Realized P&L (30d)
-$33
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved (30d)
47
Trades (30d)
271
271 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.10K
$6.10K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-11 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
46% 97% -$65
Other
30% 100% +$32
Sports
23% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +289 $286 99¢ $286 +$0 11-11 17:23
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? No +279 $253 98¢ $274 +$21 11-09 18:13
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +289 $248 85¢ $244 -$3 11-09 16:21
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +235 $230 98¢ $231 +$1 11-09 16:17
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +247 $229 92¢ $228 -$1 11-08 03:36
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +207 $195 93¢ $192 -$3 11-09 16:19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +202 $186 92¢ $187 +$1 11-09 15:51
Will BC.Game Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $188 98¢ $184 -$4 11-07 04:56
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +129 $126 98¢ $126 $0 11-11 09:26
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +116 $116 100¢ $116 $0 11-09 15:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +207 $114 54¢ $111 -$3 11-09 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +109 $107 100¢ $109 +$1 11-10 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +121 $110 89¢ $107 -$2 11-08 17:07
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +103 $94 90¢ $93 -$1 11-08 23:49
Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +83 $80 96¢ $79 $0 11-04 00:40
Will Texas A&M win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +63 $63 99¢ $63 +$0 11-11 00:54
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60 $60 100¢ $60 +$0 11-10 17:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +58 $58 99¢ $58 $0 11-10 12:25
Will Saint Louis win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +57 $57 100¢ $57 $0 11-11 00:34
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +90 $54 62¢ $55 +$1 11-09 04:50
Will BYU win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 $0 11-11 01:43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +56 $48 86¢ $48 +$0 11-11 17:21
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 +$0 11-11 04:33
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +43 $42 98¢ $42 +$0 11-09 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +51 $42 82¢ $42 $0 11-11 17:05
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 $0 11-11 04:24
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +41 $40 97¢ $40 +$0 11-03 09:14
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +38 $38 98¢ $37 -$1 11-10 17:08
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $33 100¢ $36 +$3 11-05 10:26
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +37 $35 94¢ $35 $0 11-04 00:38