Overjoyed-Cranky 0xed2a1f…be2606
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
211
Trades
628
lifetime
Volume
$23.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$109
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-23 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Crypto
94% 43% +$1,263
Other
3% 4% -$144
Tech
3% 17% +$254
Sports
1% 9% -$37
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +46 $10 60¢ $28 +$18 10-18 08:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +61 $20 32¢ $19 -$1 10-23 19:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +196 $30 9¢ $17 -$13 05-10 16:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21 $10 41¢ $9 -$1 10-18 08:26
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +435 $10 2¢ $8 -$2 05-10 16:15
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,125 $7 0¢ $5 -$2 07-30 07:39
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 07-30 07:41
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,179 $12 0¢ $3 -$9 07-30 07:40
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $10 0¢ $3 -$7 05-10 16:15
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +222 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 07-30 07:42
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +455 $5 1¢ $2 -$2 05-10 16:15
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +180 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 06-14 13:01
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +500 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 05-10 16:15
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 07-30 07:42
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +217 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 07-30 07:41
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +280 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 06-14 13:01
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-30 07:42
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +328 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 07-30 07:40
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-30 07:39
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +88 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 06-14 13:02
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +61 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-14 13:01