Realized P&L
+$147
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved
100
Trades
281
lifetime
Volume
$2.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$565
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 06:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
83% 27% +$310
Other
16% 17% -$146
Sports
0% 0% -$11
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +295 $108 34¢ $99 -$10 10-28 06:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -300 -$77 18¢ $-55 +$22 08-23 12:40
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +441 $40 10¢ $42 +$1 10-28 05:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +186 $40 22¢ $40 +$0 10-28 06:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +143 $39 26¢ $38 -$1 10-28 06:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +320 $38 12¢ $37 -$1 10-28 05:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -400 -$34 8¢ $-34 $0 10-18 05:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +454 $30 6¢ $27 -$3 10-28 05:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +97 $28 26¢ $25 -$3 10-28 06:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +52 $25 46¢ $24 $0 10-18 06:27
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +67 $20 36¢ $24 +$4 09-10 14:19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +72 $25 31¢ $22 -$3 10-28 06:05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +164 $20 12¢ $19 -$1 10-28 05:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$16 17¢ $-17 -$1 10-28 05:16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -547 -$14 2¢ $-13 +$0 10-18 01:40
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +20 $12 60¢ $12 $0 10-18 06:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $13 32¢ $9 -$4 09-24 14:09
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +145 $10 5¢ $7 -$3 10-28 05:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $6 56¢ $6 $0 10-18 05:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -74 -$6 8¢ $-6 +$0 10-18 05:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $7 74¢ $6 -$1 10-18 06:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14 $7 34¢ $5 -$2 09-03 16:10