Realized P&L (90d)
-$116
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved (90d)
55
Trades (90d)
560
560 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.11K
$5.11K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$435
18 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-26 15:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
61% 58% +$12
Other
39% 45% -$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +136 $91 67¢ $91 +$0 10-26 15:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +85 $3 99¢ $84 +$81 10-22 07:15
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +154 $48 38¢ $59 +$12 10-06 20:08
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +73 $23 38¢ $28 +$5 10-02 18:57
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +38 $16 64¢ $24 +$9 10-01 11:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $21 70¢ $22 +$0 10-21 18:04
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +53 $20 40¢ $22 +$2 10-23 14:33
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +30 $20 70¢ $21 +$0 10-21 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $20 62¢ $19 -$1 10-08 11:13
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +56 $17 32¢ $18 +$1 10-21 22:50
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$1 10-12 05:05
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +33 $13 36¢ $12 -$1 10-22 12:02
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +31 $9 32¢ $10 +$1 10-19 22:54
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +12 $6 62¢ $7 +$1 10-16 07:38
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8 $3 36¢ $3 $0 10-22 12:02
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +6 $2 46¢ $3 +$0 10-21 23:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +31 $21 2¢ $0 -$21 10-25 18:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +78 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 10-25 19:13