Realized P&L
+$1.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$149
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved
356
Trades
2,637
lifetime
Volume
$65.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Politics
49% 62% +$1,003
Other
41% 47% +$47
Crypto
8% 50% +$291
Pop-Culture
1% 33% +$47
Tech
1% 67% +$37
Sports
0% 0% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +439 $231 55¢ $239 +$8 09-24 14:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $228 76¢ $226 -$2 09-18 21:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +210 $160 99¢ $207 +$47 09-24 02:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +200 $169 98¢ $196 +$26 09-19 08:28
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $167 96¢ $192 +$25 09-30 12:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$110 94¢ $-187 -$77 09-13 17:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +190 $133 75¢ $143 +$9 09-26 17:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +260 $101 45¢ $118 +$18 09-23 15:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +320 $96 36¢ $117 +$21 09-22 09:25
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $100 36¢ $113 +$13 09-27 01:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +105 $86 91¢ $96 +$9 09-16 12:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $56 93¢ $93 +$36 09-29 23:17
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +90 $81 95¢ $85 +$4 09-22 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +130 $43 63¢ $82 +$39 09-24 16:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $65 22¢ $68 +$2 09-19 14:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +170 $58 36¢ $61 +$3 09-19 22:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $95 37¢ $60 -$36 09-26 07:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +55 $41 98¢ $54 +$12 05-02 00:27
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +100 $34 52¢ $52 +$18 09-14 22:45
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $24 85¢ $51 +$28 09-27 00:14
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 98¢ $49 +$9 09-24 11:00
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $44 95¢ $48 +$4 09-29 18:53
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +50 $37 90¢ $45 +$7 09-23 13:58
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? Yes +370 $29 12¢ $43 +$14 10-04 20:24
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +80 $50 48¢ $38 -$12 09-24 04:29
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +311 $57 10¢ $32 -$25 09-24 16:37
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $89 15¢ $30 -$59 10-02 22:10
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $31 15¢ $29 -$2 09-26 04:54
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +105 $21 24¢ $26 +$5 09-27 08:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +40 $18 52¢ $21 +$3 10-01 11:49