Realized P&L (7d)
+$238
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
188
574 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.49K
$5.13K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$423
19 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-26 15:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
61% 57% -$10
Other
39% 45% -$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +136 $91 62¢ $85 -$6 10-26 15:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +85 $3 99¢ $84 +$81 10-22 07:15
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +154 $48 38¢ $59 +$11 10-06 20:08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +73 $23 38¢ $27 +$5 10-02 18:57
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +38 $16 64¢ $24 +$9 10-01 11:01
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +53 $20 41¢ $22 +$2 10-23 14:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $21 68¢ $21 $0 10-21 18:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 $0 10-21 17:59
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +56 $17 32¢ $18 +$0 10-21 22:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $20 55¢ $17 -$3 10-08 11:13
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +33 $13 36¢ $12 -$1 10-22 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +20 $12 55¢ $11 -$1 10-12 05:05
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +31 $9 31¢ $10 +$0 10-19 22:54
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +12 $6 62¢ $7 +$1 10-16 07:38
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8 $3 36¢ $3 $0 10-22 12:02
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +6 $2 44¢ $3 +$0 10-21 23:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +31 $21 2¢ $1 -$21 10-25 18:25
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-26 01:19
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +78 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 10-25 19:13