Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
49.5%
Resolved
302
Trades
424
lifetime
Volume
$4.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$7
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-21 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
54% 37% -$54
Sports
42% 33% -$9
Crypto
2% 38% +$19
Tech
1% 40% +$56
Politics
1% 28% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -3 -$3 87¢ $-3 $0 10-06 05:19
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 05-21 11:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-17 23:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 06-18 10:13
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-21 19:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-08 16:10
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-16 17:07