(anonymous) 0xed87f5…e2bb8b
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$58
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
3.8%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
16
591 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$99
$5.24K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$445
18 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-28 13:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
62% 57% +$70
Other
38% 45% -$128
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +136 $91 68¢ $92 +$1 10-26 15:50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +222 $75 40¢ $88 +$13 10-28 13:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +79 $50 62¢ $49 $0 10-27 15:53
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +73 $23 40¢ $29 +$6 10-02 18:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $29 62¢ $28 -$1 10-27 15:53
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +38 $16 64¢ $24 +$9 10-01 11:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $21 68¢ $21 $0 10-21 18:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 $0 10-21 17:59
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +53 $20 38¢ $20 +$0 10-23 14:33
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +56 $17 34¢ $19 +$2 10-21 22:50
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +25 $15 60¢ $15 $0 10-28 01:42
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +33 $13 44¢ $15 +$2 10-22 12:02
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +31 $9 34¢ $11 +$1 10-19 22:54
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +12 $6 62¢ $7 +$1 10-16 07:38
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8 $3 44¢ $4 +$1 10-22 12:02
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +6 $2 45¢ $3 +$0 10-21 23:05
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +31 $21 2¢ $1 -$21 10-25 18:25
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +32 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 10-27 18:01