Glum-Whisker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$502

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

667

Trades

925

lifetime

Volume

$34.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-09 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

56% 87% +$4

Politics

23% 75% -$36

Crypto

10% 57% -$478

Sports

9% 72% -$2

Tech

1% 73% +$25

Pop-Culture

1% 75% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		-20	-$9	70¢	$-14	-$5	06-09 00:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	2	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	Caracas FC	-$8	04-27 02:39
lib cru cat1 2026 04 15 total 2pt5	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	Over	+$1	04-16 01:08
bra2 cui csc 2026 03 21 draw	1	$912	913	0	+913	Yes	+$1	03-22 04:23
lol mkoi fnc 2026 03 29 game1 first blood	1	$821	821	0	+821	Movistar KOI	+$1	03-29 23:20
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	1	$814	816	0	+816	No	+$2	04-19 17:15
will iran successfully target shipping on march 19 2026 397	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	03-21 21:05
pakistan military action against afghanistan by april 15	1	$549	550	0	+550	No	+$1	04-18 23:06
will bernie sanders say one percent or one percenter 3 times at the rally on saturday	1	$549	550	0	+550	Yes	+$1	03-28 22:26
will bernie sanders say shutdown or shut down at the rally on saturday	1	$535	535	0	+535	No	+$1	03-29 04:06
will trump say make a deal at the nrcc dinner on march 25 236	2	$507	508	0	+508	Yes	+$1	03-26 01:20
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	5	$491	497	0	+497	Yes	+$6	04-04 21:07
will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	2	$375	375	0	+375	Yes	+$1	04-03 01:51
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	2	$349	350	0	+350	Yes	+$1	04-03 02:40
lol c9 dig 2026 04 15 game1 kill over 25pt5	1	$349	369	0	+369	Under	+$20	04-19 21:42
will iran successfully target shipping on march 26 2026 611	2	$348	348	0	+348	No	+$1	03-29 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	4	$340	377	0	+377	Down	-$340	03-10 01:34
will trump say khamenei or khomeini during address to the nation	2	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	04-02 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 19c	2	$321	161	161	+0	Yes	$0	03-16 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:20 UTC	9	$318	377	80	+297	Up	+$34	03-10 01:24
will trump say congo this week april 5	1	$316	316	0	+316	Yes	+$0	03-31 21:59
will trump say kuwait this week april 5	2	$308	309	0	+309	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:28
will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	03-16 01:16
isp neu mob 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	1	$295	295	0	+295	Under	+$0	04-19 17:21
will trump post panican this week on truth social	1	$293	293	0	+293	Yes	+$0	04-18 04:53
will trump say no no no this week march 22	3	$292	293	0	+293	Yes	+$1	03-16 22:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 27?	1	$289	289	0	+289	Yes	+$0	04-27 21:57
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	2	$287	290	0	+290	Yes	+$3	03-29 00:32
will ace be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	1	$250	250	0	+250	Yes	+$0	04-19 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 23:10 UTC	6	$245	272	19	+253	Down	+$17	03-09 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 02:55 UTC	5	$234	222	218	+3	Up	+$10	02-16 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:45:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x4d49c6…
06-09 00:44:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	68¢	$38	0xe5e567…
06-09 00:44:52	Will Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x06bc07…
06-09 00:44:43	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0x571118…
06-09 00:44:36	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x00278d…
06-09 00:44:30	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x33b9dd…
06-09 00:44:22	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0x1a22ba…
06-09 00:44:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3c7438…
06-09 00:44:10	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xf20859…
06-09 00:44:03	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xf2eb9f…
06-09 00:43:57	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xfd5933…
06-09 00:43:49	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8d5448…
06-09 00:43:43	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc89589…
06-09 00:43:36	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2d800c…
06-09 00:43:28	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$10	0x2e7bb2…
06-09 00:43:21	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0xcc80de…
06-09 00:43:13	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xf90c93…
06-09 00:43:04	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x9de6b5…
06-09 00:42:57	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0x1256f3…
06-09 00:42:51	Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xd07ae8…
06-09 00:42:40	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x96bc9f…
06-09 00:42:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x886715…
06-09 00:42:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x38da6c…
06-09 00:42:21	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x1a4e1e…
06-09 00:42:13	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x2c46bc…
06-09 00:42:06	Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0x537352…
06-09 00:42:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x412782…
05-30 03:21:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x195f4b…
05-30 03:20:49	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb73db6…
05-30 03:20:21	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x59d8f2…
05-30 03:20:12	San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x951cbd…
05-27 23:38:53	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xcffe38…
05-27 23:38:46	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xf26839…
05-27 23:38:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x6ac2b1…
05-27 23:38:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x66a140…
05-27 23:38:29	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x910f5e…
05-25 01:09:09	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd5da35…
05-25 01:08:57	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x246a97…
05-25 01:08:50	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5d157b…
05-25 01:07:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x01e738…
05-25 01:07:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x110e31…
05-24 20:57:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,400 and $7,500 on May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x87c2d2…
05-24 20:57:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6d4497…
05-24 17:25:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5a9487…
05-24 17:25:38	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x9708eb…
05-24 17:25:31	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7e4969…
05-24 01:31:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	13¢	$18	0xeeee0c…
05-24 01:29:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf4acef…
05-24 01:29:12	will bitcoin reach 83k on may 23	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcc17b2…
05-24 01:29:03	will bitcoin reach 83k on may 23	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa60725…
05-24 01:28:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$1	0x7855cd…
05-24 01:28:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x83e739…
05-22 16:24:37	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xeea0f5…
05-21 23:21:48	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc3c01d…
05-21 23:21:13	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x40864b…
05-21 23:16:56	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x04d9d9…
05-21 23:13:36	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x67ce34…
05-21 23:06:24	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa2f6e3…
05-21 23:06:15	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0df460…
05-21 23:06:06	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcf8ae2…
05-21 23:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd6f6ff…
05-21 23:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x138d26…
05-21 23:01:21	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6a3f7e…
05-21 02:19:51	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3587bb…
05-21 02:19:38	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3f625a…
05-21 02:10:52	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x95f636…
05-21 02:10:27	Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x3d0d56…
05-21 02:10:20	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xfe54f7…
05-21 02:10:03	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x800fff…
05-21 02:09:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xbec81f…
05-20 00:47:17	Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x421ca1…
05-20 00:47:05	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7c1236…
05-20 00:46:51	Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x65c7b1…
05-20 00:46:40	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf92cb8…
05-20 00:46:28	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x867cf1…
05-20 00:46:03	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x1638c6…
05-20 00:45:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x00ac86…
05-20 00:45:28	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x9b4f27…
05-15 20:27:47	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xe01409…
05-13 22:35:33	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x01ea0d…
05-13 22:35:26	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x101cf4…
05-13 22:35:21	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd9fd8b…
05-13 22:35:14	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x609d72…
05-13 22:35:07	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x62a761…
05-13 22:35:02	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x83ce1d…
05-13 22:34:55	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x651042…
05-13 22:34:41	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x442ac5…
05-13 22:34:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3f906b…
05-13 22:34:23	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfee763…
05-13 22:34:18	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x46dbd9…
05-13 22:34:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x57140c…
05-12 00:46:09	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x97b877…
05-12 00:45:59	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5d7ed2…
05-12 00:45:48	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x9d3ec8…
05-12 00:45:40	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x81e05b…
05-12 00:45:29	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x047ed1…
05-12 00:40:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x30bc64…
05-12 00:37:47	Will Trump say "Pulitzer" in May?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc87f81…
05-11 00:26:46	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x5814f6…
05-11 00:26:36	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc05b16…