(anonymous) 0xec8398…c8ecc4 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$39
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
411
Trades
1,487
lifetime
Volume
$5.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$44
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 05-27 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Politics
52% 57% +$99
Other
33% 48% -$34
Crypto
15% 37% -$17
Tech
0% 25% -$4
Sports
0% 0% -$7
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -15 -$10 89¢ $-14 -$3 05-27 11:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -12 -$5 97¢ $-12 -$7 05-27 11:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -9 -$6 93¢ $-8 -$2 05-27 11:10
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 -$1 05-27 11:10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-27 11:11
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes -14 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 05-27 11:10