Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

134

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$202

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 09-01 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

54% 45% -$257

Other

24% 40% -$47

Crypto

13% 59% +$111

Sports

4% 39% $0

Tech

4% 50% -$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	+147	$101	88¢	$130	+$29	08-13 13:33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+130	$41	22¢	$29	-$12	09-01 10:12
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+277	$113	6¢	$18	-$95	08-21 17:26
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	-64	-$27	16¢	$-10	+$17	06-28 20:39
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	-55	-$19	17¢	$-9	+$10	07-08 20:50
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+16	$4	33¢	$5	+$1	08-13 13:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	13	$486	570	570	+0	Yes	-$263	07-16 21:31
mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	10	$269	151	150	+0	No	+$19	07-28 22:05
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$196	232	0	+232	No	+$36	06-19 21:40
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	10	$184	143	143	+0	No	+$18	07-24 13:36
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	12	$180	348	71	+277	open	—	08-21 17:26
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	6	$167	141	141	+0	Nothing	-$13	07-29 21:00
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	10	$130	241	0	+241	open	—	09-01 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:25 UTC	2	$110	150	0	+150	Up	+$40	04-06 17:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	7	$109	230	101	+130	open	—	09-01 10:12
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	3	$101	147	0	+147	open	—	08-13 13:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$100	67	67	+0	open	—	07-14 23:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$89	180	180	+0	No	+$7	09-01 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 17:15 UTC	1	$86	120	0	+120	Up	+$34	04-06 17:19
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	4	$86	77	77	+0	Yes	-$14	07-17 10:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 16:55 UTC	1	$77	98	0	+98	Down	+$21	04-06 16:55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$76	45	45	+0	No	+$12	07-02 22:29
ethereum above 1700 on july 12 2026	2	$76	45	45	+0	Yes	+$12	07-10 21:14
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	2	$73	76	76	+0	Yes	-$63	06-30 22:01
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	3	$66	91	28	+64	Yes	+$5	07-10 21:23
will trump say six seven during tribute to america rally 20260630160620571	1	$60	71	0	+71	No	+$11	07-02 23:16
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	2	$52	91	91	+0	Yes	-$28	07-09 07:58
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	2	$51	31	31	+0	Yes	+$7	07-15 11:26
will trump say six seven this week 20260703145736724	1	$50	60	0	+60	No	+$10	07-06 11:56
will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by july 31 2026 20260626210612724	1	$50	62	0	+62	No	+$12	07-12 11:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$50	61	0	+61	No	+$11	06-20 09:34
will the announcers say assist during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914472	1	$50	61	0	+61	Yes	+$11	06-19 22:11
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$50	109	53	+56	Yes	-$28	06-22 06:52
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?	2	$49	32	32	+0	Yes	+$9	07-14 23:08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$45	51	0	+51	Yes	+$6	06-19 22:32
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	4	$44	56	0	+56	Yes	+$12	07-24 22:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 10:14:03	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xec263d…
09-01 10:13:39	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x7b1d23…
09-01 10:12:40	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x1b82da…
09-01 10:03:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x554c73…
08-21 17:26:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8994d3…
08-21 17:25:16	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x192785…
08-13 13:33:58	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x5a33e0…
08-13 13:33:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0xd285d0…
08-13 13:32:45	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x762c0f…
08-13 13:32:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb28976…
08-13 13:27:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf3a0f0…
08-13 13:27:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x00e508…
08-13 13:24:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x8dd7eb…
08-06 00:06:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x3f51d4…
08-06 00:00:44	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0xcb10b4…
08-05 23:59:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	91	7¢	$6	0xf23437…
08-03 23:40:02	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x9c0ad7…
08-03 23:38:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x47c46c…
08-03 23:36:56	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6e6b75…
08-03 23:33:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xec14a1…
08-03 23:33:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x7ff406…
08-03 23:30:47	will donald trump publicly insult nicolas maduro by august 31 2026 20260730161742261	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3320fe…
08-03 23:25:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xa0b05b…
08-03 23:23:44	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x1f0990…
08-03 23:19:53	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x86ca1c…
08-03 23:17:03	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xef82f0…
07-31 14:24:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa46027…
07-31 14:13:24	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x0e9854…
07-29 21:23:50	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x534abe…
07-29 21:04:36	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5e2c10…
07-29 21:01:30	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf8a67b…
07-29 21:00:32	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x949bc8…
07-29 15:42:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x74f4e7…
07-29 15:40:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x621713…
07-29 15:34:06	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 25 2026 20260724221849656	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1345c2…
07-29 15:27:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xecb507…
07-29 15:25:06	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3e5905…
07-29 15:23:27	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x73f2a7…
07-28 22:17:19	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd89e65…
07-28 22:16:26	Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbbec2a…
07-28 22:16:13	Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x45778e…
07-28 22:08:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x01d09b…
07-28 22:06:07	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x1cd9a0…
07-28 22:05:34	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x0bf07b…
07-28 22:03:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0x295408…
07-28 22:03:10	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x2fc999…
07-28 22:02:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x19c9c2…
07-28 22:01:52	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd29288…
07-28 22:00:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3c7a65…
07-28 22:00:20	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd4de09…
07-26 18:29:36	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9f721c…
07-26 18:29:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xd2c707…
07-26 18:25:09	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x068c90…
07-26 18:24:36	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x5a587a…
07-26 18:21:45	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xdf7794…
07-25 07:49:40	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x044b65…
07-25 07:46:00	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeb31ba…
07-25 07:44:46	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	35¢	$36	0xd3e7d2…
07-24 22:25:27	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x8662eb…
07-24 22:22:48	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x09e78d…
07-24 22:22:30	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	34¢	$34	0x402171…
07-24 22:16:15	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x1200d2…
07-24 22:15:55	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x29615e…
07-24 21:49:33	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x997d39…
07-24 21:49:15	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xeed508…
07-24 21:46:37	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x91b711…
07-24 21:39:58	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8fc626…
07-24 21:39:39	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xec47a0…
07-24 21:30:58	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8adf4e…
07-24 21:27:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x50a0a4…
07-24 13:46:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8df262…
07-24 13:46:22	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x204ee0…
07-24 13:41:52	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc46e4f…
07-24 13:37:31	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd6fc97…
07-24 13:36:36	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x76a3c2…
07-24 13:35:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe7c33b…
07-24 10:07:19	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x04e60d…
07-24 10:05:36	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x77ee1a…
07-24 10:04:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xad8609…
07-23 21:17:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x95017e…
07-23 21:10:57	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x66e22b…
07-23 21:07:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd82e0d…
07-23 21:05:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x844f78…
07-23 21:04:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x8addd7…
07-23 21:01:39	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x79245e…
07-23 20:58:27	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xfd0fb6…
07-23 20:55:42	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9cf856…
07-23 20:52:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x166bf6…
07-23 20:40:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xc5f169…
07-23 20:39:49	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	66	71¢	$47	0xc91cb4…
07-20 22:20:57	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x65046e…
07-19 22:51:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a8023…
07-19 22:49:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xe21a5f…
07-19 20:43:45	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x861f7f…
07-19 20:27:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x892609…
07-18 09:18:51	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xdcfb83…
07-18 09:15:04	will anthropic remove paid plan access for fable 5 by july 31 2026 20260713185755112	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x6bc2a7…
07-18 09:14:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6d90e0…
07-17 10:09:07	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0f54ea…
07-17 10:05:19	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x48a798…