Realized P&L
-$644
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
2,649
Trades
4,171
lifetime
Volume
$35.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$394
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-29 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 205 days
Categories
Other
56% 57% -$248
Sports
34% 53% -$280
Politics
9% 75% +$31
Tech
1% 64% -$162
Crypto
1% 55% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +76 $66 94¢ $71 +$5 10-15 07:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +55 $49 98¢ $54 +$4 06-11 21:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +44 $33 80¢ $36 +$2 05-15 20:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +31 $29 98¢ $30 +$2 06-09 17:51
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +29 $26 100¢ $29 +$3 06-03 06:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +26 $21 96¢ $25 +$4 05-08 12:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +24 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 05-16 23:10
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +35 $25 56¢ $20 -$5 10-15 22:40
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +18 $16 99¢ $17 +$1 10-03 16:38
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +18 $17 94¢ $17 +$0 10-02 16:21
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$1 10-03 16:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +56 $16 20¢ $11 -$5 05-05 23:07
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 05-24 18:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 -$8 85¢ $-9 -$1 06-12 09:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $7 98¢ $7 +$1 05-09 20:06
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +9 $5 64¢ $6 +$0 10-14 21:36
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +5 $3 71¢ $3 $0 10-27 05:42
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +4 $3 84¢ $3 $0 09-28 12:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 10-08 23:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 10-27 02:55
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 65¢ $3 $0 05-05 00:40
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-04 16:52
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-04 11:00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-03 20:54
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-04 01:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 $0 05-05 09:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-05 09:07