Realized P&L (90d)
+$924
Unrealized P&L
+$976
Hit rate
85.8%
Resolved (90d)
28
Trades (90d)
170
410 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$27.9K
$67.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$166
Open exposure
$4.85K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 11-13 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
57% 54% -$573
Politics
33% 67% +$1,711
Tech
5% 67% +$181
Sports
5% 100% +$192
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +4,680 $2,551 79¢ $3.7K +$1,146 11-13 15:25
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +426 $358 86¢ $364 +$6 11-13 15:27
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? Yes +567 $329 52¢ $295 -$34 11-13 16:03
Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? Yes +236 $228 96¢ $226 -$3 11-09 15:49
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? Yes +370 $188 48¢ $178 -$10 11-13 16:01
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 Yes +863 $219 10¢ $89 -$130 07-25 20:26