Perky-Vol — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$924

Unrealized P&L

+$940

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

176

416 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$28.9K

$68.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

$5.74K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-14 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

58% 54% -$573

Politics

33% 67% +$1,711

Tech

5% 67% +$181

Sports

4% 100% +$192

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+4,680	$2,551	76¢	$3.6K	+$1,029	11-13 15:25
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+1,233	$1,052	90¢	$1.1K	+$52	11-14 11:26
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	+667	$395	57¢	$380	-$14	11-14 11:28
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	+699	$355	50¢	$346	-$9	11-14 11:25
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	+236	$228	96¢	$226	-$3	11-09 15:49
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes	+863	$219	12¢	$104	-$116	07-25 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	101	$9.3K	19,570	6,828	+12,743	No	-$5,278	06-22 14:27
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	26	$4.4K	5,300	0	+5,300	Yes	+$925	07-18 16:07
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	41	$4.4K	5,937	1,257	+4,680	open	—	11-13 15:25
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$3.7K	3,304	1,504	+1,800	No	+$26	10-29 05:44
will tisza win at least 130 seats	4	$3.2K	7,482	0	+7,482	Yes	+$4,331	04-12 18:04
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	7	$3.1K	1,719	1,719	+0	open	—	11-04 22:03
will tisza win at least 110 seats	3	$2.9K	2,315	1,651	+664	Yes	+$19	04-12 18:02
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	13	$2.6K	1,842	1,842	+1	Petr Yan	+$106	10-24 20:31
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$2.2K	2,463	320	+2,143	Yes	+$505	04-12 15:16
will tisza win at least 120 seats	2	$2.2K	1,703	1,703	+0	Yes	-$201	04-12 18:03
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$2.1K	2,410	265	+2,144	No	+$512	04-12 15:17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	11-04 22:03
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	17	$1.8K	3,020	3,020	+0	No	-$482	09-06 18:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	7	$1.8K	1,448	448	+1,000	Yes	+$35	11-09 10:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	6	$1.7K	1,446	410	+1,036	No	+$36	11-09 10:35
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$1.4K	850	850	+0	Yes	-$146	03-08 21:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$1.1K	1,531	0	+1,531	Yes	+$385	11-03 14:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$1.1K	693	693	+0	Yes	+$30	05-12 06:54
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	2	$1.1K	1,233	0	+1,233	open	—	11-14 11:26
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	3	$1.0K	647	647	+0	Yes	+$283	09-20 18:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$913	474	474	+0	No	+$3	01-29 10:05
will orbn flip magyar for next hungary pm by jan 31	3	$799	893	0	+893	No	+$94	01-26 12:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$757	408	408	+0	Yes	+$57	02-28 18:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$734	611	611	+0	Yes	+$24	03-08 21:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$703	740	0	+740	Yes	+$37	11-03 14:38
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?	4	$659	868	0	+868	Yes	+$209	09-20 18:28
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$634	404	404	+0	No	-$118	03-08 21:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$596	514	514	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:01
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$593	467	467	+0	Yes	+$79	03-05 21:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$559	592	0	+592	Yes	+$33	04-27 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 11:28:14	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xa9235b…
11-14 11:26:28	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	807	86¢	$694	0x1bbc87…
11-14 11:25:50	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd774dc…
11-14 11:25:31	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	51¢	$115	0x86586e…
11-14 11:25:07	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x7b4cf8…
11-14 11:24:56	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0x2b86a7…
11-13 16:03:25	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	125	62¢	$78	0xec89b4…
11-13 16:03:04	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$48	0x976125…
11-13 16:02:52	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0x3d473b…
11-13 16:02:43	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xfb65d7…
11-13 16:01:49	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	51¢	$86	0x656e55…
11-13 16:01:39	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xde9ab5…
11-13 16:01:33	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xca0bcd…
11-13 15:27:07	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	426	84¢	$358	0xb0cdc2…
11-13 15:25:31	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	234	77¢	$180	0x9d0307…
11-13 15:25:10	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0x3e2b6a…
11-09 15:50:04	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0xa48837…
11-09 15:49:46	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xafadbc…
11-09 15:48:13	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x49aaaa…
11-09 15:47:57	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x73fa56…
11-09 15:47:34	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$35	0xe0ef9d…
11-09 15:47:07	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x26c1e4…
11-09 15:46:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	409	59¢	$239	0x366b09…
11-09 10:42:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	251	63¢	$159	0xd07c6f…
11-09 10:41:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x18cad0…
11-09 10:40:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	118	62¢	$74	0xa5e143…
11-09 10:37:45	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	170	66¢	$112	0x9edbba…
