Realized P&L
+$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
72.4%
Resolved
355
Trades
2,637
lifetime
Volume
$65.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Politics
49% 61% +$996
Other
41% 47% +$47
Crypto
8% 50% +$291
Pop-Culture
1% 33% +$47
Tech
1% 67% +$37
Sports
0% 0% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +439 $231 55¢ $241 +$10 09-24 14:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +210 $160 99¢ $208 +$47 09-24 02:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $228 66¢ $200 -$28 09-18 21:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +200 $169 99¢ $198 +$28 09-19 08:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$110 90¢ $-181 -$71 09-13 17:30
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $167 80¢ $161 -$6 09-30 12:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +190 $133 77¢ $146 +$13 09-26 17:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +260 $101 45¢ $117 +$16 09-23 15:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +320 $96 32¢ $101 +$5 09-22 09:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +105 $86 89¢ $93 +$7 09-16 12:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $56 93¢ $93 +$37 09-29 23:17
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +90 $81 95¢ $85 +$4 09-22 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +130 $43 62¢ $81 +$38 09-24 16:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +170 $58 38¢ $64 +$5 09-19 22:12
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $100 20¢ $62 -$38 09-27 01:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $95 38¢ $61 -$35 09-26 07:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $65 18¢ $56 -$10 09-19 14:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +55 $41 98¢ $54 +$13 05-02 00:27
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $24 86¢ $52 +$28 09-27 00:14
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +100 $34 52¢ $51 +$17 09-14 22:45
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +50 $37 99¢ $50 +$12 09-23 13:58
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 98¢ $49 +$9 09-24 11:00
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? Yes +370 $29 11¢ $42 +$13 10-04 20:24
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $44 82¢ $41 -$3 09-29 18:53
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $31 20¢ $39 +$8 09-26 04:54
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +80 $50 48¢ $39 -$12 09-24 04:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +105 $21 34¢ $35 +$14 09-27 08:15
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $89 14¢ $28 -$61 10-02 22:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +290 $61 10¢ $28 -$33 09-22 04:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +40 $18 53¢ $21 +$3 10-01 11:49