(anonymous) 0xec6dce…f0d1a9
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$15
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
437
lifetime
Volume
$5.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$294
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 10-26 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
45% 33% +$19
Sports
28% 75% -$4
Politics
21% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +214 $56 26¢ $57 +$1 10-24 13:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +62 $53 87¢ $54 +$0 10-05 12:25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +127 $47 34¢ $43 -$4 10-16 18:51
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +105 $37 34¢ $36 -$1 10-23 00:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +156 $26 16¢ $24 -$2 10-23 14:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +131 $19 17¢ $22 +$3 10-23 20:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +21 $15 94¢ $20 +$5 09-19 12:31
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 62¢ $6 -$1 09-18 13:35
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +105 $8 5¢ $5 -$3 10-23 13:17
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +21 $4 22¢ $5 +$1 09-18 21:24
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 40¢ $4 +$1 09-18 23:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $3 38¢ $4 +$1 09-20 16:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +11 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 09-15 21:50
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 09-19 13:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +15 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-09 13:04
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +1 $3 87¢ $1 -$2 09-23 00:25
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +162 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-29 23:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 10-16 21:51
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +1 -$2 98¢ $1 +$3 10-07 11:28
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 09-22 22:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 09-20 16:23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 90¢ $0 $0 09-18 21:15
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 $0 09-22 22:22
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1 $1 46¢ $0 $0 09-18 17:15
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 09-24 12:13
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1 $0 29¢ $0 +$0 10-14 22:13
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $0 48¢ $0 +$0 09-17 11:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 10-14 22:53
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +1 $1 34¢ $0 $0 10-16 12:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 $0 28¢ $0 $0 09-18 21:12