Burdensome-Start — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

42 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$5.55K lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-06 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

46% 94% +$12

Crypto

25% 100% +$2

Politics

17% 100% +$7

Tech

11% 50% -$218

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No		+5	$5	94¢	$5	$0	08-10 10:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$706	361	361	+0	No	+$6	01-22 04:11
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$421	333	333	+0	Yes	-$219	02-07 08:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$335	176	176	+0	No	+$5	06-04 23:33
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$276	277	0	+277	No	+$1	03-08 14:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	+$1	06-20 10:26
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	1	$236	236	0	+236	No	+$0	07-19 07:23
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 180 199	1	$225	225	0	+225	No	+$0	04-02 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	05-14 15:51
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	1	$203	204	0	+204	No	+$1	06-07 15:56
will solana reach 130 in february 2026	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-27 07:10
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	01-22 04:11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$197	99	99	+0	No	-$1	05-27 04:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$174	175	0	+175	No	+$1	06-22 09:32
solana above 100 on june 23 2026	1	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	06-22 09:33
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	04-24 07:25
ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	04-17 11:25
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	1	$139	140	0	+140	No	+$1	02-07 08:27
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 14?	1	$135	135	0	+135	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$1	05-23 07:17
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	01-22 04:12
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	04-24 07:26
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	03-26 14:06
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$117	117	0	+117	No	+$0	08-10 10:01
ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 160 179	1	$115	116	0	+116	No	+$1	04-17 11:24
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-26 12:01
zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	04-17 11:23
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	09-09 10:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$1	10-06 08:55
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$2	03-08 14:04
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	01-26 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 08:55:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xcbb7fb…
09-27 09:02:35	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10513d…
09-09 10:30:16	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xff6c63…
08-10 10:02:18	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3dc67b…
08-10 10:01:40	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x56bb5f…
07-19 07:28:42	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf92850…
07-19 07:27:30	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xce1719…
07-19 07:25:39	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7e731…
07-19 07:23:46	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x7641b4…
06-22 09:33:44	solana above 100 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xc63df8…
06-22 09:32:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x5715a8…
06-20 10:26:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x554ccf…
06-07 15:56:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0xb6754a…
06-04 23:33:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	176	97¢	$170	0x843877…
06-02 09:26:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	176	94¢	$165	0x50137b…
06-02 09:24:07	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x395a2d…
05-27 04:14:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x0a6ca0…
05-23 07:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xf80e4d…
05-23 07:17:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x6f4e47…
05-14 15:51:31	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x9507b8…
05-14 15:49:39	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x3f680d…
04-24 07:26:02	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x42061b…
04-24 07:25:26	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xb9be05…
04-24 07:24:10	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc4e402…
04-17 11:25:20	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8f4bfc…
04-17 11:24:44	ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 160 179	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xbc05f5…
04-17 11:23:54	zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 140 159	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xf53064…
04-02 05:03:57	donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 180 199	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x071972…
03-26 15:01:57	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 160 179	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x942a00…
03-26 14:06:07	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 200plus	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x798a4b…
03-26 12:01:57	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f7b25…
03-08 14:04:37	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 0 39	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x77c7cc…
03-08 14:03:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0x7fd1a8…
02-27 07:10:35	will solana reach 130 in february 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x67ed76…
02-07 08:27:25	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x598249…
02-07 08:25:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	333	30¢	$101	0x75b650…
02-02 14:05:42	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	333	96¢	$320	0x805dd7…
01-26 06:14:12	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x48c8d2…
01-22 04:12:38	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xbba0bb…
01-22 04:11:34	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x341c09…
01-22 04:11:12	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	361	98¢	$356	0x6c0714…
01-14 11:14:46	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	361	97¢	$350	0x6421af…