Capital-Pack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,084

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-01 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

40% 100% +$5

Other

25% — —

Sports

24% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-7	$-2	0¢	$-0	+$2	06-16 02:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba det cha 2026 02 09	4	$96	65	65	+0	open	—	02-10 02:36
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	02-03 23:58
epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	1	$36	57	0	+57	open	—	02-10 11:53
nba lal dal 2026 01 24	1	$36	59	0	+59	open	—	01-25 01:27
nba ind phi 2026 01 19	3	$34	48	0	+48	open	—	01-20 00:16
mwoh slo fin 2026 02 11	1	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	02-11 08:03
nba min mem 2026 02 02	5	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	02-03 01:09
nba atl mia 2026 02 03	1	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	02-04 00:14
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	16	$26	37	37	+0	open	—	04-04 18:17
nba phi por 2026 02 09	1	$26	46	0	+46	open	—	02-10 02:38
cbb xav stjohn 2026 02 09	1	$26	34	0	+34	open	—	02-10 01:47
sea juv nap 2026 01 25 total 1pt5	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	01-25 19:58
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	3	$24	59	0	+59	open	—	02-11 21:22
nba mia phx 2026 01 25 total 225pt5	3	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	01-26 03:45
ethereum up or down january 24 8am et	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	01-24 14:48
Will Kevan Jones get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?	27	$23	14	10	+4	open	—	02-15 16:52
nba lac phx 2026 02 01	5	$22	48	0	+48	open	—	02-01 19:53
nba den det 2026 02 03 total 229pt5	2	$22	43	0	+43	open	—	02-04 00:02
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	19	$22	14	13	+1	open	—	04-11 20:34
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	20	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-16 03:59
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	14	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	04-13 17:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	12	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-04 15:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 15:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-01 11:26
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	10	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-10 02:08
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	8	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 01:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	39	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-29 00:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	24	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-13 13:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	6	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-11 13:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 05:34:35	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x36f85a…
07-01 04:49:19	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x92131e…
06-30 01:56:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1877bd…
06-30 00:16:53	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1e6c8b…
06-28 23:31:53	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa13382…
06-28 20:24:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc4312c…
06-28 18:36:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa6b024…
06-28 17:02:55	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3c6373…
06-28 08:40:05	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb36290…
06-28 08:40:05	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x148b6b…
06-28 06:39:25	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0f3cb1…
06-28 06:32:55	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xba87dd…
06-28 06:22:43	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe3394d…
06-28 05:44:59	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x18f008…
06-27 19:53:29	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x762549…
06-27 19:16:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xeec2fd…
06-27 19:16:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb59246…
06-27 19:08:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf7ac77…
06-27 19:06:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x66e495…
06-27 15:27:50	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x072a1e…
06-27 14:02:13	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe36a6e…
06-27 13:41:37	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdeefa2…
06-27 13:25:08	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x79ac9f…
06-27 08:34:20	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8bd04a…
06-18 00:38:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x635bcf…
06-17 20:07:19	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x8cf164…
06-17 20:07:10	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa889e5…
06-16 19:31:50	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe6ee7c…
06-16 05:14:03	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x50af8f…
06-16 02:54:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0xfcd4d3…
06-16 00:04:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x9a4009…
06-15 20:53:19	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x279bc3…
06-15 14:08:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x5794d6…
06-15 14:04:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x508b52…
06-15 14:03:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x141878…
06-15 14:00:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x84e666…
06-15 13:59:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe8044d…
06-15 05:24:12	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x95e5e3…
06-15 04:23:48	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7423e1…
06-15 00:17:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xfc0a73…
06-14 22:37:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xfd06f7…
06-14 22:22:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x3dac6f…
06-14 21:38:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x902527…
06-14 21:36:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbbcb16…
06-14 21:33:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd71dd7…
06-14 21:33:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x373b6d…
06-14 21:23:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x0e1985…
06-14 21:20:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x144a73…
06-14 20:46:57	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x472670…
06-14 18:32:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x3fcd82…
06-14 18:31:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x1bfe76…
06-14 18:31:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xbe1633…
06-14 18:26:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xe95549…
06-14 18:26:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x118a6f…
06-14 04:47:33	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf4eed8…
06-12 13:38:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x944f01…
06-12 08:02:10	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x328de2…
06-12 08:00:16	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x51e19d…
06-12 06:45:09	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6ede1c…
06-12 05:54:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x81853f…
06-12 05:44:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x38dd03…
06-12 05:11:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x2f5e92…
06-12 04:22:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2b4ce6…
06-12 04:19:21	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd856d0…
06-12 04:07:34	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x30fd9a…
06-12 03:50:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd7abb9…
06-12 03:50:33	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x187ddf…
06-12 03:00:22	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x00d6d5…
06-12 02:39:48	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1a4582…
06-12 00:44:10	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x919b4d…
06-12 00:44:10	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x849110…
06-12 00:44:07	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x9f0468…
06-12 00:39:49	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x01032c…
06-11 23:51:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xfe57e8…
06-11 23:32:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4f376f…
06-11 23:32:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x90677a…
06-11 23:00:55	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x175643…
06-11 21:36:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x3095f9…
06-11 20:49:42	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xbc0595…
06-11 20:20:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xd99f05…
06-11 20:17:31	israel closes its airspace by june 13	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x779386…
06-11 20:11:18	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf85c14…
06-11 14:29:27	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa07321…
06-11 05:24:43	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xea56a0…
06-11 00:15:28	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x21db9c…
06-11 00:06:58	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33eac0…
06-11 00:04:28	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x89716a…
06-10 18:41:58	israel closes its airspace by june 10	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x007360…
06-10 18:40:58	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$0	0x490947…
06-10 16:38:58	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x066306…
06-10 01:46:43	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x2222f8…
06-10 00:38:37	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7cd021…
06-09 14:14:51	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x84a447…
06-09 03:49:36	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa695a2…
06-09 01:38:46	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc94885…
06-08 11:48:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xbc247c…
06-08 11:39:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf30d63…
06-08 05:27:43	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6f42b4…
06-08 00:10:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x4d6267…
06-07 19:52:52	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xd642af…