Realized P&L (90d)
+$18
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
74.9%
Resolved (90d)
89
Trades (90d)
959
2,594 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$26.9K
$65.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-04 20:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Politics
49% 62% +$1,074
Other
41% 48% +$54
Crypto
8% 50% +$291
Pop-Culture
1% 33% +$47
Tech
1% 67% +$37
Sports
0% 0% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +439 $231 54¢ $235 +$4 09-24 14:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +210 $160 98¢ $205 +$45 09-24 02:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +200 $169 97¢ $194 +$24 09-19 08:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$110 88¢ $-175 -$65 09-13 17:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $228 56¢ $169 -$59 09-18 21:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +190 $133 76¢ $145 +$12 09-26 17:41
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $167 65¢ $130 -$37 09-30 12:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +260 $101 46¢ $121 +$20 09-23 15:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +320 $96 32¢ $104 +$8 09-22 09:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +105 $86 88¢ $92 +$6 09-16 12:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $56 91¢ $91 +$35 09-29 23:17
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +90 $81 95¢ $85 +$4 09-22 19:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +130 $43 59¢ $77 +$34 09-24 16:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $95 41¢ $66 -$30 09-26 07:09
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +100 $34 56¢ $56 +$22 09-14 22:45
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +55 $41 97¢ $53 +$12 05-02 00:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $65 18¢ $52 -$13 09-19 14:05
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +50 $37 99¢ $50 +$12 09-23 13:58
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$8 09-24 11:00
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $89 23¢ $47 -$42 10-02 22:10
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $24 77¢ $46 +$22 09-27 00:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +105 $21 44¢ $46 +$25 09-27 08:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +170 $58 24¢ $42 -$17 09-19 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +290 $61 12¢ $36 -$25 09-22 04:17
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +80 $50 44¢ $35 -$16 09-24 04:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $19 34¢ $34 +$14 09-29 21:54
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $44 66¢ $33 -$10 09-29 18:53
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $31 13¢ $26 -$5 09-26 04:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +40 $18 50¢ $20 +$2 10-01 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $24 12¢ $20 -$4 09-22 15:24