Baggy-Bribery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-04 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 40% $-1

Other

48% 0% $-10

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$65	187	151	+36	open	—	05-12 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$19	26	12	+14	Down	$-3	05-10 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 12:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$10	38	0	+38	Yes	$-10	05-10 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-10 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 17:42
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-13 05:39
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-04 07:25
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 14:26
Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 20:58
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-13 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-10 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 10:56
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-13 21:04
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 11:09
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	05-13 21:03
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 21:05
Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 11:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 07:25:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x0b7551…
05-15 14:26:01	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe6518a…
05-15 14:12:29	Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc21865…
05-13 21:06:41	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x470052…
05-13 21:05:26	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x49a12e…
05-13 21:04:02	Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa995cd…
05-13 21:03:53	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xaffb23…
05-13 21:02:17	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0e05d3…
05-13 20:58:05	Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdd9aea…
05-13 05:39:37	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf3449f…
05-12 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb46f12…
05-12 05:36:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8ab886…
05-11 20:10:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	30¢	$45	0xf8af86…
05-10 16:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xcad5b5…
05-10 16:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfa369f…
05-10 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xa3d83e…
05-10 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc9de02…
05-10 14:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc1c874…
05-10 14:36:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8d03af…
05-10 12:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xebe9e9…
05-10 12:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xdb0ff7…
05-10 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7ad707…
05-10 11:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0aae8b…
05-10 11:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x85f0b9…
05-10 11:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x94fb15…
05-10 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xd031e4…
05-10 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x40adee…
05-10 11:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x753a89…
05-10 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe3edc3…
05-10 11:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdffa36…
05-10 11:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2cf498…
05-10 10:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x06c7c5…
05-10 10:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x653944…
05-10 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd44e46…
05-10 10:11:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0x30f063…