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Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
32
Trades
533
lifetime
Volume
$7.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 11-06 00:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
48% 33% +$20
Sports
31% 75% -$4
Politics
17% 46% -$15
Pop-Culture
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes +629 $292 41¢ $258 -$35 11-02 13:34
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +207 $145 62¢ $128 -$16 10-23 11:13
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? No +165 $113 63¢ $104 -$8 09-24 12:10
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +106 $90 85¢ $90 $0 11-04 12:46
Will The Black Ball win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? No +105 $87 81¢ $85 -$2 10-29 15:59
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +319 $81 26¢ $83 +$2 10-29 13:41
Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +250 $67 24¢ $60 -$7 11-01 21:38
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? Yes +108 $54 50¢ $55 +$1 11-05 22:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +62 $53 88¢ $55 +$1 10-05 12:25
Will Olivia Colman be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +112 $11 41¢ $46 +$35 10-31 16:14
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? No — +83 $34 54¢ $45 +$11 11-01 21:41
Will "Musk" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +72 $40 60¢ $44 +$4 10-26 11:39
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +105 $37 32¢ $34 -$3 10-23 00:47
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +54 $29 63¢ $34 +$5 10-27 11:16
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy? No +109 $41 27¢ $29 -$12 11-01 14:20
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +27 $24 82¢ $22 -$1 10-08 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +21 $15 97¢ $20 +$5 09-19 12:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +156 $26 8¢ $12 -$14 10-23 14:12
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +52 $9 19¢ $10 +$1 10-23 15:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%? No +15 $11 65¢ $10 -$1 09-25 17:47
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +10 $3 50¢ $5 +$2 09-17 11:03
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +105 $8 4¢ $4 -$4 10-23 13:17
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +54 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 11-03 23:05
Will DeVonta Smith have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +41 $2 5¢ $2 $0 11-05 23:18
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +2 $3 88¢ $2 -$1 10-26 21:12
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +7 $2 28¢ $2 $0 09-20 16:38
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +1 $3 90¢ $1 -$2 09-23 00:25
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +26 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-11 20:23
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 09-19 13:42
will jaylen brown win the 2026 27 nba mvp No +1 -$6 100¢ $1 +$7 10-22 20:56