(anonymous) 0xec6dce…f0d1a9
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
47.9%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
243
494 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.51K
$7.19K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$289
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 11-01 22:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
50% 33% +$19
Sports
30% 75% -$4
Politics
17% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +319 $81 25¢ $80 -$1 10-29 13:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +62 $53 87¢ $54 +$1 10-05 12:25
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +105 $37 34¢ $36 -$1 10-23 00:47
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +54 $29 56¢ $30 +$1 10-27 11:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +156 $26 14¢ $21 -$5 10-23 14:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +131 $19 16¢ $20 +$1 10-23 20:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +21 $15 96¢ $20 +$5 09-19 12:31
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $7 40¢ $4 -$3 09-18 13:35
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +105 $8 3¢ $3 -$5 10-23 13:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +11 $5 29¢ $3 -$2 09-15 21:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +10 $3 28¢ $3 $0 09-18 23:09
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $3 28¢ $3 $0 09-20 16:56
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +162 $2 1¢ $2 $0 09-29 23:30
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +1 $3 86¢ $1 -$2 09-23 00:25
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +10 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 09-19 13:42
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-16 21:51
Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +1 -$2 100¢ $1 +$3 10-07 11:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 10-09 13:04
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$1 09-22 22:19
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +1 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 10-11 19:37
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 88¢ $0 $0 09-18 21:15
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +0 $1 91¢ $0 $0 09-22 22:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-20 16:23
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $0 56¢ $0 +$0 09-17 11:27
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1 $1 44¢ $0 $0 09-18 17:15
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 09-24 12:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 -$1 10-14 22:53
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1 $0 22¢ $0 +$0 10-14 22:13
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +1 $1 34¢ $0 $0 10-16 12:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 $0 34¢ $0 $0 09-18 21:12