(anonymous) 0xef191f…e96d5d
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$571
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved
127
Trades
232
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$3.05K
20 positions
First seen
2026-08-23
last 10-27 08:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
61% 80% +$97
Politics
22% 82% -$72
Sports
15% 56% -$598
Crypto
2% 40% -$6
Tech
1% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +783 $746 97¢ $758 +$12 10-02 09:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +250 $235 94¢ $234 -$1 10-02 07:30
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +220 $200 92¢ $201 +$1 08-30 11:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $176 90¢ $179 +$3 10-09 16:20
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +175 $148 88¢ $155 +$6 10-20 03:57
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +152 $150 99¢ $150 $0 10-27 10:06
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +192 $100 64¢ $124 +$24 10-06 05:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +121 $120 98¢ $119 -$1 10-26 12:04
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +122 $119 97¢ $118 -$1 09-01 13:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +114 $100 98¢ $111 +$11 09-02 18:24
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +111 $100 92¢ $102 +$2 10-20 05:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +122 $87 84¢ $102 +$15 09-05 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27? No — +102 $100 98¢ $100 +$0 10-27 06:18
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +112 $100 86¢ $97 -$3 08-30 10:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +118 $100 82¢ $96 -$4 10-08 05:28
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +125 $100 76¢ $96 -$4 10-23 10:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +125 $100 73¢ $91 -$9 09-05 06:49
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +274 $222 28¢ $76 -$146 10-14 22:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +76 $50 96¢ $73 +$23 09-04 05:19
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +70 $67 99¢ $70 +$2 08-30 06:43