Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
863
lifetime
Volume
$33.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$122
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-09 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
56% 100% +$11
Politics
23% 100% +$0
Crypto
10%
Sports
9% 57% $-11
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -57 $-38 68¢ $-38 +$0 06-09 00:44
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -17 $-16 99¢ $-17 $-0 06-09 00:44
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -25 $-14 56¢ $-14 +$0 06-09 00:44
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -14 $-14 100¢ $-14 $-0 06-09 00:43
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-09 00:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -14 $-10 75¢ $-10 +$0 06-09 00:43
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -27 $-7 29¢ $-8 $-0 06-09 00:42
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes -7 $-5 82¢ $-5 $-0 06-09 00:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-2 36¢ $-3 $-0 06-09 00:42
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? Yes -26 $-2 $-2 +$1 06-09 00:42