Worthy-Bucket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$392

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

27% 50% $-6

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

1% 60% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+330	$183	56¢	$186	+$4	06-06 08:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$103	68¢	$103	+$0	06-05 06:50
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	+107	$100	96¢	$102	+$3	06-01 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	30	$1.3K	960	960	+0	open	—	03-28 07:55
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	7	$518	537	0	+537	open	—	01-08 15:00
50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	7	$479	285	285	+0	open	—	03-23 07:44
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	13	$458	400	400	+0	open	—	01-08 17:01
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	7	$458	310	310	+0	open	—	01-03 15:24
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$387	439	0	+439	open	—	04-25 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	04-19 07:46
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$354	186	186	+0	open	—	04-29 16:17
will xqc beat forsens minecraft speedrun record by january 31	7	$325	399	0	+399	open	—	01-23 02:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	9	$280	292	0	+292	open	—	05-31 01:17
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	12	$266	185	185	+0	open	—	01-19 14:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$261	340	0	+340	open	—	01-27 15:22
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$258	132	132	+0	open	—	03-23 07:55
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?	5	$247	308	0	+308	open	—	01-11 04:15
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$242	130	130	+0	open	—	03-20 08:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	10	$239	244	0	+244	open	—	06-03 04:36
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$236	260	0	+260	open	—	05-07 21:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$233	260	0	+260	open	—	05-10 05:20
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	10	$230	161	161	+0	open	—	02-06 18:53
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	03-28 07:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$198	207	0	+207	No	+$9	05-08 07:39
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$196	234	0	+234	open	—	03-28 07:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	05-30 08:38
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	1	$190	200	0	+200	open	—	01-01 13:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$183	330	0	+330	open	—	06-06 08:19
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	1	$174	200	0	+200	open	—	01-10 08:14
maduro out by february 28 2026	2	$173	200	0	+200	open	—	01-03 03:48
maduro out by march 31 2026 187 483	2	$154	200	0	+200	open	—	01-03 06:16
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$150	163	0	+163	open	—	02-01 16:06
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$150	163	0	+163	open	—	03-28 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:35:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x949f08…
06-09 08:53:07	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4cd39b…
06-09 07:28:58	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe516b5…
06-09 07:00:22	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0xe41fe7…
06-06 08:19:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	53¢	$69	0x260448…
06-05 21:54:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x21ece8…
06-05 07:21:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x3ed817…
06-05 06:50:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	68¢	$51	0x93c751…
06-05 04:41:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0xc0db0a…
06-03 07:52:45	Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc36e6d…
06-03 04:36:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x020b9b…
06-03 01:03:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x540c1e…
06-03 01:00:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x43f244…
06-03 00:59:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xa591e3…
06-03 00:59:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc9c44c…
06-03 00:59:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x5b541b…
06-03 00:51:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x884819…
06-02 08:29:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x7113c3…
06-02 08:19:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x64b79e…
06-02 08:17:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xe53656…
06-01 15:53:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xd44285…
06-01 15:02:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xabc744…
05-31 01:17:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2892f7…
05-30 08:38:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa2213e…
05-30 08:18:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xe4e1a0…
05-30 05:06:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa06c2f…
05-30 03:30:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xeb1faf…
05-30 00:54:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x842b99…
05-30 00:51:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcf0a99…
05-30 00:44:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x71ad34…
05-30 00:42:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1aeda5…
05-20 16:29:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4fa2c4…
05-19 05:49:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xd0e26e…
05-18 14:33:13	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x86e662…
05-18 07:08:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x924b3e…
05-17 20:07:18	Jalen Duren: Points O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x0e1fe9…
05-14 02:09:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5a2473…
05-13 06:15:33	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x758585…
05-12 05:18:06	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xc41c60…
05-12 05:04:19	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6e8342…
05-11 18:36:54	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x106ef9…
05-11 12:49:30	Marcus Smart: Points O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa175eb…
05-10 22:01:44	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even Score	Odd	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b937e…
05-10 12:19:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xabf03a…
05-10 10:36:38	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdcd78a…
05-10 09:14:23	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdcbcf6…
05-10 05:20:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xa2c979…
05-09 08:02:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd78be2…
05-08 07:39:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x431631…
05-08 07:33:25	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5b38a1…
05-07 21:34:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x0801bc…
05-06 06:43:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf0ecc5…
05-05 01:16:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x27fe9b…
05-05 01:15:02	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb67147…
05-05 01:03:06	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd0efcf…
05-04 13:13:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x12ef48…
05-04 11:33:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x914285…
05-04 11:05:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xf05025…
05-01 12:43:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xadae0f…
04-30 14:18:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x598613…
04-30 14:18:28	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xc50d2f…
04-29 16:17:02	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x1cba04…
04-29 16:14:42	Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x4520f8…
04-25 16:04:36	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xfa7a1f…
04-21 17:11:26	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xf5d975…
04-21 00:47:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf98328…
04-20 23:38:42	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x707985…
04-20 13:09:26	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9f5b64…
04-20 09:00:36	nba den min 2026 04 23	Nuggets	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdab6ae…
04-20 08:45:08	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x270873…
04-20 07:37:46	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Spurs	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb382f7…
04-19 08:10:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xda9792…
04-19 07:48:14	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x9e1b8a…
04-19 07:46:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x60cd86…
04-18 14:15:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xe3eb9e…
04-16 12:42:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x36fbd3…
04-16 12:24:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$52	0xb6aa54…
04-12 12:22:27	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0x5f37e7…
04-12 12:20:01	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x23b6e7…
04-10 13:36:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x58581d…
04-10 13:28:47	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0xe4f9df…
04-07 11:40:23	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x6a9742…
03-28 07:59:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x11916f…
03-28 07:59:01	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0x554802…
03-28 07:58:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0xf9111f…
03-28 07:55:31	will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0x63f19a…
03-28 07:55:17	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	104	98¢	$103	0xd928a3…
03-23 08:01:09	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x26f004…
03-23 07:58:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	45	81¢	$36	0x15ab94…
03-23 07:55:19	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xf3f9d9…
03-23 07:53:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0x49726f…
03-23 07:52:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc58842…
03-23 07:52:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xba45d0…
03-23 07:47:39	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x6eea86…
03-23 07:44:57	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	No	SELL	285	99¢	$283	0xd79880…
03-20 09:07:35	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x3a64db…
03-20 08:22:39	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xa8ca7b…
03-20 08:18:49	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0xb2b3bd…
03-20 08:18:19	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x154f87…
03-19 20:16:41	50m views on a mrbeast video in the first day by march 31	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x51c3fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	64	$8.23M	13,097	06-04 03:07
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	64	$39.8K	813	06-09 00:27
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	63	$554.2K	8,864	06-09 16:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	63	$11.4K	2,084	06-09 11:17
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	59	$71.3K	7,105	03-28 06:11
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	58	$7.30K	3,029	06-09 20:18
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	57	$84.5K	12,828	06-01 00:07
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	54	$38.4K	2,723	06-01 14:50