Realized P&L (90d)
-$145
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
5.2%
Resolved (90d)
15
Trades (90d)
7
628 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$60
$23.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$79
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-23 19:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Crypto
94% 43% +$1,263
Other
3% 6% -$109
Tech
3% 17% +$254
Sports
1% 9% -$37
Politics
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +435 $10 6¢ $28 +$18 05-10 16:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +196 $30 9¢ $19 -$11 05-10 16:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21 $10 46¢ $10 $0 10-18 08:26
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,125 $7 1¢ $8 +$1 07-30 07:39
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +227 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 07-30 07:41
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +455 $5 0¢ $2 -$3 05-10 16:15
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +222 $2 1¢ $2 $0 07-30 07:42
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $10 0¢ $2 -$8 05-10 16:15
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +328 $7 0¢ $1 -$6 07-30 07:40
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +500 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 05-10 16:15
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 07-30 07:42
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +280 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 06-14 13:01
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +180 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 06-14 13:01
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-30 07:42
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +217 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-30 07:41
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +88 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 06-14 13:02