11-09 10:36:31	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	119	65¢	$77	0xf600e3…
11-09 10:35:57	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	99¢	$244	0x89af58…
11-09 10:35:39	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	209	99¢	$206	0xa84829…
11-05 06:41:55	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	143	73¢	$104	0xc5f9e7…
11-05 06:41:21	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	65	72¢	$47	0x0e86e5…
11-05 06:40:00	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	415	96¢	$400	0xe1a8ea…
11-05 06:39:48	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	96¢	$400	0xca80e0…
11-05 06:39:22	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	830	96¢	$800	0x11b579…
11-05 06:38:51	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	832	96¢	$800	0x77ff98…
11-04 22:03:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,719	92¢	$1,574	0x641c40…
11-04 22:03:16	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,071	92¢	$986	0x5fa911…
11-04 18:23:10	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	357	92¢	$330	0xc00131…
11-04 17:20:34	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	201	83¢	$167	0x6cd55a…
11-04 17:20:30	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	81¢	$163	0x6e7155…
11-04 16:37:34	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	443	95¢	$420	0xc69316…
11-04 16:37:13	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	94¢	$155	0x1f73aa…
11-04 15:17:27	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	86¢	$86	0xfd9531…
11-04 15:17:19	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0xeea453…
11-04 15:17:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0x82fba3…
11-04 15:17:03	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xc9d15e…
11-04 15:16:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x418cdd…
11-04 15:15:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xedbede…
11-04 15:12:51	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	703	90¢	$631	0x3d1fd9…
11-04 15:12:22	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	703	90¢	$633	0x225edb…
11-04 15:11:36	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x11a0c5…
11-04 15:11:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x6a32c8…
11-04 15:11:16	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xf55abe…
11-04 15:11:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0xff6350…
11-04 15:10:58	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x60c96a…
11-04 05:53:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$1	0x856cca…
11-03 19:58:48	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1409f4…
11-03 14:38:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	740	95¢	$703	0xbdeefd…
11-03 14:37:43	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	700	78¢	$546	0x349596…
11-03 10:46:07	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x07e4ff…
11-02 22:16:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x3f60b1…
11-02 22:15:52	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xccd71e…
11-02 22:14:34	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xa7e9e2…
11-02 22:13:33	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xdb57e5…
11-02 22:12:55	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x228ebd…
11-02 22:11:58	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x33ceb8…
11-02 14:57:18	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x4f5106…
11-02 14:56:51	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xa8780d…
11-02 14:56:51	Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	Yes	BUY	149	60¢	$89	0x9ec137…
11-02 14:56:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	75¢	$139	0x6b3635…
11-02 14:55:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	207	14¢	$29	0xab4913…
11-02 14:55:01	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	102	53¢	$54	0xeafb7b…
11-01 21:26:27	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x8cff0e…
11-01 21:24:03	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0x408cd3…
11-01 21:23:34	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x15143d…
11-01 21:23:10	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	29	74¢	$21	0xa82754…
10-31 20:30:34	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xd1ff74…
10-31 20:30:25	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	69	75¢	$52	0xc61ad8…
10-29 05:46:53	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	69¢	$300	0xddc4dd…
10-29 05:45:16	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x19cc0b…
10-29 05:44:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	889	100¢	$885	0x9db90a…
10-27 21:28:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	109	85¢	$92	0xe4df1f…
10-27 21:27:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	615	15¢	$92	0xfe5bab…
10-27 21:27:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,580	85¢	$2,193	0x50a5ab…
10-27 17:02:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	250	74¢	$185	0xf5b274…
10-27 17:01:41	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	257	72¢	$185	0xa4e898…
10-27 15:58:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	365	77¢	$281	0xdf52fa…
10-27 15:57:18	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	266	72¢	$192	0x396334…
10-27 15:56:51	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	120	74¢	$89	0x3e2cb4…
10-26 05:23:53	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xb319f7…
10-26 05:23:11	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x604c1a…
10-26 05:22:39	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x7faa75…
10-26 05:22:26	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x6377d5…
10-26 05:22:02	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0x855f62…
10-25 18:07:41	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	142	44¢	$63	0xc558b4…
10-25 18:07:06	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x417da6…
10-25 17:48:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	159	45¢	$72	0x291c1c…
10-25 17:46:29	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	92	79¢	$72	0x918106…
10-24 21:07:20	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0x60585f…