Candid-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

292 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.66K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

92% 56% -$24

Politics

8% 80% +$3

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-21 16:32
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	$0	06-29 02:50
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-09 09:59
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 02:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-22 00:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:57
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-26 20:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-14 03:45
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-13 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-19 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 9?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-08 22:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 1?	6	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-01 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-10 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-15 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-30 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 17?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 27?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 10?	9	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on June 15?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-14 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 15?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-14 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 22?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-22 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-07 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 12?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-11 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:36:15	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc39d4…
08-01 06:55:21	Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x24bd59…
07-28 06:05:49	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1765f9…
06-29 03:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6bf38e…
06-29 03:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb18e16…
06-29 02:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf7704a…
06-29 02:50:25	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x16233e…
06-29 02:50:07	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x199fa8…
06-28 11:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x07e889…
06-28 11:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x881ce9…
06-27 21:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3e47d6…
06-27 21:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x5483d6…
06-27 20:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e2113…
06-27 07:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc4f2b0…
06-27 07:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x58bedd…
06-27 06:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x213cb4…
06-27 06:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6f1b62…
06-26 07:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbe5d1c…
06-26 07:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9e2b01…
06-25 12:57:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd66459…
06-25 04:37:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x356bc4…
06-25 04:35:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd86b9f…
06-25 04:16:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x65a52a…
06-24 10:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x19d9cc…
06-24 10:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x43f4aa…
06-23 08:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0a1d02…
06-23 06:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 23?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xfdab79…
06-22 02:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7e7433…
06-22 01:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 22?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe127fe…
06-22 01:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 22?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb950e9…
06-22 01:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8b700a…
06-21 16:32:31	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5ce0dc…
06-21 11:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x5a10d2…
06-20 12:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe11e62…
06-19 07:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2237a4…
06-19 06:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x573a4b…
06-17 00:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xba3c72…
06-16 18:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 17?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8bbc98…
06-15 17:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x070e33…
06-15 16:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xfab46d…
06-15 14:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc7ae9e…
06-14 22:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x804223…
06-14 22:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x32d3ef…
06-14 17:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabbb7c…
06-14 16:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x66a809…
06-14 16:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on June 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0a8aec…
06-14 16:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 15?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdc89b1…
06-14 03:45:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x845c0e…
06-14 00:44:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x61f33d…
06-13 14:37:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x626671…
06-13 04:17:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe3778f…
06-13 03:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x251907…
06-12 05:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x377105…
06-12 05:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x5450a6…
06-12 05:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe3daaa…
06-12 01:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x67a514…
06-12 00:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x888838…
06-11 12:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba4d53…
06-11 12:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x34b015…
06-10 23:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x3ffe49…
06-10 13:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0a373a…
06-08 20:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x5dd006…
06-08 19:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x244f74…
06-08 10:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x87b1c2…
06-08 01:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x4c9944…
06-08 01:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0a9fc0…
06-07 12:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x84f19f…
06-07 02:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6ca01d…
06-07 02:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xed1f6b…
06-07 00:30:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x2a8315…
06-07 00:22:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x719ef1…
06-06 12:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff8574…
06-06 05:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0bc4bd…
06-05 17:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x55d2e2…
06-05 06:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x286552…
06-05 06:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa2911c…
06-04 09:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x3785b0…
06-04 09:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x69ffc3…
06-04 02:10:57	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdd6ee3…
06-03 05:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x73af4a…
06-03 05:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x7611c8…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x239a31…
06-02 00:00:56	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x747dec…
06-01 09:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc47eae…
06-01 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb9eef0…
05-31 19:33:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe50315…
05-31 15:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6dd35a…
05-31 15:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x24835e…
05-31 08:30:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c35fa…
05-31 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x13b4e4…
05-30 17:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1995f6…
05-30 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xaaac7f…
05-30 07:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x76691f…
05-30 06:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x783333…
05-29 18:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6e5f47…
05-29 07:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7aacab…
05-29 06:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6e7a33…
05-29 04:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x0c6b63…
05-28 14:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6d8595…