Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,475

lifetime

Volume

$5.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-27 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$36

Other

33% 67% +$3

Crypto

15% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	12	$269	41	241	-200	open	—	02-03 09:37
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	10	$119	51	75	-24	open	—	03-19 15:37
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	16	$108	64	115	-51	open	—	02-26 19:02
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	48	$103	2,285	2,284	+1	open	—	02-19 12:04
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	5	$79	14	65	-51	open	—	02-03 03:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$77	102	48	+54	open	—	03-06 05:00
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	2	$71	9	69	-60	open	—	02-03 03:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$69	19	53	-35	open	—	03-01 01:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$63	108	87	+21	open	—	03-30 14:20
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	8	$59	30	30	-0	open	—	02-04 22:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	14	$54	64	61	+2	open	—	04-21 22:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$53	25	37	-12	open	—	03-02 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$52	59	59	+0	open	—	05-27 11:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$52	19	50	-31	open	—	02-28 18:11
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	10	$48	51	50	+1	open	—	02-27 15:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	11	$48	65	63	+2	open	—	04-21 12:25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$47	21	98	-77	open	—	04-08 11:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	10	$47	116	114	+2	open	—	04-21 06:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$45	54	52	+2	open	—	03-06 06:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	10	$44	158	157	+1	open	—	04-21 08:17
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	8	$44	244	852	-608	open	—	02-03 10:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$44	48	46	+2	open	—	03-08 05:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$43	149	96	+53	Yes	+$36	04-21 19:36
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	5	$41	16	27	-11	open	—	03-01 00:42
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	14	$40	82	47	+34	open	—	02-28 01:56
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	4	$40	15	25	-10	open	—	02-03 04:19
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	7	$38	40	36	+4	open	—	02-27 17:35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$38	21	39	-18	open	—	02-03 09:18
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	5	$37	25	29	-4	open	—	02-03 17:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$37	46	32	+15	open	—	04-07 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 11:10:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xe76f7a…
04-28 09:02:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xc0d530…
04-28 00:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x18d17c…
04-27 23:34:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xff5fc5…
04-25 16:24:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xed507c…
04-23 18:31:26	bitcoin above 78400 on april 23 2026 3pm et	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x456382…
04-23 18:31:24	bitcoin above 78400 on april 23 2026 3pm et	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xdf57bd…
04-23 18:20:48	bitcoin above 78400 on april 23 2026 3pm et	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x25b1e5…
04-23 18:20:46	bitcoin above 78400 on april 23 2026 3pm et	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf6aae3…
04-23 12:45:34	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x9847c8…
04-23 12:36:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xb61e03…
04-23 06:36:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xcd84ea…
04-21 22:13:24	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xb8d72d…
04-21 21:59:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x686a0a…
04-21 21:11:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xd9095e…
04-21 21:11:06	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xa1df01…
04-21 20:54:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x0b43ae…
04-21 20:08:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x65d664…
04-21 19:36:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x55d7fe…
04-21 15:48:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x6b0b03…
04-21 15:22:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$4	0xdd0751…
04-21 15:11:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xb35a81…
04-21 14:59:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x6be3e1…
04-21 14:39:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x59781f…
04-21 14:39:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcd5a27…
04-21 14:33:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x1c99fc…
04-21 12:48:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xc64902…
04-21 12:25:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x7114db…
04-21 12:24:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xc159ac…
04-21 08:57:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x73e0e7…
04-21 08:17:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xd01e7f…
04-21 07:36:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x16aea4…
04-21 06:26:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xfd2815…
04-21 01:00:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xe81649…
04-21 01:00:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xe824fd…
04-20 14:57:38	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x021c3b…
04-20 11:12:46	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x20d2a1…
04-20 07:18:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9a6d3a…
04-20 07:14:46	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x414357…
04-20 06:22:42	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x72c28b…
04-20 00:35:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xb01d72…
04-19 19:48:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xd08227…
04-19 19:29:24	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x9599f2…
04-19 19:22:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x945473…
04-19 18:30:44	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0x212c57…
04-19 18:09:50	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0xbaf32c…
04-19 18:09:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x131a89…
04-19 16:05:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2a954a…
04-19 15:44:50	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x772b4d…
04-19 15:34:20	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe06e0c…
04-19 15:09:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x1fbdf2…
04-19 14:55:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x6e3659…
04-19 14:55:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x6d2875…
04-19 13:51:34	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x61003c…
04-19 13:01:28	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf66e45…
04-19 10:59:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xb61b94…
04-19 10:05:20	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x3c8853…
04-18 07:00:24	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xdd3dd0…
04-17 23:37:46	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xef47cd…
04-17 20:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x829f6e…
04-17 13:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x64597b…
04-17 09:53:28	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x887a5b…
04-17 09:11:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x07cad6…
04-17 08:24:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x5969a2…
04-17 06:39:10	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	SELL	51	6¢	$3	0x0df578…
04-16 23:13:58	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x5e1812…
04-16 22:53:42	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x99763a…
04-16 21:48:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x294706…
04-16 16:36:16	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf7d7b0…
04-16 16:30:04	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x361bac…
04-16 14:31:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x220bcb…
04-16 12:29:10	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x860eff…
04-16 11:52:56	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5dfdc2…
04-16 11:31:32	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdf49b5…
04-15 23:45:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0x722c2e…
04-15 23:40:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x0a073c…
04-15 23:40:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3ee579…
04-15 22:35:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1d3e4a…
04-15 11:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x0fef7a…
04-15 09:55:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x688a18…
04-15 09:28:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$6	0x4bc6ab…
04-15 08:41:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x36a6b0…
04-15 05:20:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xadce23…
04-15 05:16:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x35afd1…
04-15 05:13:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xe9e23b…
04-14 21:28:22	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0x97f487…
04-14 11:10:25	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x77f594…
04-14 10:30:49	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0xd21553…
04-14 10:08:45	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	76	6¢	$5	0xd24334…
04-14 09:15:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xaf91cf…
04-14 05:53:23	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8407a7…
04-14 05:51:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x71081b…
04-13 22:22:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x44b139…
04-13 20:18:41	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x00265a…
04-13 18:44:09	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0xd60028…
04-13 18:21:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xfe8797…
04-13 09:19:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x447964…
04-13 09:14:13	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xc9c535…
04-13 07:03:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xd43b25…
04-13 05:35:03	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xc6b419…