Realized P&L
-$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$318
Hit rate
82.4%
Resolved
3,370
Trades
12,444
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$153
Open exposure
$318
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 14:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
71% 91% -$12,686
Sports
16% 95% -$885
Crypto
11% 87% +$370
Politics
1% 98% +$41
Tech
0% 75% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +300 $216 47¢ $142 -$75 09-22 18:31
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +500 $85 11¢ $52 -$32 10-21 12:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,000 $41 4¢ $37 -$3 10-25 18:48
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +200 $30 16¢ $33 +$3 10-03 18:53
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,016 $9 2¢ $21 +$13 10-28 13:28
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +127 $19 14¢ $17 -$1 10-01 11:53
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +500 $242 3¢ $15 -$227 09-11 04:02
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +10 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 08-07 09:30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 -$8 99¢ $0 +$8 08-17 07:53