x490b3b…
09-20 15:40:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x419834…
09-20 15:39:18	Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0x94db29…
09-06 18:09:30	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	1,854	10¢	$193	0x3fd843…
09-06 13:16:55	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	220	20¢	$44	0xaa326a…
08-03 10:59:24	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x26dd70…
08-03 10:58:47	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0xebd874…
08-03 10:58:38	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x517fd0…
07-31 22:01:09	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x0a1ebf…
07-31 16:32:44	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x189af8…
07-31 12:01:36	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe844cb…
07-31 11:57:12	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	569	38¢	$215	0xa5f890…
07-25 20:26:25	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	72	29¢	$21	0x060e50…
07-25 20:22:37	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x3ca4c6…
07-25 20:22:34	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x07a0f5…
07-25 20:21:42	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	336	27¢	$91	0x16cbab…
07-25 20:20:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	89	39¢	$35	0x0b6ec5…
07-25 20:18:48	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0xcbe7f1…
07-25 12:09:52	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x656ad9…