Comfortable-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-19 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

35% 0% $-10

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	9	$625	326	326	+0	open	—	03-28 14:20
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$486	257	257	+0	open	—	04-08 19:39
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$452	231	231	+0	open	—	04-12 19:40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$441	223	223	+0	open	—	05-07 03:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	9	$441	381	381	+0	No	$-10	05-07 09:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$419	511	511	+0	open	—	05-11 14:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	6	$386	199	199	+0	open	—	05-12 08:43
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$264	136	136	+0	open	—	04-03 10:02
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	9	$263	304	304	+0	open	—	04-02 06:13
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$254	160	160	+0	open	—	03-31 05:48
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	04-09 08:23
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	2	$253	129	129	+0	No	+$0	04-20 08:17
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	04-14 08:37
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$250	133	133	+0	open	—	03-28 07:14
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	2	$250	128	128	+0	open	—	03-28 01:09
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	2	$249	134	134	+0	open	—	03-26 23:51
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$247	125	125	+0	open	—	03-26 15:37
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$246	128	128	+0	open	—	03-25 11:07
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$241	252	252	+0	open	—	04-23 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	4	$241	132	132	+0	open	—	03-31 21:25
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$240	125	125	+0	open	—	04-26 02:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$239	125	125	+0	No	$-0	05-01 08:47
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$239	122	122	+0	open	—	04-02 11:17
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$238	329	329	+0	open	—	04-10 16:34
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	3	$235	119	119	+0	open	—	04-25 04:06
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	6	$232	252	251	+1	open	—	03-25 20:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$231	120	120	+0	open	—	04-07 10:06
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	3	$231	121	121	+0	open	—	04-13 06:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$230	122	122	+0	open	—	04-15 11:04
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$229	116	116	+0	open	—	04-13 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 19:22:29	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x779db1…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0xe23ca3…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x44dca7…
05-19 05:23:53	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xec7df6…
05-19 05:23:53	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x9981e3…
05-19 05:23:53	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x2ad4b4…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xc9454e…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xaacc29…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x3eaebc…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x790e5b…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x70541d…
05-12 14:26:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x6792c1…
05-12 14:26:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0xa3bb38…
05-12 09:22:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0x31a5e5…
05-12 08:43:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x8b549e…
05-12 06:36:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0xda8898…
05-11 23:27:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x1faa51…
05-11 21:10:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x46cc81…
05-11 17:57:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xd4cea5…
05-11 17:57:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x81ec12…
05-11 14:26:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	3¢	$9	0x14f30a…
05-11 12:30:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$9	0x58cc7b…
05-08 12:24:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0x19108f…
05-08 10:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xeab889…
05-08 10:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x938c28…
05-07 09:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	116	86¢	$100	0x6df090…
05-07 06:59:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$111	0x67708f…
05-07 03:13:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x7d4f73…
05-07 02:04:17	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xcfcca6…
05-06 16:48:32	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$110	0x3901aa…
05-06 15:23:47	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x4b737f…
05-06 09:43:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	127	87¢	$110	0xdd4d2c…
05-06 06:48:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	127	94¢	$119	0xb0e966…
05-05 14:44:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x338339…
05-05 11:44:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xa18886…
05-05 11:44:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x7e2cd7…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x895b8d…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	77	94¢	$73	0x340a75…
05-03 16:43:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x7aaed0…
05-03 06:38:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xe4ebae…
05-03 06:37:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	4¢	$5	0x92ae29…
05-03 06:37:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x7d18e9…
05-03 03:57:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$7	0xa1fc98…
05-01 08:47:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0x0892fe…
05-01 08:46:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x12a0ec…
04-29 21:33:26	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x4f76d2…
04-29 19:04:40	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x1ad538…
04-27 23:00:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	109	2¢	$2	0x88e4d4…
04-27 23:00:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x8884a8…
04-27 23:00:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0x75e209…
04-27 23:00:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0x4dfabc…
04-27 23:00:16	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x19c8aa…
04-27 20:34:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	373	2¢	$6	0x4de753…
04-26 20:29:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	3¢	$10	0xfa1233…
04-26 11:57:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd850f6…
04-26 11:57:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x907725…
04-26 03:43:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0x4ecef6…
04-26 02:56:54	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	125	96¢	$120	0xb0d119…
04-25 23:52:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0xb6d54b…
04-25 17:31:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x193afb…
04-25 13:13:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0x1489d2…
04-25 09:41:30	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x98f38f…
04-25 09:41:28	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xfef8ac…
04-25 09:41:28	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc82d78…
04-25 05:32:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdf63eb…
04-25 05:32:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x85cc23…
04-25 04:06:46	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x43a533…
04-25 02:11:56	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$115	0x14fd55…
04-24 15:31:06	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	6¢	$9	0xc52d02…
04-24 15:31:06	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	6¢	$4	0x0fa579…
04-24 14:10:18	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x57fcf2…
04-24 14:10:18	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x474891…
04-24 10:18:14	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa3d4a8…
04-24 10:17:34	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0xfb00a2…
04-24 07:19:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x6ff38d…
04-23 16:07:54	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xe4b691…
04-23 16:07:16	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	97¢	$81	0xa47978…
04-23 13:16:30	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0x02d694…
04-23 04:21:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0x081c97…
04-23 00:59:46	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xdd30e1…
04-22 23:41:02	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$3	0x4325a0…
04-22 23:40:24	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	5¢	$4	0x45fdf1…
04-22 19:04:54	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	5¢	$6	0x7b74c2…
04-22 07:04:48	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x04ea7b…
04-22 01:37:20	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x3df989…
04-21 19:38:40	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4c7006…
04-21 10:07:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	149	4¢	$5	0xbbd54b…
04-21 07:20:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	149	4¢	$6	0x0c95b6…
04-21 03:27:32	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	237	1¢	$3	0x0096fb…
04-21 00:54:44	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$1	0xecf6c3…
04-21 00:54:44	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$2	0xdbe12d…
04-21 00:54:44	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb1818f…
04-21 00:54:44	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x41c0d2…
04-21 00:06:34	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xe2af24…
04-21 00:06:34	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	442	2¢	$7	0x79d43c…
04-20 19:49:36	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	501	4¢	$18	0xff8f34…
04-20 12:19:18	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$2	0x7b7538…
04-20 09:48:28	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$2	0x35a21f…
04-20 08:17:48	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	129	98¢	$127	0x5a21bd…
04-20 05:37:00	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0xf9c360…